Collingwood Magpies AFL Fantasy Preview

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This series of ‘club preview’ posts are written by DT TALK regular contributors choosing their 5 players they have on their watchlist from the respective club. These aren’t who we think will be the top 5 highest scoring players… and are not necessarily in order. They are just our opinions of the 5 players who we have on our watchlist heading into the 2013 season.

AKI’S FIVE FROM THE PIES

1. Dane Swan (MID), $99,999,999

Can Swanny be the highest point scorer per game again this year? For the past 4 seasons Dane Swan has finished the year with the highest average. Now to break it down, Gary Ablett, has never finished number 1 at seasons end based on average alone. Nick Maxwell has told us Swanny has had his best pre-season to date. You pick Dane Swan. Dane Swan doesn’t call the wrong number, you just answer the wrong phone. Dane Swan doesn’t wear a watch, he decides what time it is. Dane Swan sat in the corner of a round room. Dane Swan knows Victoria’s secret… anyway… The only downside of this, is Swan costs you your entire salary cap. You are allowed to pick Swan, but the remaining players must be auto filled with rookies.

*Dane Swan will actually cost you $688,100.

2. Scott Pendlebury (MID), $568,700

My personal favourite, but I can’t be too sentimental. I’ll just stick with the facts. Pendles has averaged over 100 for the past 4 seasons, with his best year being in 2011 with an average of 116.  Last year he averaged a touch over 110, which was the 7th highest average AFL wide. He has played 18 or more games for the past 6 years, which isn’t bad considering he fractured his lower leg last season (played 18 games). Pendles hates to miss games and hates to be rested. He is one of the most consistent DTers out there. With Collingwood’s mid-field getting stronger and stronger, especially with the growth of Beams and Sidebottom, Pendles in my opinion will be the beneficiary to this. Also with Swanny’s price to kick start this season, there are quite a few going just with Pendles early on. Tough call. For me, it’s both, again.

3. Brent Macaffer (FWD), $132,600

After a year to forget in 2012, Macaffer is looking to use it as an extra motivator for this season. Was damn close to playing in last years Finals after a bad knee injury, they held him off and “Caff” has had a massive pre-season. At his price, and position, he is nearly a no brainer. His best season to date was when the Pies won the flag in 2010. He averaged a touch over 75 and played in 17 games that year. His price in that season went from $203,000 to $361,000. No reason it won’t happen again and I feel that Macaffer this season if he continues to work hard could average 80-85 quite easily. Whether he holds his spot in your DT for the year is another question, but Caff will get you some decent returns. I personally wish him all the best! BM3.

4. Dayne Beams (MID), $599,400

The 2012 Copeland Trophy winner had well, obviously, his best season last year averaging a touch over 116 a game placing him 3rd behind Swan and Ablett for last seasons highest average. At 23, there is still plenty of improvement left in Beamer. He could really be anything this year. The toughest part is deciding/going with 2-3 Collingwood mid-fielders throughout 2013. Also being priced more so than Pendledury, that leaves even more of a decision. He was fantastic in the intra-club practice match and has had a more solid pre-season than the year previous. I think it will come down to personal preference and a bit of luck with the Collingwood Big 3 this season, you can’t really go wrong with any of them.

5. Heath Shaw (DEF), $422,800

I was going to go with Cloke here, but after last year’s bloody circus, it turned me off. Shaw has averaged over 80 for the past 7 years. That’s a fair effort for a defender, considering how thin good solid DTers are down back. 2013 is set-up to be a big one for Shaw, with the addition of Jordan Russell, a primed Harry O’Brien and fit Reid and Maxwell, you might see Shaw play up off a wing more than normally this season. It’s hard to put a cross through his name if you really think about it. I think he will finish up in the top 5 average this year down back. Maybe watch his form in first couple of rounds if you are unsure.

OTHERS ON THE WATCHLIST:

Sam Dywer (FWD/MID) – $89,300

I have been keeping close tabs on this bloke since he was picked up in the rookie draft. Is a 26 year old mature age recruit who won a Premiership with Port Melbourne last season and was named in the VFL team of the year. Loves to get in there and win his own ball and is handy up forward as well as he is a good finisher. Will be interesting to see if he breaks into the Magpies best 21, but he has been training with the midfield group and his price is as Bruce says, delicious.

Kyle Martin (MID) – $103,300

At 22, Kyle is another so they say, mature age recruit. Being more of an in and under player similar to Luke Ball, Kyle might find getting into the best 21 a bit tougher. But so far he has impressed everyone at the club and has had a solid hitout in the NAB thus far. Add to your watchlist as you just never know.

Andrew Krakouer (FWD) – $243,200

Another player returning from a serious knee injury. Krakouer even managed to fly with the team to Utah this pre-season, (something he has missed out on years prior) and is on track to be in Collingwood best 21 come Round 1. Watch his NAB form and game time to see what Krak can offer come Round 1. Could be a cheap pick-up if he comes out guns blazing.

Jarrod Witts (RUC) – $108,500

Witts has been showing some impressive skills for awhile now. With Dawes being traded, Wood and Ceglar being delisted, the Collingwood coaching staff are expecting big things from Witts and the guy next on my list. I believe once Witts gets up to speed with the quickness of the AFL game, he will be a beauty. Super athletic and great with his hands, I am keen to see if Collingwood give him a chance early on seeming the next bloke is battling injury.

Brodie Grundy (RUC) – $103,300

The 18th pick and Collingwood’s 1st in the draft, I am unsure how he fell so low in the draft. Is AFL ready and has the talent to match. Currently nursing a back injury which is affecting his training atm, I doubt we will see Grundy early on, but when he is 100% ready to go, I have no doubt Collingwood will get games into him. Jolly will not play every game this year and Hudson has been recruited not only as a ruck coach, but as another veteran who can also give a chop out to Jolly when need be so the kids (Witts and Grundy) don’t have to handle that burden. They won’t let what happen last year with Dawes playing the 2nd ruck and Collingwood being out of options when Jolly can’t put his mark on a game (Hello Q Stick!).

 

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14 Comments

  • Nice job Aki.

    I think most people would have Luke Ball in their top 5 from Collingwood this season though (I definitely rate him higher than Heater on my watchlist!)

    I’ll be watching with interest whether any of the rookies are able to crack this side early in the season, a few of them look promising but job security is of course the biggest concern… I wonder if Bucks would consider loaning Dwyer Grundy to Port for a season… hmmm…

    • I’d steer clear from Luke Ball this season. Especially after a horrid injury and no appearances in NAB as yet. There are so many other mid-field options to run with in 2013. Bally himself has said he has changed the way he plays a fraction over pre-season, be interesting to see what that means.

  • Nice writeup Aki. Are you starting with Shaw yourself? Or gonna wait to see if he pulls out some shockers in the first few rounds?

    I have to say i always intended to start with Swanny and Ablett but now im leaning towards not starting with Swan(downgrade to Beams) and upgrading my M5 Fyfe to Pendles and just hoping Swan drops a tad in price over the first half of the year and pick him up just before the byes.

    • Shaw is floating around my team trying to push his way in. I’ll wait till probably a few days before season starts to pull the trigger with him. Looks fantastic though.

      As for Swanny, it’s really just pot luck when it comes to his price. Chasing his scores could hurt you. If he goes bananas early, plan back fires. I think Swanny is more primed to go R1 than Pendles is. IMO.

  • Nice one Aki. Question, does the vice captain loophole take away the value of Pendlebury and Beams when you already have Swan ?
    The Magpies play the first match of the round 8 times this year, meaning you can use the VC loophole on Swan. Right now my midfield is Swan, Cotchin, Pendlebury, Murphy, Moloney, Embley, Viney, O’Meara, Lonergan & Wines. If I put the VC on Swan, then really I only have Cotchin and Murphy to fall back on as captain options. Does this take away the value of having Pendlebury, if instead of Pendlebury I went with Boyd, then this change gives me 3 captain options to fall back on instead of 2. Just wondering your thoughts if this could be a factor in not picking Pendlebury & Beams in your initial team if you already have Swan.

    • Is there still going to be a rolling lockout? I thought they scrapped that, there will only be partial lockouts in Rds 1,5 and 14… maybe my mind is playing tricks with me.

    • Interesting call. I wouldn’t personally let it put me off a player, because the chances of it actually making a difference is quite small.

      For it to matter, Swan needs to score below whatever you require him to cover to leave him captain (and the only score he had below 100 last year, a 95, he was injured and subbed off), you need to choose the Pendles replacement out of your other mids as your C, and then this replacement needs to score significantly more than the guy you would have chosen if you didn’t have him. Not a likelihood worth swaying your selection decisions IMO.

    • If Beams and Pendlebury are both top 6 points scorers again this year, the VC value is irrelvant. They just must be in your team regardless!

  • Nice job Aki. Swan, Pendlebury and B-Mac is all locked in

  • Good one Aki. I have Swannie, Pendles, Caff and one you haven’t mentioned *ssshhhhh*

  • Nice write up Aki!

    Oooh, maybe leave Heath Shaw alone. Last year Dream Team brought in the ‘reversible trades’ rule, meaning you can reverse any trades you make during the week up to the starting time of the first game of the next round… it’s not nicknamed the ‘Heath Shaw Rule’ for nothing. Whatever the reason, it doesn’t matter – he’ll find a way to screw you ;)

  • sidebottom?

    • Sidebums price is a bit too high ($539k) for me to start the year off. Plenty more options. Especially that he is no longer a DPP.