NBL Dream Team: Round 8 Preview

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A roller-coaster round saw players putting up rubbish and brilliance all over the place. I expect this week will be known as AJ week where it is a case of those with and those without.

 

Reviewing Round 7

Round 7 Champions

Daniel Johnson‘s huge second game where he scored 73 meant that he just beat out Casey Prather (90) for top honours. Alex Pledger was actually the 3rd highest scorer for the round making him easily the best value. Lucas Walker (52) continued his yo-yo scoring to be the second best value, while Casey Prather gets a second mention as third for best value.

Round 7 Disasters

Hakim Warrick actually took out all three disaster positions this round, but sticking with my principle of only listing a player once, I decided he would be the Worst Value Pick because “Why do you still have him?!?”

It was a poor round for Adelaide imports as Jermoe Randle (36) was well short of his scores so far and particularly hurt those who thought he’d be a good captain gamble, while Ebi Ere (12) just didn’t deliver at all. Steven Markovic (2) is yet to find any rhythm while Larry Davidson (-2) proved me wrong and failed to continue his improvement.

 

Get Ready for Round 8

Round 8 Premium TT

While Perth only plays the single game this week, they have three straight doubles again following. Casey Prather gets to the top of the list with a negative break-even plus Perth are now looking to him as their “go-to guy”. Nick Kay is still great value and is now Townsville’s top scorer but isn’t listed above because everyone has him, right? At $98,700 Clint Steindl isn’t really a premium or a bargain, but he looks like a good choice too with Townsville’s doubles. Jason Cadee makes the bottom of the list of the back of 5 straight scores of 20+, but how he will go with the return of Josh Childress is the big question. Tai Wesley is also of note as he has the lowest break-even of any player, but it’s really contingent on him returning and returning fit.

Round 8 Bargain TT

Alex Pledger misses out on this list only because he’s already gained over $30k in the last three weeks and once Tai Wesley returns he might slow down his scoring. Mitch Creek could also join Brendan Teys and Lucas Walker, however with all the Adelaide players remember that you should be aiming to have traded them back out of your team by round 11 to avoid the byes.

Round 8 Captains

You could also go for one of the Townsville players in Brian Conklin, Clint Steindl, or Jordair Jett, but really if you don’t have AJ Ogilvy then it’s likely to be a pretty disappointing round for you.

With Illawarra and Townsville the only teams playing the double match then it could be a light scoring round for a lot of people. If you’ve got any players from those teams who are averaging 20+ then get them on court. Otherwise it becomes the gamble game of trying to pick scores, however unless you’re looking at something like a Mitch Young vs Julian Khazzouh then I usually favour the player with the double.

9 Comments

  • Great read mate
    Is it worth trading Knight to Conk or Prather
    Or trade Holt to Gliddon

    • A lot of people will be trading out Knight this week, myself included, although holding him could be a nice point of difference as he’s been ok. People were just wanting more out of him because of his great start. I’m trading because I need a forward spot and he’s the only viable out this week for me.

      If you’ve kept Holt so far then consider holding him through to Round 12 when Melbourne is the only team with a double. But it depends on your team structure.

  • Thanks as always for your efforts Tristan. Really appreciated. Your’s is the only article on this site along with Jeppa’s that I check in for regularly. My bind is similar to Cameron’s: should I dump Knight this week. He’s losing cash, seems to be carrying injury & the Cats seem to be running things through Jawai when the two are on court together (so I don’t see him improving his output any time soon). I’m very light on Townsville players (only Kay & Young) & no Illawarra players. I can’t get to AJ this week (biding my time & hoping to turn DJ into him on Adelaide’s bye). I’m a couple of hundred off switching Webster & Knight for Lisch & Conk this week. So I think I’m just going to have to bite the bullet & give up ground this week & hope to claw it back in the following weeks. I know Conk has been ordinary, but his BE is achievable & I can bank the cash from the Knight downgrade for the hopefully upcoming DJ to AJ trade in round 11. The rest of the team is strong for rounds 9 & 10.

    • Cheers – it’s great to know people value them.

      Don’t worry too much about loading up on Townsville, they haven’t been overly high scoring. That said I have Kay and am looking at getting Conks and Steindl this week – although I might get Coenraad instead of one of them.

      It’s all really about planning for the bye rounds and just making sure you’re not using too many trades. I’ve only saved one so far so will need to save more very soon.

  • Here is my team

    D Johnson M Knight
    A Ogilvy
    J Beal C Webster

    Bench – M Majok, J Wagstaff, A Pledger, J Kenny, E Bartlett

    Thinking of
    Wagstaff & Bartlett Out
    L Walker & M Norton In

    M Norton wasn’t on your value pick ups. Is that because his role will reduce due to Conklin’s return?
    I am aware Walker doesn’t play but I will trade him and Johnson out before that week.

    69th for this week, 154th overall. Appreciate any advice

    • *doesn’t play in Week 11

    • Norton isn’t a bad choice at all but his breakeven is about 28 and if he gets his average he’ll score 34, so he’s not in a position to make lots of money, which is where I try to focus the bargains. He starts, every game I think, and gets good consistent court time so he has the opportunity to go big. He had two scores in the 40s earlier this season but they were in doubles when he also got teen scores.

      That’s a long way of saying he’s a good pick if you like him.

  • Hi Tristan.

    Team is currently.

    DJ, Prather.
    AJ.
    Goulding, Webster.

    Majok, Kay, Jervis, Ere and Bruce.

    69 k in the bank.

    Thinking Jervis to Burston and Bruce to Gliddon. Jervis will lose cash.

    Thoughts.