Hamish Hartlett – Deck of Dream Team 2013

jan23_hartlettName: Hamish Hartlett
Club: Port Adelaide
Position: DEF/MID
Assistant Coach 2013 Price: $421,400
Bye Round: 11
2012 Average: 80.9
2012 Games Played: 15
Predicted Average: 88

 

Why should I pick him?

Port Adelaide had high hopes and expectations when spending their fourth pick on Hamish Hartlett in the 2008 National Draft. After four years in the AFL system, he has made good progress and is arguably knocking down the door of fantasy relevance as we plan for season 2013. Let’s peruse a selection of his stats in the table below before weighing up his case.

Hartlett Short Stats 2009-2012

Of significance to prospective owners are the numbers highlighted in green. His kick-to-handball ratio from his debut year of 2009 through to 2011 is a healthy 1.7 kicks for every handball. His possession average also hit the mid/high-teens in 2011 and 2012. Of note is a slight regression in his possession and kick:handball ratio when comparing 2012 to 2011, culminating in a slight tapering off of his Dream Team average from 88 to 80. While this is a limited sample in his his short AFL career, his output is trending in a generally positive direction since his debut and this bodes well for another solid season ahead.

Harlett’s status at Alberton Oval keeps growing. He has earned plenty in his short time there, winning the 2011 Gavin Wanganeen Award as their best player under the age of 21 their 2011 Best & Fairest award and being promoted to their leadership group in 2012. He’s highly rated by Port and is working his way into their core of key players. How does this relate to his fantasy prospects? It’s obvious that Port have taken a long-term view of his development, nurturing him across half back with a steady workload of midfield duties in the mix. As a prolific ball-winner in the junior ranks, he is a ball-magnet and the coming season should see him gain significant rotation through the middle, resulting in valuable fantasy returns. His kicking ability and eye for goal are a bonus.

The strongest point in Hartlett’s case for selection is his designation as a DEF/MID dual-position player in 2013. Whilst the prospects of a MID averaging 80-90 ppg would scarcely raise the eyebrows of many (if any) coaches, the prospects of a DEF averaging 80-90 ppg is bound to garner some attention. With true premium defensive options falling away after the established Goddard and Gibbs, Harlett provides a unique option with solid upside.

 

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

Hartlett’s well-documented injury history raises the overwhelming query regarding his durability when considering his case for selection. If we refer to the table above, the worrying stat line (in orange) is the number of games Hamish has played in each of his four professional seasons. He managed a career-high of 16 games in 2011 and has been unavailable for around half of the regular season over his four years in the AFL, due largely to injury and the odd suspension. He has been blighted by quadriceps, hamstring, calf and shoulder injuries, with the majority falling into the soft tissue category.

Hartlett 2011-2012

 

 

A look over the table of Harlett’s Dream Team output over the last two seasons certainly cements the argument regarding his durability, or lack thereof. It also brings to question the deviation in his scoring: while the spread of 80+ scores are pleasing to potential suitors, his floor tends to drop away to the 50s-60s with a couple of lows in the basement 30s-40s. While we do accept that even the best of fantasy defenders have bad days at the office, a narrow band of deviation is highly desirable from the backline and consistency does not yet appear to be Hamish’s strong suit. However, we must allow for the fact that 2013 will be just his fifth year in the professional ranks when considering this point.

 

Deck of DT Rating

QUEEN – Harlett is priced rather attractively in a DEF pool that is arguably lacking both depth and points-of-difference. With two trades per week, the risk of starting with him is mitigated somewhat and he is well worth a look for 2013. As evidenced by the headline act of many a ‘never again’ list in Jack Grimes who came on strong to play 22 games in 2012, there is hope yet for young Hamish to get his body right and play 20+ games in the coming season. Bundled with increased stature and a bigger on-field role to play at Port, there is enough merit in the arguments for his selection to justify a starting spot in your side as a unique DEF.

 

FOLLOW ME ON TWITTER: @TeeTeeDT for all things DT and more!

Got something to say about the Deck? Use the hashtag #DeckofDT.

Centrebet

18 Comments

  • Avatar of Shorty

    Great Read TeeTee! But not for me, too injury prone to be considered in my opinion and i have several players ahead of him in my watch list to make my 4 premo backs in: Goddard, Gibbs, Hanley, Broughton and Duffman.

  • Avatar of Dunny

    Love your work TeeTee. Having watched just about every game he has played He certainly has plenty of talent and class about him. I think over the past two years they have started to get these injury problems sorted and with some of the other recruiting over the past couple of years it really sets him up to be a good outside recieving link up players (read “getting the old 1-2″ from teammates).

    I think he is certainly worth the risk with the new trading system and After Goddard, Gibbs and Mr Never Again Broughton he should be your next pick.

    • Avatar of mordja

      Not sure I make the link Dunny, he had more time out injuried in 2012 than 2011, so how do we determine they are getting his injuries “sorted” ?

    • Avatar of TeeTee

      To be perfectly honest, I would never have considered him, but with the new trading rules he may make it into my starting squad – if he manages to stay healthy through the preseason, that is!

      • Avatar of Woz

        Great read Tee Tee. I may have to take a crack at this kid. I had him as a rookie years ago and he definately has a big upside. As a big fan of Grimes I must admit I missed the boat last year, I just had too many other risky types. Time to take a punt.

        “Fortune favours the bold”

  • Avatar of Semisonic

    Risky but I’m all over this…

  • Avatar of Kirk Mackintosh

    Going to me too injured for my liking and Ball is cheaper so no for me, but a good read none the less

  • Avatar of deez go

    He is a POD, but it is hard to fit him in with Duffield, Broughton, Goddard, Gibbs, Grimes, etc. But he was a pick number 5 in the 2008 draft, and he can definitely find the ball. He is in my team ahead of Duffield, with Broughton, Goddard, Gibbs.

  • Avatar of Millsie66

    Didn’t pick Grimey last year due to his renown glass-like body…..Not making the same mistake with Hartlett. Locked and loaded!

  • Avatar of Shez

    Nice work TeeTee,

    Just quickly, Trengove and Boak won Port’s 2011 B&F although Hammer probably won some award that night.

    If Hartlett did play 22 games and in the midfield he would average 95-100+.

    • Avatar of Michael

      ^was thinking how shit must port be if the b&f winner only played 16 games

    • Avatar of TeeTee

      Right you are Shez – I went back over my notes and have amended that section of the article.

      Hartlett won the Gavin Wanganeen Award in 2011 for best player under the age of 21, not the club’s Best & Fairest.

  • Avatar of Michael

    Lock for me barring any injuries before round 1

  • Avatar of Asho77

    He’s a very classy player and is capable of scoring well but is very inconsistent and injury prone. Not for me

  • Avatar of Matt

    Not sure why he’s a “lock” all of a sudden barring injuries. Not only is his body a massive risk, he hasn’t averaged above 90 yet. There’s guys around a similar price that I feel will outscore him, unless we are predicting a big increase in his numbers this year? Grimes was $90,000 cheaper last year, big difference. Not for me.

  • Avatar of g73scratch

    hate to say it but another bloke from the deck whos INJURY PRONE…good player for sure ,but price too high for a bloke thats never played a whole season

  • Avatar of AFFEL

    Hamstring Hartlett .. no thanks

  • Avatar of DT Tragic

    Had my eye on him earlier because his numbers and Def status seemed to point towards a possible breakout, but the slim chance of cracking it also relies on him staying on the field.

    Add in to that he is playing for Port and the risks far outweigh the reward.

    Sure he will pump out a great 100+ or two like he does every year, but he won’t have the consistency even if he does play every game.

    Too many less risky and rewarding options available.