Todd Goldstein – Deck of DT 2017

Image result for todd goldsteinName: Todd Goldstein
Team: North Melbourne
Position: RUC
AFL Fantasy: $582,000
Bye Round: 12
2016 Average: 96.4
2016 Games Played: 21
Predicted Average: 108

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Why should I pick him?

Last season Goldy was priced at 114, yet coaches found it hard not to select him given his total dominance in the ruck. He’s a beast around the ground as well as the ruck, meaning he’s capable of posting some ridiculous scores. Fast forward 12 months and we can pick him up for peanuts in comparison, yet he’s not even in the top 6 selected rucks at the moment! Something doesn’t add up here?

Firstly let’s clear the air, Goldy didn’t have a poor season at all. We just judge him on a different scale. There’s no doubt he struggled with a knee concern late last year. Until Round 10 Goldstein averaged a brilliant 105 including 6 tons, can’t complain at that! After Round 10 however he averaged just 88, missing the Roos Round 15 contest before limping through the remainder of the season. This was evident as he managed just 1 ton after returning to the side. Let’s be clear, a fully fit Goldy is an uber premium and capable of averaging well over 100. According to most sources, he’s back to full fitness. He has been managed throughout pre-season but there is no injury concern to worry about. Full steam ahead.

If the new ruck rules are going to advantage anyone it will be Goldstein! He holds the season hitout record from 2015, and even though there are less stoppages now an extra 3-4 points per game could be the sealer for those on the fence. 1 on 1 Goldy is going to win far more contests than he loses, simple as.

If the fact that he’s an uber premium in any position isn’t enough, the Roos also have a handy Round 12 bye. Only 4 teams have the week off so you should be able to cover him without issue. Another sweetener is Goldstein’s ability to get the season off to an absolute flyer. He has averaged 119 in the first 5 rounds of 2015 and 2016, going 120+ on 4 occasions. Not that Majak Daw was ever a real threat, but his pre-season surgery should see Goldy solo ruck to start the season. If Goldstyne is to return you may well struggle to get a ticket on the express.

Image result for todd goldstein

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

Despite being in the prime of his career at 28 years of age, he’s still being managed during pre-season. He may look old but I wouldn’t have thought that was a necessary precaution unless there was a small problem. The presumption that Goldstein can return to his best form is reliant on him being 100% fit, otherwise he may amble around to an average in the 90’s. It’s definitely a concern but you can only go on the players word, and the word coming out of North Melbourne is that he’s targeting a personal best season. Good enough for me!

Obviously the biggest sticking point is the emergence of Gawn and Grundy. Both are under 25, both are clearly their teams number 1 ruck and both finished 2016 in peak fitness and top form. It seems that there’s only one direction for them to go in, and that’s up. Can Goldy keep up? Who knows, let’s just remember that we thought Goldstein and Martin were untouchable last season!

Deck of DT Rating.

ACE – Forget what anyone tells you, Goldstein is still an uber premium and in my opinion comes with a handy discount. He’s definitely capable of a reproducing a 105+ average and that’s exactly what I’m expecting. If he was seemingly worth top dollar last year then surely he’s a no brainer at this price! A lock for me.

Will Goldstein return to the top 2 ruckman this season?

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22 Comments

  • Thanks for the article, Matt. Goldy for me.

    While on the subject of ruckmen, I plan for the time to play AFL Draft (aka Elite). I note that the default team construction has 2 ruckmen, plus 1 reserve ruckman. Add the fact that the default team number for a league is 16 and you can see that in any week in these leagues 32 playing ruckmen will be needed. In round 23 in 2016, for instance only 28 designated ruckmen played. The 24th ranked ruck for the season was Matt Lobbe who played on 8 games and averaged only 68. The top 32 averaging ruckmen included Archie Smith who played just 3 games, Daniels Gorringe and Currie with 4 games, Reilly O’Brien with 2 games, Keegan Brooksby with 8 games and Tom Campbell with 9 games. My point is that there are not enough ruckmen in the system to meaningfully supply a 16 team league.

    I’ve set up a 12 team that requires only 1 on field ruckman. It has a team structure of 3/4/3/1/4, the most players the site will allow a 1 ruckman league. Interested in joining? Sign up at HEY26VXE

  • Great article Matt, you have convinced me. Now have to figure out who to leave out between Grundy and Gawn!

    • Cheers Scott. I’m never keen to pay top dollar for a ruckman, especially after what happened last year! If only we could pick 3 rucks…

  • Predicting there will be 3 uber ruckman this year will be Gawn, Goldie & Martin. Based on their ceiling and past averages.
    With 3 premium rucks of Sandie, Grundy and Hickey to still be viable selections.
    Factoring in price tag, I’ll be going with Martin & Sandie, with the latter to be a stepping stone to one of the other two uber premiums towards the middle of the year.

  • Great article – I’m sticking with Gawn and Grundy – Goldy is not that much cheaper than Grundy anyway (I think it’s 582k v 609k so around 27k)

  • Was one of my first picked. Clearly needed a rest for more than half of last season and the fact they wouldn’t give it to him shows that they have no intention of giving Daw much responsibility.

  • Great stuff Matt. I’m still deciding between Goldstein and Grundy as my R1, but after reading this, I think Goldy edges ahead. He’s an absolute beast and his first half of the season last year was massive.

  • Few days ago I put in Goldy, purely for the fact hes got that round 12 bye, plus hes a beast. Other one is Martin, hoping he is underpriced.
    What players can you list off from the round 12 bye that are good enough to come near top of their positions?

  • Stef Martin or Goldy? Stef Priced 44k cheaper so Goldy would need to average 6-8 points more to make it worth it

  • Does anyone know if he is injured? Afl site states he is being managed through sessions. Is that code for healing injury? Rucks and forward lines are where it will be won this year I reckon.

  • Would rather pick a concussion affected player in the following year, than a potentially degenerative knee issue.

  • Your source didn’t actually say he was back to full fitness, rather his training load was being limited. Sounds like he’s not completely over his knee issues. I’d be a lot more confident if he came out and said he was over his knee issue like S.Martin did earlier.

    “After a punishing season, the Roos are taking a cautious approach with star ruckman Todd Goldstein.
    “Obviously, he’s an important player for us … they’re just making sure he’s 100 per cent fit and ready for round one,” Ziebell said.
    “He’s getting managed a little bit through sessions, but that’s no different from any other senior player in our team.
    “When you get a little bit older, your body doesn’t bounce back like it did when you were 18.”

  • Goldy is a no brainer for me. Has the round 12 bye as well which is handy and could be fairly unique.

    Groldy Combo

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