NBL Dream Team: Round 3 Preview

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Round 2 saw some very different scoring trends and made the big winners those with Captain Ogilvy. A stacked Round 3 should be much more fun and it’s time to trade in some Perth players.

 

Reviewing Round 2

Round 2 Champions

Those with AJ Ogilvy were the big winners, particularly if you had him as captain. Not only did he top score for the round, but his two games of 74 and 60 were also the biggest single match scores of the round. Oscar Forman (66) gets special mention above for tying with AJ in their second match. Other big scorers were Charles Jackson (98), Kirk Penny (90) and Julian Khazzouh (86). Whilst Everard Bartlett was the best value pick for the second week running this could be a short lived title for him with the impending return of Webster. Jason Cadee (62), Kevin White (44) and Clint Steindl (62) were the next best value for the round.

Round 2 Disasters

Although Ebi Ere was the worst value, it was a close call between him and two other Adelaide players in Lucas Walker (-2) and Nathan Sobey (-4) who only missed out due to their low cost. The contention was hot too as some big name players in Mark Worthington (8) and Nate Jawai (6) also failed to deliver. It didn’t stop there though as popular rookie Igor Hadziomerovic could only manage 2 from his limited court time. Plus there were an abundance of underwhelming scores that, while not a disaster, were far short of expectations.

 

Get Ready for Round 3

The first price changes have now come into effect and this has seen lots of the imports dropping in value and getting themselves onto my watch list as potential future bargains. For this week though Perth players are the top targets as not only are they yet to have a price change, but they also go on a five week run of double matches.

Round 3 Premium TT

Whilst it’s a bit of stretch to classify Jermaine Beal as a premium given his current price, at over $100k he’s certainly not a bargain, but he is cheap for what he can deliver. The best pick of the Perth players, you could also look at Matthew Knight ($137,400) or Casey Prather ($116,700) as both have been solid enough to start the season. Adam Gibson ($143,900) was unlucky to miss the above list given his great start to the season.

Round 3 Bargain TT

Jarrod Kenny and Kevin White are both dependent upon the ongoing injuries to keep getting extended court time, but both have shown they can take advantage of it. If you’re looking for a different cheap Perth player then Jesse Wagstaff ($86,700) has also had a respectable start to the season. Everard Bartlett ($62,900) should have made the above list but I dropped him off due to the uncertainty around his role with Webster’s return. Clint Steindl ($88,700) was even better in round 2 and if he can keep hitting shots then he’ll keep going up in price.

Round 3 Captains

If you’re the gambling sort you could instead take a punt on Todd Blanchfield to deliver a huge return like he did in round 1, or Daniel Kickert to continue his 3 point shooting spree. With six teams having the double match this round, make sure that your New Zealand and Illawarra players have been moved to the bench, although you could keep AJ Ogilvy on court given his current average is better than twice that of most players.

Finally, round three starts in New Zealand so lockout will be slightly early at 5:30 AEDT on Wednesday. Don’t get caught out!

16 Comments

  • FWD: DJ, Conk (Ch.Jackson, Kay
    CTR: AJ (Majok)
    GRD: Holt, Cadee (Bartlett, Te Rangi

    $25.3k left.

    Already went Te Rangi to Kenny before I read the article, so nice to know i’m on the right track!

    What would be the best option:

    1. Bartlett to Thornton (have $96.4k)
    2. Jackson to Knight (have $164.6k)
    3. Save a trade

    Any other oprions???

    Somehow have snuck into 1st overall

    • Congrats on the awesome #1 position.

      Consider saving the trade, both CharlesJ and Bartlett have negative breakevens so will make you money regardless of what happens this week and any problems with their scoring would be mitigated because they’re on the bench.

      Otherwise, consider getting rid of Conklin. I see that below you’ve suggested holding him, but he’s so much more dangerous to opposition teams than anyone else at Townsville, so the opposition are doing everything they can to hinder him. It could be a tough long season for Conklin.

      • With the amount of byes in later rounds, looks like banking trades will be necessary. Conklin just needs to step up!

  • I like Option 2. Knight 5 doubles in a row.

    I am toying with Conk to Knight/Warrick or AJ to khazzou but i think i’ll hold AJ for his double in round 4.

    Conks shot has been horrible but that can’t last forever.

    I may actually make no trades this round as I can’t go te Rangi to Beal without downgrading someone else.

    Would you pull the trigger on Conk out?

    • As you said, it can’t last forever so i’d lean towards holding. I’m actually leaning to trading out Bartlett. Webster is back and if I went Knight, i’d have to leave either Conk, DJ, or AJ on the bench

  • any word on Childress? worth moving him back in at this stage? Conk is going to lose some value over the next week…

    • Wait until Childress has got on court before you consider bringing him in. Even if he gets out there and posts a huge score, he needs to play three games before his price changes.

      And as I’ve written above, trading Conks out could be a good idea. I’ve just traded him our for Warrick.

  • Time for a controversial trade Option.

    I’m currently ranked 106th but my main aim is to win my league.

    The trade I’ve gone with is Ogilvy & Te Rangi Out, Beal & Warrick in.

    This leaves me with a starting line-up of
    Blanchfield, Warrick, D Johnson, Cadee & Beal
    Bench – Conklin, Kay, Majok, Bartlett & Holt

    I know that gives me 4 Melbourne players but they have 3 weeks of double games coming up.

    Ogilvy out as he plays singles games in 3/5/6/7 and Johnson playing 2 should outscore Ogilvy playing 1.

    Thoughts? Have $700 left so not much room to move in Salary.

    • I like the thinking outside of the box. I’d start – and i will actually haha – holt over cadee as he will be affected when Chilldress does return and holt wont shoot 4/12 every week

      Keep in mind league matches start round 4.

      • Thanks. I’d read it was Round 3. Well I’ll need to re assess now and ensure I have Ogilvy for Week 4 and then trade him out. Cheers.

  • anyway we can see live scores?