Max Gawn – Deck of DT 2017

Image result for max gawn s.afl.com.auName: Max Gawn
Team: Melbourne Demons
Position: Ruck
AFL Fantasy: $642,000
Bye Round: 11
2016 Average: 107
2016 Games Played: 22
Predicted Average: 110

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Why should I pick him?

After hinting ‘big things’ were on the way with an average of 92 from 13 games in 2015, the beard certainly didn’t disappoint, taking over the number one ruck mantle in the competition (as he predicted in the pre-season) with an awesome average of 107.

Having a ruck with the ability to pump out 100 every week is invaluable, let alone doing it 15 weeks of the season which included a whopping eight games over 120.

He had a relatively slow start to the season with three substandard scores of 61 or less which included a shocking 47. Why am I writing this stuff in the ‘pick him’ section you may ask? Well it’s because these games are nothing more than a glitch that gets his price down for us after Maximus finished the year like a steam train! After round 12 he only had one score under 100 with 95 and averaged 116 between then and round 23.

The only other listed ruck at the Dees is Lachlan Filipovic (RUC, $150,000)… so there is no chance of being stung with the old shared ruck duties.

Image result for max gawn s.afl.com.au

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

The only reason not to pick Max is if you can justify finding value in the ruck department  with mid priced players who are considered under-priced such as Toby Nankervis (RUC/FWD, $365,000), Patty Ryder (RUC/FWD,$411,000) or Tom Boyd (RUC/FWD, $347,000) for example.

WARNING: This strategy would be considered high risk, low reward and stupid in my book.

The only other conceivable reason not to start with Gawn is if someone cut his beard off in his sleep, in turn sapping his powers.

beard

Deck of DT Rating.

ACE– I am yet to hear an argument that justifies leaving the big guy out. He will be a top three pick in almost every draft and rightfully so. Finding a player with the ability to pump out scores like 142, 142, 144 and 146 in a season are hard enough at the best of times, but to find a ruck that can do that is invaluable… making him a set and forget. As well as being a viable captain option.

The only reason to fear the beard is if you don’t own him.

Who will be the highest averaging ruckman?

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21 Comments

  • Deck of DT Rating 2017.
    ACE – Max Gawn
    Predicted Average: 110

    Deck of DT Rating 2016.
    ACE – Stef Martin
    Predicted Average: 116

    Warnie December 29, 2015 9:10 am

    I was on the fence with Smartin. I feel that paying top dollar for a ruck isn’t the right move.

    Warnie called it, I think Starting Max in 2017 will cost you big buxs!

    Good Luck

  • I dont think Warnie had a crystal ball that could tell him stef martin was going to get knocked out by steven may and also have a knee injury. But yeah you go ahead without gawn at least thats 1 less person who will have him

    • My full comment from last year (ignore the Leuenberger part haha).

      “I was on the fence with Smartin. I feel that paying top dollar for a ruck isn’t the right move, but those numbers don’t lie. If it was a midfielder doing that, we would lock straight up. He isn’t going backwards (well, not by much if he does)… so it’s worth starting with the big man. R1 with the ‘Berger at R2 for me at this stage.”

      The change to the third man up rule should benefit blokes like Gawn. He’s hit high fantasy numbers at a young age considering rucks are usually late developers (both in terms of the real thing and fantasy). I’m confident that Max can increase on his 107 average.

      Oh and Tigers, while I get your point and agree with you, check out Stef’s first few games of last year before May/knee.

      • the thing is though, is that West was basically killing Smartin’s DT score (as Leppa was basically playing Smartin like a Blicavs [understandable given he was getting ~25 possessions per game in 2015] with West rucking)

        that changed in the GC game, as Smartin was actually sole ruck, and looked back to his 110+ average that we all paid for
        of course, then he got KO’d and that was it (it is important to stress that he scored 56 in that game, and he got KO’d just before half time)

        of course, it’s EASY to say that in hindsight

        with Gawn (as well as Goldstein and Sandilands – and possibly Grundy too, given Witt’s departure) they’ll all improve because of the new 3rd-man-up rule, as well as the fact that they’ve got no competition as ruckmen at their own club
        personally think you’ve got to start with at least one of those, and maybe the 2nd one too (although you could take a risk on a Giles/Nankervis/HawksRuckman as an R2 speculator)

        • this wasn’t immediately obvious that that was the plan going into the season, as Brisbane’s NAB games weren’t great indicators

          NAB 1 – basically a reserves side, no TOG stats were recorded
          NAB 2 – washed out due to a thunderstorm hitting Mackay
          NAB 3 – Smartin did well (with 118DT off 91%) but then he was the only ruck (West missed the game)

          that’s not to say he didn’t do awfully (88 average over the first 8 games, including the 56 in there) – but when you’ve paid for a guy who went at 114, losing 26 points per game REALLY adds up

  • Wont be starting without Gawn, worth the cash … simples

  • A few years ago, Stef Martin got his way into the Lions team and played a season and a half of 110+ Fantasy. But previously he had barely completed a season and in 2016 the physical pressure seemed to catch up with him with niggling injuries and general workload fatigue- according to Leppa at least.

    Gawn has basically done the exact same thing. A stop-start career blighted by injuries before playing a season and a half of 110 fantasy.

    The guy is enormous and AFL is incredibly taxing, do we not think there’s a chance that having not missed a game for 1.5 seasons is going to catch up with him next year?

  • The 3rd man up rule change is gonna be a massive game changer, In addition to Gawn players like Goldy/Mumford/Jacobs/Sandi(your more traditional big ruckman) etc have been jumped on by 3rd men up and suffered both physically and in terms of DT scoring.

    This year could add 10+ dt to numerous #1 rucks around the league i reckons.

  • No other listed ruckman at the demons? Is Jake Spencer a small forward? (Not that he’ll get games but still…)

  • I don’t have him in any of my teams at the moment. Perhaps I’m just crazy.

  • Sorry Goat, I don’t double check stuff like that… Do you see Spencer demanding shared ruck responsibility? My apologies for leading everyone astray.

  • Would be interesting to see a stat of
    How many successful 3rd man ups were used against certai ruckmen last year ie Gawn, Grund, Jacobs, Martin ect

  • gawn and then grundy 1st 2 choices but I feel 3rd man up change will benefit sandi the most

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