Lachie Neale – Deck of DT 2016

Name: Lachie Neale
Club: Fremantle
Position: MID
AFL Fantasy: $563,000
AFL Dream Team: $589,200
Bye Round: 15
2015 Average: 101.64
2015 Games Played: 22
Predicted Average: 107.8

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Why Should I Pick Him?

Starting the season at 455k, the 6.57% of coaches that started with Neale labelled him as one of the best breakout options of the year, following his above average finish to the year, in 2014.

What a year it was to be for the Fremantle youngster. Neale polled 15 votes in the Brownlow Medal, while also winning the Ross Glendinning medal for best afield in the Dockers’ round three win over the Eagles in the Western Derby. Now, how to do these facts relate to his fantasy output?

In his breakout season, Neale recorded 5 scores over 125. This is the equal 6th most for scores in this category. These numbers were recorded in his so called ‘breakout season’. Who knows how many of these beastly numbers he can produce in years to come.

Although I’m not one to take away scores from his average, Neale played while sick in the round 4 match against Sydney, in which he struggled and scored 36 points. In Fremantle’s round 23 clash with Port Adelaide, Neale was one of the tiny majority of players who didn’t miss out the game. As Fremantle’s place had been locked away on top of the table, he got given the red vest at HT while on 73 points. Yep, you read that right.
So, what does this mean? By taking his round 4 ‘flu affected’ score out, he averaged 105. Furthermore, by doubling his round 23 score of 74 (subbed out at half time) against Port, his average sky rockets up to 108. Based on this he is potentially underpriced.

Neale averaged 5 marks and 3.7 tackles a game in 2015. We all know how big Neale’s ceiling is, recording up to 9-10 marks and more than 7 tackles on numerous occasions. This is a big positive to Neale’s game, as he doesn’t have to have massive disposal games just to get over the 100 mark, ie players like Lewis, Kennedy.

Neale is young and still has a lot of growth in him, gradually increasing his DT average every year. Although this looks threatening to other teams, I suspect that the general tag should go towards the likes of Fyfe, Mundy, even Bennell before Neale.

Neale comes in at 563k, and will save you some cash and should be a unique point-of-difference for your team. Fremantle also has the handy round 15 bye.

Fremantle has probably the easiest starting DT draw for Fremantle midfielders. The Dockers face the Bulldogs, Gold Coast, Eagles, Kangaroos, Carlton, Adelaide and GWS in their opening 7 games. But this doesn’t mean Neale will average more than he usually would. Wrong.

(Important stat coming in) Neale averages 130 in wins over 20 points. Yep, you read that right.

Why Shouldn’t I pick him?

Neale recorded 3 scores under the 70 mark last year, while scoring between the 70-80 mark on five occasions (Round 23 against Port he was rested at HT). This is concerning especially if he doesn’t turn out the way you wanted him to.

Could you pick Neale over potential value picks like Parker, Sloane, Adams and Prestia who could have the same or slightly better average for a cheaper price?

Is he a captaincy option?

Deck of DT Rating.

KING – You know how Brad Ebert has those flying starts to the year? I believe Neale could average up to 120, before his bye. This would make him the ultimate unique player to start the year off with.

Neale is a hidden AFL Fantasy gem. It was almost impossible to think of any disadvantages to his game apart from the fact that there could be better options…

Stick him in at M3/4, keep him quiet, reap the rewards, finish number one in the world for DT, enjoy the cash, watch the GF live at the MCG, live life happily ever after… or maybe it doesn’t quite go like that. Anyway, just pick him.

Is Lachie Neale worth locking in?

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30 Comments

  • LOCK.

  • I HATE YOU BENJO.

    No for me atm

    • Haha. He has been high on a lot of watchlists. It’s true that Parker and Adams have had more attention but he is def in the mix

  • I had Neale from get go last year loved it, can he step up? Maybe? Will have to look hard at my team again

  • I think its just the 4 scores between 70-80. Either way, 7 scores under 80 (6 with the vest taken out) is not what youre looking for from a top 10 premo imo. I had a quick look at the others you mentioned at that price and their scores from last year (2014 for Sloane cos he got injured about 10 times last year), and taking out injury affected games like youve done for Lachie… Lachies doubled or more than each of their respectuve counts of scores under 80. Id take consistency over ceiling any day of the week, Lachies too risky for me, but I can see the upside.

  • Do a jack McRae one

  • Neale or Gaz?

  • Brilliant!
    Perfect pick for the Deck.
    One of the best so far..

    Tom Mitchell is a very similar candidate to Lachie…
    Young, ball magnet, potential to average highly, down in the tag order and playing for a top 8 side..
    Be ballsy to start with both!!

    • Exactly my thoughts, and even throw in there Taylor Adams.

      Starting with 1 is good, two is risky, and three ballsy- could literally be the make or break of your whole season.

      At this stage I am really tempted for Adams and Mr Neale.

  • Lock. A solid start to the season could see his price tag jump too unattainable heights!

  • C’mon…Nat Fyfe’s better then this bloke.

  • One concern that I have about Neale is that his tank really isn’t that good and he always seems to be taking rests on the bench – which leads to his increased PPM. The lowering of the interchange cap surely doesn’t help his case as he’ll more likely be forced to spend more time up forward and if he’s tank hasn’t improved he could really die off towards the end of games.

    Last year he always seemed to score heaps of his points in bursts and if he can’t recuperate on the bench like he did last year there is a possibility his average could go down.

  • Benjo,
    you are making the selection of my side so difficult. As much as I would like to, I can’t have them all. Ablett, Rocky, Mitchell & Parker are my top 4. Add them to the you know who mid-pricers plus the rookies and there is no more room. (:

  • Benjo,
    you are making the selection of my side somewhat more difficult. As much as I would like to, I can’t select them all. Gaz, Rocky, Titch and Parker are my current top 4. Add the you know who mid-pricers together with the rooks and there is no more room.
    Very convincing article all the same.

  • Yeah love the article dude. Well done. Keep it up.

  • Thank you guys for the encouraging messages.

    I’m afraid this will be my last article for a while. Been a total privilege being able to write with the best.

    Don’t worry though I’ll still try and comment on as many teams as possible in the ‘my team’ section.

  • Thanks for the article Benjo.

    There’s no doubt he was a good pick last year, and would have been great value and a point of difference. But like others here, I’m not so convinced about this year.

    There are more consistent/proven premium options for around the same price point, and he’s not cheap enough to see a great deal of upside if riding the fixture.