Trigger Happy: Finals Week 1

It’s finals week! The last week where everyone is still in theory within with a shot of premiership glory. As many a coach has said in the past to their troops ‘give it 110%’ and ‘don’t leave anything out on the field’ Well in DT we want to do the opposite and leave it ALL on the field to give ourselves the best chance of winning.TriggerHappy

 Defenders

Will Ibbotson play? It may sound stupid, but if he wasn’t going to play, or at least be a chance to play he wouldn’t be named. Maybe. Playing GWS at home  and on a Sunday, I would be worried. Terlich has been valiant for most of the year, but his form for the last 3 weeks has been somewhat underwhelming and it’s time to bid him farewell.

 

Heath Scotland ($367,300, b/e -16) – In the last 2 weeks, old Man Scotland has returned to his premium days of yesteryear when he was a walk up start to anyone’s starting team. Scoring 129 and 126 in the last 2 games, he’s in red hot form.  Perfect sideways trade from wither of the mentioned above.

Pearce Hanley ($421,500 b/e 70) Diddley – dee he’s popular again! Hanley seems to have been in and out of sides more than with form and injury than most other players. But with a 5 round average of 99, and his lowest of 83 in 5 weeks, Hanley should be a safe bet if your backline needs a bit of stability.

 

Midfielders

 

Tom Mitchell. It has been a pleasure to have you in my team for the past 8 weeks. You made life so easy, allowing me to upgrade other lines before that last M8 spot and outperformed my other mids most weeks. But a season of football is a long time, and your 2 lowest scores for the year have been in the last 3 weeks. It’s time to have a rest and I will see you again very soon. Yep, everyone’s boy Titchell is the most popular player traded out this week, being involved in 1/10 trades. While most thought he was a sure thing for M9 for the rest of the year, scores of  58 and 74 are not what are needed, especially when there are whispers of Pendlebury missing.

 

Jobe Watson ($420,600 b/e 145) It’s a good feeling to trade out a future Brownlow medalist and bring in the current Brownlow medalist! Watson is super cheap and likely to decrease in price more, but his potential output for value at $420k is still amazing. When it only costs $20k to trade from Titch to Watson it’s a trade I would do every week. Watson also loves playing my boys, with 122, 114 and 127 in his last 3 against them. Likely to get a Scooter tag, but will still score well.   

Steele Sidebottom ($479, 800, b/e 43) As Tbetta pointed out on Tuesday, Steele is pretty happy to have Beams back in the Collingwood team.  3 round average  of 123 and ownership of 3.7%? It’s a trade that could definitely reinforce your team – especially if you have Beams (boom tish!).

Ryan Griffen ($518,700, b/e 98). I thought the attack dog might start trailling off a month ago, with a couple of sup 100 performances. Nope. Since round 10, he has 7 100’s in 9 outings and 5 round average of 107. Doesn’t mind playing Carlton and with no Carrazzo to tag him, should be good to build on those 100’s. Still only in 11% of teams.

Rucks:

Kreuzer is the big out here with a calf injury. With Carlton’s ladder position, they can’t afford to not have their best team on the park so it would be a genuine injury. Do we Hold or Fold? Well for me, it depends on a couple of factors. If you have some currency on the bench in the way of a  Nicholls or Gawn, then some spare change would allow you to get most ruckman, giving good depth for the next 3 weeks. No cash and in an elimination final? Well trade away.

 

Will Minson $422, 800 b/e 64. ‘Big Will’ is your safest bet outside Cox in my opinion. Has moved up to the second highest averaging ruckman and a 5 round average of 90.  Is also the third most consistent scoring ruckman behind Cox and Roughead.  I would personally go a ‘set and forget’ type of ruckman rather than looking for a POD and try to win my matchup in a different part of the ground.

 

Aaron Sandilands $381, 000, b/e 106). Big Sandi has now had 4 games back and is starting to hit top fitness. With a score of 80 last week, he has been slowly building his scores every week and is up a against a giants outfit who won’t offer too much competition in the ruck department. The type of player you can sideways a Nicholls or Gawn to for minimal cash. Only in .99% of teams too, if you feel like taking a risk!

 

Shane ‘Sausages’ Mumford $363, 900, b/e 27. With 2 100’s in the last 2 weeks, and up against a 3rd gamer this week, I really want to recommend big Mummy, but am not too sure. While his form is good, 9 scores of 70 or under for the season is too risky in my opinion.

 

Brodie Grundy – ($107, 200 b/e -79) I couldn’t leave out the most popular traded in player this week! There is a lot to consider before bringing in Grundy this week.

The Good:

  • He’ll make you plenty of cash from a Blicavs or Nicholls and have a good price rise next week.
  • If you play him on the field, it allows you to keep Kreuzer and hope he returns next week.
  • Has scored 92 on debut, but that was against the giants

The Bad:

  • I still would be hesitant to play him on the ground in a do or die final this week in place of Kreuzer. Will Kreuz be back next week? Do calf injuries only last 1 week? History suggests they don’t.
  • There is also Grundy’s Job security to take into account. With some big games for Collingwood coming up, I imagine they would want to get Jolly back into their team ASAP.
  • Even if he does keep his spot in the team as a second ruck, I think his scoring ability would drop and his chance of a vest increase.

I’m 50/50 on this trade as I need to figure out whether to hold or fold Kreuzer. Season defining decision this one!

 

Forwards:

 

Buddy has come back to bit us in the arse again. I’m pretty sure he eclipses Heath Shaw and Beau Waters at the most frustrating player this year. Apart from Buddy-gate v 2013 rolling on, all is good in the forward line. No suspensions!

Rocky sneaks into the top 10 traded in this week after a stellar month of form. He’s been in my team from day dot, has never moved and rewarded me with a 98 average. Rocky is the classic example of riding the wave of varying form ( and coach’s orders) to still end up being one of the top forwards for the year. No trades were used on him, and my team is still better for his presence.  Looking ahead, I get worried with his role in the team again with Moloney coming back in and Brown now out for the season. DON’T DO IT VOSSY.  

Lewis Johnston ($140,100) made his season debut with a bang against the power last week. With Crows falling like flies, and their season over, he’ll get a few more games and be solid F9 cover. Likely the most traded in player next week.

 

Stubby’s Holders and Folders

Matty Kreuzer – As discussed above there are pros and cons for either decision and probably is guided by your league match. Split decision.

Everyone else can be Folded pretty much. Get as much value/points on the field every week now.

 

The Ty Vickery Award

 

A dual winner!

Buddy 2

 

After teasing us with a big 100 the week before, Buddy did what Buddy does best. Frustrate the hell out of coaches. Looking good at half time, he went missing in the second half  and put up a paltry 47. Then has a week off with hamstring tightness. NEVER AGAIN BUDDY, NEVER AGAIN.

 

 

 

 

 

Running review:

A solid week for me with 2266 and consolidating my spot around 1500th overall. My YOLO trades of Dixon and Steven didn’t exactly pay off, but I’m not too worried as I’m in no danger of winning overall and finished top 8 in 4/5 leagues (including first in the DT Talk writers league – BOOM!). This week I’ll bring in Watson for Titch as some reinforcement and Ponder whether to hold or fold Kreuzer. Holding Kruez means I can bring in Sandilands for Nicholls ….. decisions decisions.

Good luck in week 1 of finals!

 

Good Luck this week!

38 Comments

  • great article mate but was wonderin seriously what are the odds on pendles playing or not surely the pies cant afford to leave him out against sydney hes the most important player to their team and they cant afford to drop games.

    • I’m with you mate. There has been plenty of whispers of Pendlebury late outs in the past which have been nothing, so let’s hope it’s one of them.

    • also what do you think about bringing in jordan lewis for buddy and upgrading pittard to corey enright or hanley.

  • Plenty of food for thought about Kreuzer. Is anyone else considering holding him and playing Grundy.

    I was all set on Mitchell to Griffen with Ebert at M9 and Zorko to Bartel with Cloke at F7 until Kreuzer wasn’t named.

    The way I see it if Kreuzer was playing he would be up against Minson so could have easily only scored 70. If, and it is a big if, Grundy can scrape a 50, I would only be down 20 points on what I would have been if Kruezer had played. Im hoping my other 2 trades will provide more points than only doing one and sideways trading Kreuzer.

    If I can scrape a win and get the week off I can hold Kreuzer another week if need be. If he is out again and I lose I can reassess next week.

    Thoughts??

    • Good point about maybe being able to hold Kreuzer for a second week if a win can be scraped this week.

  • Interesting article JimmyBob. I have Kreuzer.

    Do I trade Blicavs to Hanley (moving Gibbs to my mid bench), Priddis to J Selwood and play Grundy, or

    trade Kreuz to Mumford (leaving Grundy on the bench), Blicavs to Joel and have Tom Mitchel on the bench? Can’t afford the best rucks if I want Joel.

    Posted this elsewhere and normally can make up my own mind but am having trouble this time. First trade was what i intended before Kreuz was out.

  • Good article talked me into Laird to Scotland. Then i shifted Grimes to D7 and starting Gibbs. I am tossing up Grimes vs Gold Coast or Gibbs vs Bulldogs who will score higher.

    Any thoughts

    • i would go Gibbs, much more consistent. yes Grimes does have potential, but he hasnt proven himself to me yet.
      I havent even decided if i should play grimes or clisby on my field?!

  • whats people thoughts on Kade Simpson as a POD ?

    74, 106, 103, 127, 119 in his last 5 – score of 70 came when the blues got torn a new one by collingwood ?

    playing the doggies this week at etihad, could be very good

    thoughts ?

  • Two strategies.
    .1 Go for broke sideways trade for points. Malceski > Hanley and Bird > Boomer. Stuck with Nichols and Blicavs no cover ruck bench

    2. Risk Malceski (sposed to be a premo afterall) trade Blicavs/Nichols to Grundy.

    I’m in top 4 for 4/5 leagues.

  • DEF: Goddard, Heppel, Gibbs, Ibbotson, Mckenzie, Grimes (Clisby, Thurlow)
    MID: Swan, Ablett, Pendlebury, Barlow, Jack, ROK, S. Mitchell, Beams (Titch, Martin)
    RUC: Cox, Kreuzer (Grundy, Naismith)
    FWD: Martin, Rockliff, Riewoldt, Bartel, Kennedy, Johnson (Staker, Neade)
    Cash Left 59k

    Trade options
    Ibbotson – Hanley
    Mckenzie – Enright
    and play Grundy
    or
    Kreuzer – Minson
    Ibbotson/Mckenzie/Grimes – Hanley/Enright
    leaning towards second option but which defender to trade out? Thinking Ibbo or Grimes

    Thoughts?

  • What is going on with Goddard?

  • Lewis Johnston F9 cover?

  • Who to have locked as m9 if pendles doesn’t play… titchell or Mayes?

    Goddard’s still playing with a broken finger… Has been for a few weeks

    • I always make decisions like that based on who has the higher ceiling, so you’d have to pick Tichell over Mayes IMO.

  • DEF: Goddard, Heppell, Gibbs, Ibbo, Hanley, Enright (Grimes, Clisby)
    MID: Swan, Ablett, Pendles, Barlow, Jack, Stanton, J.Selwood, Cotchin (Priddis, Mitchell)
    RUCK: Cox, Kreuzer (Nicholls, Grundy)
    FWD: D.Martin, Rocky, Bartel, Stevie J, Riewoldt, JJK (Daniher, Staker)

    10k remaining….Thoughts on trades or improvements??
    I was thinking of trading Kreuzer for Minson and Grimes for Hibberd/Ellis otherwise I can go Nicholls to Vardy/McBean and then Staker to a Roughead to cover Kreuzer??

  • I’ve got Priddis/Titchell as M8/M9 – planning to upgrade one and leave the other on the bench. I thought Priddis would be a better M9 but he is listed on an extended bench, anyone think he will miss?

    Who would you trade out?

  • Wait til 5 o’clock, it should change. I’d bin titch before Priddis though. I think titch might just get a rest soon.

  • DEF: Gibbs, Heppell, Goddard, Hibberd, McKenzie, Ibbotson SUB: Clisby, Thurlow
    MID: Swan, Ablett, Pendles, Barlow, K Jack, Priddis, T Mitchell, S Mitchell SUB: B Crouch, N Graham
    RUCK: Cox, Goldstein SUB: Blicavs, Currie
    FORWARD: Bartel, Stevie J, Stokes, Rockliff, J KEnnedy, D Martin SUB: Staker, Daniher
    $236,000 in bank
    Want to bring Hanley into defence, do I get rid of Ibbo or McKenzie?
    Looking to upgrade T Mitchell in the Mids but do I go to Beams or Griffin??
    I know a lot of these are toss of the coin on any given week really, but anyone got any thoughts?

    • Get rid of Ibbo. McPharlin not back till R23.

      Hm. Your choice on the other one. Maybe Beamer for ceiling, but Griff provides similar scoring + cash.

  • grimes – enright (this putting ibbot on bench as D7)
    staker – hansen (hansen will be my F7)

    which 2 to play in def:
    hibberd, gibbs, ibbot?

    • Thinking to trade back Hanley for R Henderson (swapped DPP with Staker)to be able to trade Titchell for K Jack. Do you think this is a better trade than McKenzie to Hanley (leave Henderson in fwd line) and Titchell to Watson. $100K balance. Mids are Ablett, Swan, Pendlebury, Barlow, Fyfe, Griffen and Mitchell – subs Crouch and Hunter.

  • who to get rid of for hanley out of Ibbotson/Mckenzie/Grimes. Next week will get rid of one of the other two for Enright.
    Thinking get rid of Ibbo this week and grimes next week.

    Thoughts please?

    • Grimes this week as he has been playing a tagging role
      Ibbo plays GWS so should score well

  • i need to get an 89k player in the fwd, who should i get

    • oxley so you can dpp with staker/henderson if needed
      Or you can get Mcbean to dpp with a fwd/ruck

  • which 2 to play in def:
    hibberd, gibbs, ibbot?

  • Are there any sources about Kruezer missing more than one week.
    What about Pendles rumours?

  • is anyone worried about beams being in FF position?

  • so i can only do 2 of these 3 changes
    staker – hanley (Ibbo to D7)
    priddis – Beams/griffen/k.jack
    Kreuzer – Minson
    have 300k so money isn’t a problem
    any opinions on what i should do?