NBL Dream Team: Round 8 Preview

Another week down with more injuries and misfires, where sometimes it seems that luck is the most important thing to have.

 

Round 7 – Highs and Lows

Top scorer for the round was Brad Newley. He fell just short of the century with 98 and only just outscored Alex Pledger who got 96. The third highest scorer was Torrey Craig with 86, which was a monster score given that he only played the one match. Rotnei Clarke found some for with 76, while top captain choice Kevin Lisch was respectable with a solid 70. The best value selection for the round was Greg Hire who hustled his way to 62.

Brenda Teys posted an absolutely shocking -10, but it was his superstar teammate Jerome Randle who took out the honour for the worst selection this round, having a second bad week in a row with just 2. Terrance Ferguson also got -6 and just looking at those scores you can tell it wasn’t a great round for Adelaide. Other disappointing performances came from David Anderson with 0 from a single match, while from two matches Oscar Forman and Michael Holyfield managed 2 and 8 respectively.

 

Get Ready for Round 8

Ideally we would be trading Jerome Randle into our squads this week, however he is super expensive, has just come off two poor games, and has a breakeven of 125. I’m inclined to wait two rounds for his price to plummet, however Randle is the sort of player who could get 125. Kevin Lisch is the next most expensive player and if you don’t have him it’s been a painful last few weeks. His breakeven is 95 though, but again achievable. Daniel Johnson on return from injury was very solid with 54 and looks to have the most potential for improving value amongst the premiums with doubles. Of those with single matches, Torrey Craig, Rotnei Clarke and Tai Wesley (who is quite cheap for his potential) all have negative breakevens.

Cheap options are headed up by Greg Hire, although his 62 was more points than he had scored for the whole season prior to round seven. He’ll make really good money for at least one week though. Mason Bragg was also great for Perth, but I’m loathe to suggest anyone trade in a a player who has had limited games, simply look at how Melbourne benched Adnam. Tim Coenraad and Rhys Martin both had good rounds and have a history in previous seasons of being dependable scorers, just be prepared that they might continue averaging around 15 and they are more like role-players this year. Majok Deng is the only cheap player from those with a double who is offering any value, although he’s been averaging 11.5 and that doesn’t look like changing.

A few other options to consider bringing in include David Stockton, Chris Goulding, or Mika Vukona could also be worthwhile inclusions depending on your needs.

Looking at players to cut is only slightly¬†easier. Matthew Knight after being my choice inclusion last week let us all down with an average score, but worse, he injured himself. Although he is a possibility to be fine to play this weekend, I am inclined to trade out injured premium players and use the money better elsewhere. David Andersen has started going down in value and now has a breakeven of about 70, so now is the perfect time to trade him out. Alex Marics also looks to have peaked, but holding him shouldn’t¬†hurt you too much as he shouldn’t drop in price too quickly. Rob Loe is injured and has a relatively high breakeven so can afford to go, although if he comes back New Zealand still have a few good doubles approaching. Finally, if you brought in Corey Webster hoping that he would improve then it’s worth considering cutting your losses, he’s only had two high scoring games all season.

 

Captain Options

Only Adelaide and Sydney play double matches this round and it’s tough to pick how that’s going to end up, particularly for the 36ers who can score somewhat erratically and play both games away. In the order I would select them:

  1. Kevin Lisch
  2. Brad Newley
  3. Jerome Randle
  4. Greg Whittington
  5. Nathan Sobey
  6. Daniel Johnson

 

Good luck everyone

Follow Tristan on Twitter: @Xebradant

nbl-16-17-fixture-plot

11 Comments

  • Would you go Ogilvy or DJ…?

    I’m thinking of going Mckay to one of those two.

    • I’m leaning towards DJ just because he has slightly more double matches and Adelaide needs him to deliver. Ogilvy has had the luxury of quieter games this year, although he is very cheap for what he can output.

    • He got injured but the message is that he’s fine.
      We’ll just have to wait and see though. I’m leaving him on my bench as I’ve so many other people to trade out ahead of him.

  • Hi, I am thinking trading out Harris for Bragg for some quick $ and then trading Andersen for Stockton. What do you think?
    Starters: Andersen Knight Maric Craig Newley
    Bench: Bairstow Loe Hodgson Abercrombie Harris
    Also how many trades remaining should you have? I currently have 19 before this round.

    • I currently have 19 left and will be making another two this round. I’m looking to try and make single trades over rounds 11, 12, 13.

      And plan looks good as long as you are prepared that Bragg might stop getting court time, almost definitely when Damian Martin comes back.

      • Thanks Tristan. I am now following you on Twitter too. (MattM_78 is me)
        Thanks for the information regarding trades as am new to this.
        Matty Knight is a risky option holding this week following his shoulder injury but I hear he is training with the team so should be okay. I want to move on Hodgson at some point. I also feel Abercrombie could be traded for a better player over the coming weeks too. My thinking for Bragg is just some quick $ so yes nothing long term there, maybe even trade for Damian Martin when he returns?

  • Hi. I brought in Hodgson to make cash but he has a huge break even and will fall a lot this round. Should I keep him for the double or take the cash and upgrade?
    Also which two should I pick out of Craig DJ and Pledger?

  • Whittington, Knight (Mitchell, Young)
    Maric (Bairstow)
    Newly Prather (Penney, Drmic)
    Bank – $134.1

    Was thinking A Mitchell and K Penney to T Craig and K Lisch

    Might have to reconsider with the M Knight injury

  • Hi Tristan. Went Knight to Sobey and thinking Loe to Petrie or R. Martin. Which do you think is the better option. In top 20 now and want to keep my spot. Thanks. Team is Whitt, Newley, Pledger, Lisch, Sobey. Res – Bairstow, Loe, Maric, Craig and Abercrombie.

Leave a Reply


To get your own unique avatar for DT Talk comments, please go to www.gravatar.com and sign up with the same email address you have signed up here with.