West Coast-Geelong-Fremantle NAB Round 1 Review

lecras

How exciting is it to have footy back? Even if it is some weird, bastardised version of the game we know and love. (I swear I saw the umpires flip a coin to make a decision at one point…)

But regardless, it’s great to have stats and fantasy points to mull over again!

Here are the results from last night:

Game 1: Geelong 1.6.4 – 49 d West Coast Eagles 1.6.2 – 47
Game 2: Fremantle 0.7.6 – 48 d Geelong 0.4.6 – 30
Game 3: West Coast Eagles 1.4.7 – 40 d Fremantle 0.2.4 – 16

Geelong:

Stole the game against West Coast before falling short against Fremantle. Will certainly be a team to watch for cash cows as they finally give their 2nd and 3rd year rookies more opportunity.

Next Game: vs Adelaide Crows Saturday 2nd March @ Simmonds Stadium

Joel Selwood (Mid $530,900) – 23 and 48. Captain courageous has reinstated himself on everyones watchlist. Leading from the front he took the initiative to kick the 9 point winner against West Coast and was everywhere against Fremantle trying to keep his team in the game.

Varcoe (Mid/Fwd $234,400) – 28 and 16. Cemented himself as a lock for me. Hungry for the contest, will be a value player if he can stay injury free. Glided around the oval so hopefully over the stress fractures that kept him sidelined last season.

Caddy (Mid $328,600) – 9 and 19. I’m not sold on him. Got off to a flyer kicking a goal with his first kick for Geelong but after that he just looked lost to me. He ran hard to get to most contests but did very little to impact them or would get there too late. Hopefully he can learn from the Cats mids and go bang!

Enright (Def $416,400) – 27 and 22. Seems to be one of the forgotten players this year. Very impressive in both games and could be a handy POD in your backline.

Johnson (Mid/Fwd $501,700) – DNP and 31. Loved his attack on the contest. Also mentioned before the game that he expects to play 80% of this year in the mids. Unfortunately he gave in to the urge to punch Ballantyne and will be answer to the MRP this week. Keeping in mind that he has 80 carry over points from last season and NAB suspensions are now served during the Home and Away season. So he could be missing round 1.

Christensen (Mid/Fwd $381,200) – 26 and 16. Lined up on the wing. Not sure what to say about him. He looks good every preseason, hopefully this is his year!

Scores for Geelong: (v West Coast) Podsiadly 42, Hawkins 33, Taylor 32, H-Smith 32, Sheringham 31, Varcoe 28, Enright 27, Hunt 27, Christensen 26, Murdoch 26, Walker 25, Rivers 24, Selwood 23, Bartel 22, Stokes 21, Duncan 20, Guthrie 19, Lonergan 17, West 15, Brown 12, Schroder 11, Caddy 9, Thurlow 9, Smedts 3.

Scores for Geelong: (v Fremantle) Selwood 48, Brown 45, Johnson 31, Stringer 24, Enright 22, Duncan 20, Walker 20, Caddy 19, Corey 18, Podsiadly 18, Guthrie 18, Eardley 17, Varcoe 16, Christensen 16, Hamling 16, Taylor 13, Motlop 10, Hawkins 9, Kersten 9, Blicavs 7, West 6, H-Smith 5, Murdoch 4, Lonergan 2.

Fremantle:

Fremantle’s scores reflect their performances pretty well. As you can see, against Geelong they were the dominant team. So their midfielders like Barlow, Mzungu and C. Pearce scored well.

But against West Coast they could not take control. Evident in the fact that their top scoring players were 2 defenders in Duffield and McPharlin.

Next Game: vs Carlton Saturday 2nd March @ Etihad

Barlow (Mid $495,300) – 46 and 17. Had the ball on a string against Geelong but found it harder to come across against West Coast. Usually quite consistent and reliable so could be a unique POD but for his price there are probably better options available.

Duffield (Def $426,800) – 3 and 39. He didn’t see much of the ball against Geelong and also gave away 2 free kicks which detracted from his score. Still the number one player to take Fremantle’s kick outs and still seems quite fond of playing on out of the square first, obviously to give himself DT points for the kick!

Sandilands (Ruck $478,700) – 16 and DNP. Moving freely around the ground and leaping at everything. No sign that his ‘Turf Toe’ issues are slowing him down at all. (Edit: has apparently strained his glute against the cats and will miss a few weeks)

D. Pearce (Mid/Def $376,900) – 21 and 18. Consistent scores are a positive. This is someone I was watching closely at the game. Found it interesting that most times Fremantle were looking to come out of their defence they would seem to wait and look for him. If he can improve his disposal and Freo keep looking for him then this could translate well for his fantasy scores. Watch him.

De Boer (Mid/Fwd $434,000) – 24 and 23. Another player who scored consistently. Might be worth a look for POD.

Walters (Fwd $330,400) 34 and 23. I’m mentioning him for the same reason as De Boer. Consistent scores regardless of how freo played and POD. Also depending on the seriousness of Mayne’s injury he may be seeing a lot more ball. Keep and eye on him.

Scores for Fremantle: (v Geelong) Barlow 46, C. Pearce 38, Mzungu 38, Walters 34, Suban 33, DeBoer 24, Mayne 23, Crozier 22, D. Pearce 21, Ibbotson 20, Sutcliffe 20, Silvagni 19, Sheridan 18, Griffin 17, McPharlin 16, Sandilands 16, Ballantyne 16, Hill 16, Pitt 15, Crichton 7, Spurr 4, Johnson 3, Duffield 3, Dawson 0.

Scores for Fremantle: (v West Coast) Duffield 39, McPharlin 33, Hill 31, Critchon 30, Spurr 27, Pitt 27, Suban 26, DeBoer 23, Walters 21, Sutcliffe 20, D. Pearce 18, C. Pearce 18, Barlow 17, Crozier 17, Ballantyne 16, Dawson 14, Ibbotson 13, Johnson 12, Mzungu 12, Silvagni 11, Griffin 10, Hannath 10, Sheridan -1.

West Coast Eagles:

Lots of competition for spots in the best 22 meant that their intensity was high. Unfortunately skill let them down in a few instances.
Lots of rookies given a go in these games but I can’t see many (if any) getting consistent ‘cash cow fattening’ games unless injury/suspension strikes.

Next Game: vs Collingwood Sunday March 3rd @ Patersons Stadium

Priddis (Mid $482,500) – 28 and 51. Looks set to have another good season. Really hit his straps in the Fremantle game with 9 disposals, 4 tackles and 2 goals.

Darling (Fwd $364,900) – 34 and DNP. 3 Goals against Geelong floating around the forward line. Could be an interesting option this year with the number one defender going to Kennedy again.

Lycett (Fwd $162,300) – 36 and 26. Lycett impressed the hell out of me. Showing he’s been learning the ‘mobile ruckman’ craft from Cox over the last 2 years he could earn some cash while Nic Nat is out. Downside is that he’s not available as a Ruck.

Gaff (Mid $446,400) – 31 and 27. Showed off his elite running skills again. Number 1 for handball receives at West Coast last year and he slot back into that role easily.

Embley (Mid $264,300) – 16 and 26. Another player coaches are hoping will score well and make some cash. Laid a couple of strong tackles against Fremantle which is a good sign for his shoulder.

LeCras (Fwd $355,400) – 21 and DNP. Didn’t miss a beat in his first game back. No noticeable issues pivoting or running. Also looks extremely fit. Was starting the centre bounces deep forward then sprinting to the midfield once it was bounced. Playing an outside mid role when the ball was in play. Hopefully Woosha continues to give him this sort of license so we can see him around the ball more.

Scores for West Coast: (v Geelong) Lycett 36, Hutchings 35, Darling 34, Schofield 32, Gaff 31, Sinclair 31, Priddis 28, Dalziell 26, Masten 26, Glass 25, Cripps 25, Hams 22, LeCras 21, Wilson 20, Smith 18, Shuey 18, Tunbridge 18, McInnes 17, Embley 16, A. Selwood 14, McGovern 12, Brennan 8, Carter 6, Brown -1.

Scores for West Coast: (v Fremantle) Priddis 51, S. Selwood 46, Masten 41, Hurn 35, Mackenzie 35, Wellingham 35, Wilson 28, Gaff 27, Dalziell 26, Lycett 26, Embley 26, Hams 24, Cripps 24, McGovern 24, Smith 23, Brennan 18, McInnes 10, Carter 10, Brown 6, Hill 5, Hutchings 4, Sinclair 3.

Did anyone surprise or impress you? Let me know who is now either on or off your watchlist/radar!

As always you can find me rambling on twitter @Anthonydsmith86

22 Comments

  • Great summary Anthony. As a guide for these early NAB cup scores, if a player played 90% or more on ground and scored say 25pts, how would you equate that to a projected sort of score for the H&A season? x the score by 3? I love comparing the TOG vs NAB Cup Scores, but haven’t sat down enough to really nut out what ratio to use yet… Suban impressed me.

    • I’ve always liked the way Fantasy Freako works it out.
      Taking into his average DT points per minute and then multiplying this by 100 to produce a DT points per 100 minutes value.
      So say you take LeCras score vs Geelong. You say 21 points divided by 40 minutes = 0.525 x 100 = 52.5.
      So yeah, then you could say at the rate he was scoring he’d have 52 points after playing 100 minutes.
      Obviously this isn’t exact but a rough guide :)

      • The other thing you need to take into account is that it’s a first round NAB cup game against a team of Rookies. I wouldn’t even be looking at DT Scores.

  • Ross Lyon has Walters playing the Stephen Milne role when he’sup forward but it looks that Walters has a bigger engine and can is hungry for the ball all around the ground as opposed for Milne’s “only when the ball’s coming into the forward 50″… It’s nice to see that he offers a defensive forward role too.

  • Travis Varcoe is one I have locked in also. That is one wicked mo also.

    Will I need a replacement for Stevie J, then who will it be?

    Selwood looked awesome. Caddy hmmm mid price no.

    Like the look of Sandilands would probably chase him in the draft game, Cox and the berger at the moment.

    Embley is in my side at the moment. Nice for the price.

    Like the look of a few players like Darling and Le Cras but the 300-400 thou price range puts me right off!

  • How did McGovern go? Might be a rookie option up forward?

  • Varco has BE of 47,124,121,97 based on that he will come down 80k in 4 weeks..

    His break even is based on projected score of 9, Is someone able to work out what his break evens are for Avge of around 60.?

    Good Luck

    • Dude – he wont be coming down $80k – if you want him get him for round 1. He should get his 47 BE and more over the first 3 weeks which means he will rise after 3 weeks

  • walters and masten were the guys that i noticed the most but im not really looking at masten right now

    • Agreed, Masten was Very noticeable and Coxy discussed how hard he has worked to be consistently at the top level of WCE midfield, during his interview.

  • Travis Varcoe is a LOCK. Juggling between Trent Cotchin, Scott Pendlebury and Joel Selwood.

  • Missing Nick Suban? Heard on the radio from Freo’s assistant coach that he is set for a breakout season and is moving more into the mids. They really hope he can take his chance, he looked pretty good also scoring 33 and 26 yesterday. $264,000 defender? Risky but a big upside, could easily average 80+

  • Daniel Pearce look good but run with the ball player and reckon lack of marks will keep him down from being a premo

    Varcoe, Embley and Johnson locks

    I reckon Barlow is underpriced and will accumulate possessions every week – could be a 5th mid option

  • Any word on stevie j being scrubbed out for his love tap on ballas?

    Looked good when he played in the middle and might be a lock if he can avoid doing stupid things like that :S

    I was at the ground and I can tell you Jelwood is a lock now. Was so silky (even when ducking!) and his disposal was first class. Should be right to boot but will certainly get number 1 tag.

    Sandilands seemed comfortable around the ground and was not really stretching himself so more to come yet. Not sold on Duffield either.

    Lycett looked handy in the ruck and could be worth a bench spot whilst staker is out. Varcoe a lock for me also

  • Sandilands has apparently strained his glute and will miss a few weeks… Ugh

  • hey mate, can you remember what wellinghams role was?

    • I wouldn’t say he had a definitive role bud. Played in the mids and followed the ball. He only played against Freo though so I guess we’ll have to keep an eye on him over the next few weeks to see if he takes up the tagging role as mentioned. If he does we may see it against Collingwood next round.

  • no waters or JK? all good to go i hope!