Isaac Heeney – Deck of DT 2017

Image result for isaac heeney afl.com.auName: Isaac Heeney
Team: Sydney Swans
Position: Forward
AFL Fantasy: $442,000
Bye Round: 11
2016 Average: 73.4
2016 Games Played: 24 (Including Finals) 20 (H&A)
Predicted Average: 89

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Why should I pick him?

To be honest, Isaac Heeney is my favourite player currently playing AFL Footy, there I said it. Yes I back the Eagles, and yes I’m excited by the short term prospect of Smitch/Priddis working together, but realistically as far the long term goes, its Heeney I’m most excited about. Fresh of the back of a relatively successful year for the Swans (Barring the Grand Final of course), Isaac committed to the club for a further 5 years, keeping him in red and white until the end of 2022. As expected, his second season at Sydney produced myriad highlights and a markedly improved fantasy game. Heeney started off round 1 with a bang, gathering 23 disposals, 1 goal, 3 behinds and 2 tackles on his way to cool 101 Fantasy points. Owners at the time would have been licking their lips with excitement due to the fact he was priced at a little over $350k at the beginning of the year. Regrettably though, this form was not sustained and owners were brought straight back down to earth when he posted a lousy 47 points in both of the next two rounds (Yuck, we’ll get to that below).

Nevertheless, back to why you should pick him.

I believe Heeney is entering his breakout year. It is no secret that he has been tearing up preseason and pushing his fitness to the next level. The below extract was taken from a recent interview with the man himself.

 “I’m out there running my butt off just to push and get that fitness under my belt to be able to run out a game in the midfield, so I’ll be in Horse’s (Swans coach John Longmire’s) ear constantly just saying ‘get me in there”.

Heeney has publicly stated he is pushing for a coveted spot in the Sydney midfield and is aiming for that role in the 2017 season. MORE MIDFIELD TIME = MORE POINTS. Simples. I could bang on all day about durability, age, skills blah blah blah,, but realistically it’s that simple. During the 2016 final series, Heeney was given licence to roam on the wing and the results speak for themselves. In the semi-final against the Crows, he registered a cool 116 AFL Fantasy points helped by a career high 32 disposals, 9 marks and a goal. In the Preliminary Final against the Cats, he went one better and posted a lazy 132 AFL Fantasy points with 28 disposals, 6 marks and 7 tackles. Although the Grand Final wasn’t as extravagant as the two prior games, he still managed to post a respectable 89 points with 22 touches on the day as well. As a FWD who may potentially be playing out of position on the wing, in the elite Sydney midfield and with his footy prowess, selecting him is an absolute no brainer in my eyes.

Sidenote….. I’m 99% sure Heeney has his own fantasy team just like last year and obviously the bloke’s going to pick himself, so have comfort in the knowledge that (apart from the fact it’s his job….) it’s in his best interest to gather up a few cheeky +6’s here and there.

Image result for isaac heeney afl.com.au

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

Don’t get me wrong, a lot of the above is based on speculation of a role change in 2017. Horse hasn’t confirmed this, and nor will he, so selecting him round one, regardless of his role in the pre-season, will still be a bit of a gamble. At $442k he’s awkwardly priced and sits right in the realm of a ‘Mid-Priced Player’. Seasoned Fantasy coaches know how mid-pricers can really burn you early on with poor performance resulting in a heap of cash lost in the first few weeks.

Another thing that concerns me is that although he may be pushing for a midfield spot, the reality is the Swans have arguably one of, if not THE strongest midfields in the competition and breaking into it as a third-year player may be his biggest hurdle. I’ve no doubt he will get some game time on the wing, but it’s the amount of time and when he gets it that may deter some from taking the gamble on him come round 1.

As I alluded to at the start, Heeney isn’t a stranger when it comes to posting some pretty putrid scores. Last year he had three sub 60 scores within the first five weeks (47,47,57) and carried this roller coaster of form on throughout most of the year. Some weeks he’d look the goods and post consistent tons (108 and 127) in Round 19 and 20 respectively, then he’d flop and post less than average scores (65 and 42) in rounds 21 and 22 respectively.

In addition to the above, if you’re looking for a ‘Point of Difference’ (POD) then unfortunately Heeney is not your man, as currently in the Drawing Board created by Chad at www.dtlive.com.au, he is owned by a whopping 71.9% of coaches and rising almost daily.

Deck of DT Rating.

Queen- I’m basing this call not on the quality of player he is, but more specifically on where he sits in terms of fantasy value. Make no mistake Heeney will register some solid scores in 2017 but $442k is a lot to fork out for a guy who may or may not be pushed up to the wing. If he gets the nod from Horse to play on the wing, he’s as good as a pre-season lock as you’re going to get, however his price and role makes selecting him a gamble that will either get you some great scores and a nice pot of gold, or leave you with a sour taste in your mouth when he dishes out a sub 50 score. Truthfully, he’s a superstar in the making and will feature as a regular in Fantasy coaches’ teams for years to come. The question remains, will 2017 be his breakout year?

Do you believe 2017 will be Isaac Heeney's breakout year?

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51 Comments

  • Bummer on the 71% I thought I had a POD but still am not going to change him. You can’t expect to have 5 PODs when we all read same articles and make same conclusions and to try and do so is dangerous. I stand by that best you can hope for really is 1-2 pods which I think I have at this stage – but I’m not telling you who they are

  • ^lol Heeney was never going to be a POD.

    Lock for me

    • in fairness, if he wasn’t FWD eligible (and pure mid, which I suspect he will be post 2017 – and will pick up that DPP) then he would be a POD

      and would also have been in my side, even as a pure mid

  • He’s definitely going to improve. If it’s only to 80 though it doesn’t seem worth it. You’d be hoping for a 90 return

  • He will be taking titch’s role, lock.

  • A lock for me. Interesting that no one has mentioned the difference the loss of Mitchell will make to his role. I think he will be the main candidate to replace Titch. We certainly improve his fantasy output this year and by a long way too!

  • He was the first player selected in my squad. Will average 90 plus without a shadow of doubt.

  • Thoughts on Callum Mills in defence?

    • Not sure that he will get the extra midfield time that Heeney will next year. He will, no doubt finish as a midfielder but I don’t think it will be next year. Hence /i don’t see great improvement on his 2016 figures.

    • Certainly would be a POD, finished the year off last 5 games avg 88.
      Second year you would think he would improve on his avg maybe 80-85.

  • Whats peoples thoughts on Hannerberys scoring potential with Titchell gone? Up or down?

    • Don’t feel that Mitchell’s departure will have any effect on Hannererbery. Hanners comes off the wing and is rarely in the centre square at ball ups. His role is that of an outside midfielder (Mitchell was inside). With Parker, Kennedy together with the remainder of the Swans midfield there will still be plenty of ball being fed out to the likes of Hanners.

  • Kingzy1, “I’m not sure that word means what you think it means”.

  • Note of course by POD too this means also your overall structure as well. You may have 28 players that 70% of comp has but not the same 28 players exactly, the structure overall makes the team.

  • So argument sake Gawn may have a 50% ownership and so does Grundy – but is the % of teams that have both ETC and so on. Pick the team you feel is best based on your research don’t always get too hung up on pods

  • *what – is the % of teams with both?

  • You are so wise Euman

  • Heeney is a pre season lock for me. Mitchell gone, Ben McGlynn retired and X Richards back too the NEAFL. He might find himself a few more midfield minutes. Even time on the wing is fine. But definately will still go forward if not rest there. Just have too make sure he spends more time mid than forward. Hear me out… the swans are my team so i’ll know. There forwards are franklin tippett and papely. Now tippett swaps with naismith in the ruck. That leaves 3 half forward spots. (One was X Richards before his dropping)
    We got K Jack, L Parker, I Heeney too fill those spots. I believe kennedy doesn’t play much forward anymore. So with McGlynn retired… also dunno where sam reid is at the the swans injury list or even best 22. The swans need people in these spots and the 3 listed above are clearly the best 3 when not in the midfield too be there. What happens if Heeney because a full time half forward player. (Lets just say for this year anyway. He’s got great overhead skills and can kick goals.) We have to be scared alil Longmire doesn’t use him this way. Who else plays half forward for the swans? Hewett maybe. Llyod is more of a wingman or floater in defence. Now Gary Rohan might go back to the forwards full time. Wasn’t he in defence alot last year? I forget. Sorry about my ramblings and no doubt spelling mistakes. Come the pre season games i have no doubt he’ll rip it up. I just hope we arn’t tricked by his midfield minutes from what we see.

  • Heeney ❤️ My boyyy

  • Yep – ticks all the boxes for a breakout candidate, and it’s hard to look past him with so many premium forward taken from us in 2017. If he plays the majority of his time through the midfield i’d dare say his 89 predicted average undersells him slightly – could very well go 90-95.

  • Good to hear people picking him this year he may inprove average but is just another midpricer that will not get any where near a premium players average

  • Watch them all get burnt

  • With the loss of so many forwards for 2017, Heeney is a no brainer imo. Hey Dad ..no pun intended, just for arguments sake who do you think out of the cheaper forwards this year will increase their average enough to become a keeper?

    • excluding new DPPs, in 2016:
      the 8th best FWD (by average) was Buddy – who went at 94.23
      the 8th best FWD (by total points) was Greene – who went at 92.71

      taking out the players that lost FWD for 2017, then you’re looking at Gunston (87.82) and Walters (81.64) respectively

      I think Heeney fits into that category of F5-F15, somewhere around the 80-85 mark
      20 games at 83 puts him with 1660 points, which is a similar tally to the numbers that C Rioli and J Howe put up last year… is that relevance in DT2017?

      • Heeney will have titch’s role which means more midfield time. Those stats are irrelevant.

        • the guy went at 73 last year, with 5 scores under 50, and OVER half of his games (11 of 20) were under 70
          sure, he may have had a great finals series, but saying he’ll exactly take Titch’s role (wasn’t it a tagger, generally they’re not DT relevant) isn’t necessarily a good sign

          I think he’ll improve (to around the 5th to 15th best FWD eligible player) which is an 82-87 average [based on 2016 figures], and he’ll likely be in my side because of it

          but if you’re (and I think most others in this post) are expecting him to be putting out a 95-105 average, then I suspect you’ll be disappointed come rd3 or rd5 when he’s going at less than that
          I’m happy to be proven wrong though, as I will be an owner myself

          • I think that’s a fair call Adam, don’t think he can average 100 but happy if he can.

            “Sure he did have a good finals series” … what better way to show everyone how good he is going to be by smashing it in the finals, finals are a step up. Horse had the confidence in him and he didn’t let him down. I think there will be games where he will score 80 odd but I think there will be games where he will score 100+ and as a forward I think that’s a fair return for his price. Going to be a superstar this kid.

  • Callum Mills Longmire loves the kid over Heeny imo – Ryan Clarke maybe better pick oh and Mills

  • Start without him at your peril 😉

  • Can I play both Mills in def and heeny up forward? Or should I dump mills for cheaper dude?

  • Heeney was in my 2017 team at round 20 last year…gun

    But I’m also doubling up on Mills in Def.

    Even if they both split Titchell’s mid time there will be enough of a points boost to justify as Syd will again be top 2 team racking up plenty of points

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