Scott Pendlebury – Deck of DT 2017

pendles200Name: Scott Pendlebury
Team: Collingwood
Position: MID
AFL Fantasy: $641,000
Bye Round: 13
2016 Average: 106.3
2016 Games Played: 22
Predicted Average: 109

Click here for DT Live profile.

Why should I pick him?

I wasn’t going to do a Deck on Scott Pendlebury to start with because, you know… vanilla and all of that, but seeing that he was in less than 10 per cent of teams created on DT Live’s Drawing Board, I had to think twice.

Pendles has been a star for a long time. His output from 2009, his fourth year, reads:

  • 2009: 98.3 average (20 games)
  • 2010: 106.5 (22)
  • 2011: 116.6 (22)
  • 2012: 110.3 (18)
  • 2013: 112.4 (22)
  • 2014: 108.4 (21)
  • 2015: 111.0 (22)
  • 2016: 106.3 (22)

Collingwood’s captain is as cheap as he has been since 2010, relative to his previous average. He’s consistently completed the season with an average that puts him in the top half-a-dozen players each year and of course, his durability is outstanding. Last season there was talk mid-late season that he would miss games. It wasn’t to be as he went on to play 22 games. He has missed just 10 games in the last decade.

Dubbed Dependlebury for the reasons highlighted above, the 29-year-old is a mark of consistency. In the last five seasons he has gone below 85 on just 10 occasions whilst still pumping out the uber-premium scores going above 120 a whopping 31 times. A stat from Pete on his top 5 targets article said Pendles averaged 115.1 points when the Pies won. This is significant considering they are expected to improve and with Adam Treloar emerging as their most influential midfielder, Scott Pendlebury might be in a position to rack up like he does best.

At the end of the day, there’s upside in Pendles due to a slightly down season in 2016.

Image result for scott pendlebury

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

Being priced as he is, it’s hard to say why you shouldn’t pick him. If he pumps out the same average, then he’s still valuable, but you could have gone with another guy who can take his 100 average to that 106.

There has to be concern about a role change.

Last year Pendlebury started off half-back which saw for a disappointing start with 84 and 98 in the opening two rounds before being put back in the midfield. He spent the rest of the season there with some occasional stints up forward. This was also mooted for the upcoming season when Daniel Wells was signed on. Personally I don’t see this being a huge factor considering Wells is battling a calf issue this pre-season and surely Pendles is picked for a midfield role ahead of the former Roos.

It has been argued by some in the Fantasy community that the addition of Adam Treloar has had a negative impact on Pendles’ game. On the surface, there is only so much ball to go around and Treloar maybe took some points away from the skipper. Treloar isn’t going backwards either! Remember last season was played without Swan as well. Flipside of that though is that the Pies don’t have too much trouble scoring in the midfield.

Deck of DT Rating.

ACE – A premium player at a seemingly discounted price, yes please. Scott Pendlebury is in my ‘January’ plans pretty much because I can see him going at 109 and despite some concerns around role (which really are only slight concerns). The Pies should improve and with that, those points in wins stat should benefit the captain. If he slides in your draft towards the end of the first round, consider him an absolute steal. I still can’t believe Pendles, a man that is usually in 30%+ of teams at the start of the season is in less than 10%.

What does Scott Pendlebury average in 2017?

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23 Comments

  • Will probably get back up to his traditional 108-112 form, but that’s just not enough up side for a r1 starter for mine. He’s a player your get what you pay for with so I’d rather chase the huge break outs from my premos than go with reliability at the start. Will come in eventually I’m sure

    • screw the breakout guys who are unknown qualities. I’ll gladly pay for 106 and get it for 22 games if I can.

      • Not saying unknowns, still proven guys who average 105+ at the same price, just with the gut hunch for going bigger IE titch, treloar, hanners, Steven etc

  • Pretty much a lock to be a top 8 mid and to give you 22 games. His bad days are 90’s and can go 140+. Just about the safest premo mid out there. A very likely starter for me. And to make it even better it looks like he’ll be a P.O.D

  • Had him previous years but ive chosen to go with treloar instead this year

  • Yes Trelor for me (note for Leighroy this comment is not a complaint)

  • Lock Lock Lock

  • Bont or Treloar? Think Bont has more scope for improvement and they’ll average the same

  • Don’t think it will affect Dependlebury? currently sitting in my team. Only thing that worries me is the Pies have a really crap draw this year? I remember Eddie whinging about it…. yes Eddie does whinge a lot

  • Thanks for the article Warnie, but yeah, bit Vanilla as you said. I was hoping that the deck would throw up some more from left field, those who might “break out”. Speaking of which, will Lefty’s left fielders be back this year?

  • Tossing upbetween Treloar or Pendles atm.

    • Have the same headache myself. I feel like Trelosr could go 112-115 this season but also feel like Pendles could be back to 110 form this year and start to get some freedom with Treloar starting to cop tags most weeks

      • Article about Pendles being more a forward this year is slightly worrying, its the one thing thats putting me off. However i agree, i feel like Treloar is going to cop more attention this year, but he is a jet and broke almost every tag he received last year. So hard to split them.

    • I looked at Trelors finish to last year and that sold it for me

  • I feel like Treloar could be the number 2 averaging mid behind Rocky this year. Anyone agree?