Gold Coast AFL Fantasy Prices 2017

With each AFL Fantasy team price reveal, Peter from aflratings.com.au takes a look at five potential targets from each club.

After opening with 3 wins to start to the 2016 season Gold Coast were once again hit with injuries to star players that exposed their midfield depth, in the opening 3 games the Suns averaged 391.7 Disposals per game but that plummeted to 335.0 Disposals per game between Rounds 4-14. Gold Coast did pick it up a little averaging 366.9 Disposals from their last 9 games but the damage was done and the inconsistency fantasy coaches had to endure was quite painful and likely costly, the departure of Dion Prestia & Jaeger O’Meara will hurt the Suns in the short term but that definitely provides an opportunity for others to make an impact in 2017.

With the new season just around the corner the expectations are once again high for Gold Coast fantasy options especially new draftees and recycled players, keep in mind the Round 9 Bye in which there are no AFL Fantasy squad adjustments and also the preceding game in China where conditions could impact heavily on fantasy scores.

Here are 5 potential targets for Gold Coast in 2017

Gary Ablett (MID, $611,000)

As good as Ablett has been a genuine fantasy star over his career the future outlook is starting to look a little bleak, in the last 3 years Ablett has played just 53.0% of available games with his shoulder injury being of most concern. As much as there will be some negativity in selecting Ablett to begin the 2017 season there is certainly plenty of upside available especially if he can manage a full 22 game H&A season, for a player that scored 120pts or more at an excellent 42.9% S/R (Strike Rate) in 2016 he is a very good point of difference but the health risk might be a little high for many fantasy coaches in 2017.

Michael Barlow (MID, $583,000)

The warning signs were clearly evident at the beginning of 2016 under Ross Lyon but after moving to Gold Coast in the off-season Michael Barlow should enjoy plenty of midfield time and plenty of opportunities to once again become a genuine option to any midfield in 2017, despite a lean season eventually cut short by injury Barlow still managed to score 120pts or more at a 23.1% S/R with a high of 159pts against Port Adelaide in Round 13. There will be no doubting Barlow’s use in the midfield at the Suns next season under coach Rodney Eade, an average over 100.0pts is certainly not out of the question and maybe more.

Pearce Hanley (MID, $506,000)

Moving south approximately 80km’s to his new club Pearce Hanley is priced at an average of 83.8pts to start the 2017 season, his positioning at the Suns will be an interesting watch over the pre-season for fantasy coaches. Hanley definitely has a pretty decent ceiling as represented by his career high 182pts against Gold Coast in Round 18 2014, like Barlow he is coming off a poor season scoring 100pts or more at a very moderate 22.7% S/R but hopefully a new environment will be the impetus for a boost in his fantasy output in 2017.

gary-ablett

David Swallow (MID, $355,000)

Coming in at a heavily discounted salary to begin the 2017 season is David Swallow, he did not play in 2015 and managed just 6 games in 2014 due to a knee injury. Having just signed a contract extension at the Suns Swallow is currently in full training and barring any setbacks should be right to go in Round 1, with the departures of Prestia & O’Meara to rival clubs the opportunity for Swallow to excel and be a leader amongst the midfield group is there for the taking. Swallow averaged 84.0 from 6 games in 2015 and 93.8 from a full season in 2014, hopefully he can complete a full season again in 2017 and repay fantasy coaches that are willing to take the risk on him.

Aaron Hall (MID, $635,000)

Despite a frustrating 2016 for Aaron Hall owners the numbers he put up were still quite outstanding, whether Rodney Eade remains committed to playing Aaron Hall in the midfield is certainly another question. Hall averaged 105.2pts from 17 games in 2016 scoring 100pts or more at a very good 64.7% S/R and scoring 120pts or more at a reasonable 17.6% S/R, he posted a career high 151pts against Carlton and had just 2 games fewer than 90pts. Any news on Hall over the pre-season needs to monitored as selecting him at Round 1 does come with an element of risk, if the Suns can put together a reasonable season then Hall’s 2016 average of 124.8pts in winning teams does come in to play for a nice point of difference.

aaron-hall


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PlayerClubPos2016 Avg2016 Gms2017 Price
Hall, AaronGCMID105.2417$635000
Ablett, GaryGCMID101.2114$611000
Barlow, MichaelGCMID96.5413$583000
Lyons, JarrydGCMID89.2818$539000
Lynch, Tom J.GCFWD86.1822$520000
Fiorini, BraydenGCMID111.52$512000
Hanley, PearceGCMID83.7722$506000
Miller, ToukGCMID/FWD81.6118$493000
Nicholls, TomGCRUC77.2715$466000
Rosa, MattGCMID75.6715$457000
Martin, JackGCDEF/FWD75.121$453000
Rischitelli, MichaelGCMID74.0812$447000
Kolodjashnij, KadeGCDEF72.4219$437000
Harbrow, JarrodGCDEF70.7621$427000
Shaw, MattGCMID70.1513$424000
May, StevenGCDEF68.5917$414000
Lonergan, JesseGCMID67.0715$405000
Hallahan, MitchGCMID60.85$398000
Matera, BrandonGCFWD65.6517$396000
Wright, PeterGCFWD64.9417$392000
Sexton, AlexGCMID63.6118$384000
Currie, DanielGCRUC774$381000
Davis, RyanGCFWD62.7919$380000
Swallow, DavidGCMID00$355000
Day, SamGCDEF/FWD58.720$354000
Saad, AdamGCDEF57.710$349000
Brooksby, KeeganGCDEF59.888$340000
Ah Chee, CallumGCFWD55.6316$336000
Grant, JarradGCFWD55.4613$334000
Witts, JarrodGCRUC542$328000
Schoenfeld, JoshuaGCMID61.54$305000
Lemmens, SeanGCDEF50.2313$304000
MacPherson, DarcyGCFWD58.754$290000
McKenzie, TrentGCDEF41.147$285000
Thompson, RoryGCDEF46.3614$279000
Joyce, JesseGCDEF42.2711$255000
Ainsworth, BenGCMID/FWD00$244000
Scrimshaw, JackGCDEF00$238000
Brodie, WillGCMID00$234000
Bowes, JackGCMID/FWD00$232000
Leslie, JackGCDEF461$208000
Willis, McKenzieGCDEF/MID37.333$178000
Loersch, CameronGCFWD00$150000
Scheer, BradGCMID00$150000
Spencer, MaxGCDEF00$150000

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25 Comments

  • FAQ: Why is Fiorini $512K?

    This one sucks, but in the aim to be consistent with pricing (based on the oh so lovely feedback last year), Fiorini receives a 24% discount based on his average. His average is so high due to his belter of a game in round 23. In the pursuit of being consistent, he is priced at approx 85 points per game (0.76 x 111.5).

    • Do we name this anomaly, the ‘Fiorini Sequence?’ – Math joke, sorry.

    • Warine, what do you mean an aim to be consistent? If Sandilands was arbitrarily decided to be priced at 75 instead of 50-odd, why couldn’t Fiorini be priced at $300k? No different to deciding not to apply the discount to Fyfe’s 98.

      I mean I don’t care, I wouldn’t have picked him up for anything above rookie price, but to act like all decisions are made on data alone without discretion…

  • Kade Kolodjashnij is the obvious one here – looks to be back on track after a new diet and clearing up his digestive issues. Was a stand out in the time trial and is having a full pre season. Could easily top an 85 average by season’s end if he has a good run at it.

    • KK’s a decent option, but I’ve got to see how he lines up in the GC side

      his best role (and his debut season one) kinda came as that Houli-type role, in that he carries the ball off HB
      but then GC have quite a few of those types of players (Hanley, Rosa, Swallow)

      he’s a watcher in preseason for me, but is priced well enough to be a viable D3 or D4

  • AFL fantasy once again proving why its is the least popular form of fantasy around. 512k for a player thats played 2 games. WHAT A JOKE. Going on that Theory, Swallow should be sub 100k…. what a crock this game has become. Supercoach and REAL dt has my website traffic now.

    • Haha. Okay. Great comment, especially re: Swallow. If you have followed along, he has received a 30% discount based on the 84 he averaged in 2015 (due to a season out).

      • so using that logic, does that mean O’Meara is dirt cheap?
        average of 92.7, but factor in 30% and then another 30% due to missing two seasons (effectively pricing him at 45.4) – which by these releases should make him around 273k

        TASTY

        of course, the more realistic approach is that he only gets 1 lot of the 30% discount, making him around 390k

  • I understand the reasoning and accept is same price for everyone. That said though surely fact the man has played less than 2 games then there should be a ‘no job security’ clause into pricing when played less than a certain amount of games. Surely at this price he does not come into consideration for anyone, given Suns have Ablett & Swallows back Barlow in and Hanely to pick from, a fit Hall and throw in Touk Miller. You can argue that Omera is gone but he never played and even Prestia had limited games so no reverse impact there. – I predict 0% ownership so he may as well not even be In the list.

    • Your gripe is with Fiorini, not AFL Fantasy.

      Pricing is consistent. Not sure what else can be done. People didn’t like some players being treated differently (eg. Wells, Kerrdige), and now they don’t like someone who averaged, albeit from 2 games, 111.5 and having his price based on that – with a 24% discount.

      It sucks, but if he scored 100, not 166, we wouldn’t be having this conversation.

      He isn’t the first and won’t be the last.

      That is unless people would accept different pricing rules for different players… (which isn’t something that would go down too well after sitting behind social media last year).

      • Haven’t AFL Fantasy already given different rules to Fyfe because he’s a gun and not given him a discount?

        I think raising Wells and Kerridge’s prices was great for the game and made it more challenging but it was great because those prices were more accurate to what they can produce while still being fairly good value which is not the case with Fiorini.

        I know mathematically it’s consistent but logically it’s very inconsistent and if he isn’t the first and won’t be the last, then maybe the formula should be adjusted.

        • There is. They get a discount. Fiorini isnt priced at his 111.5 avg hes priced far lower due to the formula being applies. I think it brings him down into the mid 80’s

      • I think people’s gripes here are that there are special cases to prevent gun players being priced too low, but nothing in place to prevent the opposite.

        Having said that though, even if Fiorini was priced somewhere from $300-400k I still don’t think there’d be anyone picking him.

      • Fantasy and RDT did increase the value of a player a couple of year’s ago merely based on the criteria that the system in place at the time was giving him a value that was way below a fair value. This was generally referred to as the “common sense” rule.
        Whether that be right or wrong is a debate for another time however the fact that a player’s value was changed simply because it was deemed inappropriate to leave him at the value the system would have him at should work in both scenarios.
        Fiorioni should also have the same “common sense” rule applied to him and a more appropriate figure be put on his head making his value more in the $300K range.
        Then they could say they are being consistent.

        • It’s one of those situations where you can’t win. People want consistency with pricing, here it is! New rules in place to avoid overpricing (which IMO is more important than underpricing). Unfortunately there will always be some anomalies, this is one. Maybe we need to look at having some rules that can be bent.

        • There really wouldnt be a problem is he scored 57 and 100. 78 with a 24% discout and no one would be problem.priced at 60 around 360k.

  • My boy Fiorini gonna be a massive differential this year.

  • Yes not sold on Fiorini his role is undefined I think there is better value around his price. Example est Cotchin for around 30-40k more – I predict he will avg 110 with Caddy and Prestia to protect him in mids and also allow him to sit forward now and then like in 2012 where he can kick 2-4 goals a game – watch this space

  • Fiorini made an average and he’s priced accordingly,no one said he has to be selected. At least he won’t be in 99 percent of starting teams which opens up more variations which can only be a good thing.Big fan of fantasy & the harder the better.Fielded my required team last year early & that gave my opposition a chance to counter my players & cost me a couple of Finals. But loved every minute of it!! Top 1000 in the last 2 years running & planning for it again.Keep up the good work warnie & co.

    • Agree the pricing structure same for all Fantasy has its own anomalies which make it fun. My finish this year not flash but 2015 I finished 264th really chuffed with that achievement lol did not even win my league. Bring it on play all 3 styles but Fantasy is with me mates.