Michael Barlow – Deck of DT 2016

Screen Shot 2016-01-18 at 11.47.26 PMName: Michael Barlow
Club: Fremantle
Position: Forward/Midfielder
AFL Fantasy: $515,000
AFL Dream Team: $539,100
Bye Round: 15
2015 Average: 93
2015 Games Played: 22
Predicted Average: 98

Click here for DT Live profile.

Why should I pick him?

Because we have a true midfielder gifted with forward status! Last season, Barlow would regularly line up on a forward flank at centre bounces and push up as Freo’s extra midfielder. Here’s his 2015 heat map…

zz_barlowhm

(Credits to Champion Data / AFL Live Pass for the heat map)

Thankfully, Champion Data heavily consider the starting position of a player and not so much where they get their possessions (Montagna similar). With Ross Lyon set in his ways, I highly doubt Barlow’s role will change much this year even with Bennell joining Freo. Harley will replace the likes of Suban, Sheridan and Mzungu in the guts and on the outside, not a premium on baller like Barlow.

Excluding the year he broke his leg, 2015 was Barlow’s worst Fantasy season to date but he still averaged a very respectable 93 Fantasy points per game. So is he on the slide? Some might say yes but at 28 years of age, history suggests Barlow should be hitting his football prime! If he can add a few more possessions and goals to his 23 disposals, 5 marks and 4 tackles per game last season then he’ll be the most commonly owned Fantasy player behind Rocky and Ablett.

Barlow had high scores of 145, 136, 124 and 119 last season and he hit three figures 50% of the time. This is all mildly appealing for a premium midfielder but exciting for a premium forward especially with Swanny, Goddard, Mitchell and Gray all losing their forward status. Looking at the remaining forwards available, Barlow is at very short odds to finish the year as a top 6 averaging forward.

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

Barlow wasn’t the most consistent Fantasy player going around last year. 145 one week then 55 and 44 in the next two rounds. Another example is 19 Fantasy Points and a red vest in Round 20 followed by 100, 119 and 136 to finish the regular season. Scores like these may result in a rage (wasted) trade by owners.

That’s seriously all I got.

Screen Shot 2016-01-18 at 11.52.52 PM

Deck of DT Rating.

KING – A near guaranteed Top 6 averaging forward with good durability is enough for me. Barlow playing alongside Fyfe, Mundy, Hill, Neale and now Bennell will see him slip under the opposition’s radar this season and he should average around 100 Fantasy points per game as a result. No news is good news when it comes to his preseason to date so fingers crossed he stays fit and healthy for Round 1. All in all, a very safe pick and under-priced if you think he can reach his 2014 average of 111! Get him in your team.

What will Barlow average in 2016?

View Results

Loading ... Loading ...

FOLLOW ME ON TWITTER: @JeppaDT for all thing AFL Fantasy (and more). Got something to say about the deck? Use the hashtag… #DeckofDT.

deckofdt2016_bottom

15 Comments

  • Gee, I worry with Barlow 2015 was a start of a slide rather than an aberration. I hope I am wrong but will take the risk and upgrade to him if required.

    • Many thought that 2015 Swanny was on the slide too. 110+ avg, no time through the year where he got any cheaper and a lot of people wishing they’d started with him.

    • If you think he’s sliding then the risk would be to start with him, not have him as an upgrade target.

  • The heat map surprised me, if anything showing how bad he was as a forward for the games he spent more time there. Still, it seems like his spot is kinda gone based off last year, the hope is Bennell takes that forward who goes in the mids spot, forcing them to find room for Barlow, but at this stage I don’t have him in baring some injuries to Fyfe/Mundy/Neale opening up a spot.

  • Your dreaming if you think he’s playing in the middle with those guys this year, he will spend most if not all his time up foward being as useless as he was last year, its a definate no for me, i can get scores of 60’s from a rookie thanks

  • Well he and the rest of people who pick him are welcome to his scores of 60’s and possibly lower this year for $500k, short memories people dont you all remember how angry you all were last year with him… Enjoy!

  • Barlow will be one of those season make or break trades.

    I predict that there will be two big camps in the serious DT crowd those that see him as too much a risk. Those who think he is too good value as a fwd.

  • I had him last year and he cost me a few games with his low scores, specifically vs West Coast at the start of the year he got 50 and Neale gets 150+. Not for me. I think his days are over

  • freo’s easy early draw does tempt me. also the fact that fyfe and bennell have had compromised pre-season’s. but he was way too erratic last year.

  • I will wait and see because crabs moved quicked then him

  • Becoming a fwd certainly helps his cause but last season was full of highs and lows for him.I’m going to be backing him from the start because we know what he is capable of and averaging around 100 is enough for me. Rather then risking a fwd spot on potential. It’s just that Barlow has posted the numbers to show his class

  • Good to see most passing him over will be locked for me

  • Locked!!