NBL Dream Team Semi Finals: Round 18 Preview

Finals are here! Hopefully you made the top four and a ready for a serious tilt at the premiership.

 

Round 16 – Highs and Lows

Travis Trice returned to the top of the table with the highest score for the round this week with 92. He narrowly edged out a resurgent Torrey Craig (90) who had people asking where this effort was when Brisbane still had a chance of making finals. Alex Loughton rounded out the top 3 with 82 and narrowly missed out on being the best value selection for the round. That honour went to Craig Moller with 56 points from his two matches, which was a massive surprise given that his season prior had been 38 points from 9 matches. AJ Ogilvy got the best score from a single match, closely followed by Akil Mitchell who deserves a mention, because ouch, but also for his 50 from not quite one game.

Terrance Ferguson may have posted the lowest score of the round with -8 but there were others who I thought were far worse for our teams. Matthew Knight got zero and it wasn’t for lacking opportunity as Jameel McKay hardly saw the court and only got 8. Rob Loe took two games to get his 8, while Jerome Randle was very quiet by his standards with 12. Despite all this the award for biggest disappointment goes to Josh Powell who got 2 from his two matches and seriously burnt those who’d been holding him for weeks, specifically for this round.

Finally, the award for the best impersonation of Marvelle Harris goes to … … Kevin Dillard! I’m sure you all remember way back in round 3 when Harris was averaging over 53 and had the double match and everyone picked him for captain and then he got 12. Well, while this wasn’t actually as bad statistically, Dillard’s score of 20 ruined a lot of people’s finals dreams and emotionally signalled the end of their season. But if you dodged him, or were just high enough up the ladder that it didn’t hurt too much, then it’s still game on.

 

Get Ready for Round 17

Brisbane, New Zealand and Sydney are all done with their doubles for the season and it makes them prime targets for trading out. I’ve already rage traded out Kevin Dillard and he should be top of your trade out list if you have him. Ideally you want to trade all the players from those teams out but if you have to hold someone for a week then look at players like Torrey Craig or Kevin Lisch to hold as they should increase in value this week.

Illawarra has the double this round, but only for the single week, so unless you can afford to trade in and trade out next round then I’d pass on getting any Hawks as none of them as completely must have. AJ Ogilvy comes the closest to this as there is a lack of decent scoring Centres with the double, but he’s also very expensive.

Cairns, Melbourne and Perth are all playing double matches for the last two weeks and should be your top targets. The hardest thing about this is that none of the players are obvious selections. Casper Ware is the highest averaging from the group but has had a fair few quiet games recently, Casey Prather has been distinctly average over the last few weeks, since the arrival of Bryce Cotton who is a good option but has been highly inaccurate. Travis Trice and Cameron Gliddon both have great games when Cairns are winning but can go quiet. Jameel McKay looks like he might be injured and should probably be avoided (cue huge score). Chris Goulding has had a good run but is respectively priced quite high so you’d be backing him in for two big weeks. If you’re looking for a gamble then Tony Mitchell is cheaper and started to find his feet, so could be an interesting point of difference if you think you need it.

 

Captain Options

The four teams playing the double match this round (Cairns, Illawarra, Melbourne and Perth) have lots of premiums with potential but who knows if they’ll actually deliver. And as we all just saw, captain choice could make or break your team. In the order I would select them:

  1. AJ Ogilvy
  2. Casper Ware
  3. Rotnei Clarke
  4. Travis Trice
  5. Bryce Cotton
  6. Chris Goulding

Good luck everyone

Follow Tristan on Twitter: @Xebradant

nbl-16-17-fixture-plot

20 Comments

  • I missed the Cats game – did anything happen to Mackay? Or is this still a lingering injury from a few weeks back when he ran into Gliddon?

    • Nothing in particular, he spent a lot of time on the bench though as didn’t look to be moving well when he was on court.

  • As discussed last round, I chose not to trade therefore still have 4 trades left and $400 to spend. My team still looks like this:
    F: Craig, Carter (Knight, Creek)
    C: Ogilvy (Boone)
    G: Dillard, Cotton (Ware, D Martin)

    Thinking 2 trades this round. Maybe trade out Dillard and Boone? Or would you trade both Dillard and Carter?

    • By the way, i am 2nd in one League and 6th in another so need to make it count.

    • bench dillard start ware, trade craig and carter, otherwise you will have too many dudes on singles

    • I’d trade out Dillard and Carter.
      Work out if there is a way to get two decent players with the double on court in your Fwd line, Ware and Cotton have got you covered for Grds.

      Boone is ok and you can keep him, particlarly since he’s on the bench.

      • Thanks Tristan. Would you bring in Prather? He hasn’t been scoring as much due to Cotton but can score big.
        Also what are your thoughts on Jacobson for Adelaide despite only having a single game? What are your thoughts on bringing Dave Andersen back into the team or having a player like Worthington?

      • He’s one of the best Fwd options from those playing the double this week, although he might still suck.

        I’d probably avoid Dave Andersen for the minute, he got very little court time in is first game back and Melbourne will be hoping to ease him back into things.

        I’d probably pass on Jacobsen too, with only one game if he has a bad one it could hurt you a lot.

        Players like Blanchfield, Wesley and Worthington are all cheaper options who could get decent scores too.

        • Thanks Tristan. my plan was to start Prather alongside Craig and have Jacobson on the bench alongside Knight.
          What do you think about bringing Barlow into the team? He will have the double and has had a pretty good last two rounds apart from the first game of last week.
          Would you consider Loughton as a option?

  • Turned McKay into Ogilvy

    FWD – Prather, Worthington (Edwin, Hire)
    CTR – Ogilvy (C) (Egwu)
    GRD – Trice, Ware (VC) (Randle, Drmic)

  • Dillard and Carter OUT

    Ware and DJ IN

    F: DJ, Prather (Craig, Barlow)
    C: Ogilvy (Egwu)
    G: Ware, Cotton (Gliddon, Bruce)

    95K in the bank.

    Randle will come in next week and another single gamer will be turned into a double.

  • Hi Tristan
    If you could only get one, who would you pick out of Trice and Goulding?

    • I’d take the punt on Goulding…we’ve seen Trice get benched to close out games. I’d take Ware over both if you have the luxury..

      • Thanks Jvalles69. I was leaning towards Goulding. Plan is Carter to Goulding via Prather who I want in the Fwds any way as there are few decent forwards to pick from. To bring in Ware I would have to trade out McKay instead of Carter. I would prefer to get rid of Carter as McKay has the four games and should do a lot better, even if he is a bit restricted by groin soreness. Carter is likely to give me minuses too!

  • Tristan do you think it is worth starting DJ instead of McKay on a double this week. Just concerned with the numbers and time on court from McKay lately. Perth seem to have almost replaced him with Brandt over the last few weeks..

    • I was at the Cats game and McKay didn’t look to be moving at 100%, he ended up sitting back out on the bench but didn’t play again. With Brandt demanding more court time and Redhage announcing his retirement at the end of the season I can see how McKay will play big minutes here on in unfortunately. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Redhage starting at PF for the rest of the home games to send him off.

      • Thanks for update.
        Yeh fair call. Wish I could have seen this a few weeks back when I traded him in! Hard to let go of now with one of only a few limited forwards still on doubles. Looks like he will be sitting on my bench for the rest of the year,
        Lets hope he can get some junk time points in the next week or two!

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