Luke Bruest – Deck of Dream Team 2013

jan25_breustName: Luke Breust
Club: Hawthorn
Position: Forward
Assistant Coach 2013 Price: $389,100
Bye Round: 11 – Shared with Brisbane, Richmond, Port Adelaide, Fremantle and Bulldogs
2012 Average: 75.52
2012 Games Played: 21
Predicted Average: 95

Why should I pick him?

Well, when he starts racking up +6  and kicking goals  you can yell Breeuuuuuuuuuuuuusst at the TV. No – you wont look like a prick to your mates at all.

Last year, Breust got rid of the super-sub tag of his first season and established himself in Hawthorn’s first team, playing 21 games. Breust played predominantly as a forward with bursts in the midfield and lifted his average from 65 to 76ppg ,  showing us his DT potential with a high score of 107 and 3 more scores over 90.

Going into his ‘magical’ third season there has been talk of him having increased midfield time (being compared to playing like GAJ cant be a bad thing either) but then again, we thought the same thing about this bloke last year. I am inclined to believe that Breust will get some more midfield time in 2013 as  some of Hawthorn’s Midfielders like Mitchell, Sewell and Lewis are not getting any younger and they will be looking to put games into the next generation to stay near the top of the tree.  Ross Lyon isn’t his coach either.

Another reason to pick Bruest is the way he accrues his DT points. The kid loves to tackle! Last season, Breust got 23% of his points just from tackling so he doesn’t need to kick a bag to consistently get points. In only his second year of AFL he is already classified elite as a general forward (thank you prospectus!) and the same kicking efficiency % as Sam Mitchell - these are the sort of stats that Clarko will take note of when deciding who the next generation of midfielders will be. Now get running Lukey and build that tank up!

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

One of the main reasons to not pick the Breuster is probably because of his price. Priced at 76, you are going to pick him with the intention of him turning into a keeper and if you’re looking for a midpricer to turn into a keeper, there is whole lot less risk picking someone like Knights because he at least has more cash generation potential if he doesn’t reach a keeper average.

Like any developing player,  Breust went missing in some games last year, with 6 scores under 60 and  not copping a vest (green or red) in any of those games. He’s probably going to have a few more of them games in the future. Is he ready to take the step up this year? Or is he still a year or two from peaking? Obviously if the midfield time was something to fill a slow news day on the AFL website,  Breust will have to kick a whole lotta goals to improve his average significantly and when he shares a forward line with Buddy, Roughy and Cyril – its unlikely that will happen. Bruest also only has fwd eligibility and with a plethora of mid/fwds available, it could be one factor he doesn’t get a guernsey in your team.

 

Deck of DT Rating.

QUEEN –  Bruest screams breakout to me. From all reports the kid is a gun and I believe that his midfield time WILL go up and he will average 90 for the year. Does he fit your structure? Is Dustin Martin a safer pick for $47k more? With a FWD only position and only needing 6 forwards, I think he may be a year away from being seriously considered. But hey, 2 trades a week you can afford to take a few risks with your starting squad. Will Breust be one?

PS any flack for Breust being apart of the DODT can be directed at yours truly as I picked him. Just be thankful that I didn’t do Robbie Gray!

Follow me on Twitter @jimbobholder for DT and cricket musings! Got something to say about the deck? Use the hashtag… #DeckofDT.

Centrebet

17 Comments

  • Avatar of GrandOldFlag

    Interesting. I hadn’t considered him until now and think he might be worth a look. There is a lot to like about the kid and hopefully he can get more midfield time this year. Good deck selection :)

  • Avatar of Shorty

    Great Read JimmyBob, Locked in for my SC team (Avg 85 this year) and looks good for an average around the 100 mark. He is also in my side for DT but is far from locked as i think he’ll most likely go 90 which is great but there are other options that could do this too.

  • Avatar of Kevin

    If you picked him well done Jim! You know your stuff.
    Breust is a very big chance for a breakout year!
    Some may argue he had one in 2012 coming 4th in the B&F.
    Well done!!

  • Avatar of mal32

    Great article Stubby….Hadn’t given him much thought but some great information there mate… will be interesting to see how he is used during the Nab cup….another one for the watch list cheers….

  • Avatar of Kevin

    If you are interested in a write up I did on Breust go to afldreamers.com and check out Hawthorn’s Good the Bad and the Ugly.

  • Avatar of Woz

    Thanks JB, an intersting read. I must admit, I didn’t know alot about him until recently. I saw the AFL article on him a little while ago. There’s a fair amount of hype around him. One to watch for sure!

  • Avatar of Pavalinco

    To pricey for me. He will have some good games but I can see quite a few sub 60 scores in this guy.

  • Avatar of Adam

    I have been interested for a while to say the least, some numbers….
    He averaged 15.7 disposals per game (including finals)
    He gathered less than 15 disposals 9 times at an average of 66
    He gathered over 15 disposals 14 times (including finals) at an average of 84
    He managed to get above 19 disposals 7 times for an average of 92.
    If he does get more midfield time (likely less goals kicked) he should reach the 20 possessions mark much more often…
    Saying that, on the watchlist

    • Avatar of Dream on!

      Interesting stats. Though 20 midfield possessions probably wouldn’t reap the points of 20 forward line possessions (less marks and goals) so if he moves to the mids he needs a decent increase in touches to improve (though he should achieve this).

  • Avatar of Rhino

    I like you think he’ll average 95 but I’m pissed cause I had him locked for this year at last years grand final

  • Avatar of Garry

    JB your the encyclopedia Britannica! I was 99.9% convinced by Warnie to give Dusty Martin another run after getting third degree burns on myself last year on him. Martin has had more than enough time to show his colours and Bruest is just going from strength to strength.

  • Avatar of ShaunWDT

    Hes one to consider, its between Bruest,Christensen and Sylvia for that mid price forward spot for me

  • Avatar of Aidan

    Is anybody interested in a NRL Dreamteam league which opened today.

    I have made the following leagues for those interested
    DT TALK I : 613534
    DT TALK II : 511832
    DT TALK WA : 971351
    DT TALK VIC : 591856
    DT TALK NSW : 283767

    Not taking it to seriously, but preferably no ghost shipping unless numbers are required with 1 or 2 days before Round One

    Thank you and good luck