Steve Johnson – Deck of Dream Team 2013

Name: Steve Johnsonjan11_steviej
Club: Geelong
Position: Forward/Midfield
Assistant Coach 2013 Price: $501,700
Bye Round: 12
2012 Average: 97.4
2012 Games Played: 21
Predicted Average: 105

 

Why should I pick him?

Of last year’s top 10 scoring forwards, Stevie J was the only bloke who couldn’t be picked in the midfield. However due to the time he spent in the guts throughout the 2012 season, he has been classified as a forward/midfielder for 2013 and is one of the more enticing premium options. His time spent through the middle in 2012 saw him clock up the three highest disposal counts of his career, collecting 35, 36 & 36 touches against the Dees, Bulldogs and Pies respectively. These three matches brought DT scores of 163, 148 and 137, indicative of his massive ceiling as a Fantasy option. His average for the year of 97.4 points per game includes his round 18 DT score of 1 point against Adelaide, which was due to him being subbed off after being cleaned up by Scott Thompson in the opening seconds of the match. If we exclude this outlier, Johnson’s average for the year reads 102.2 points per game, making him somewhat of a value selection based on his 2013 price-tag.

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

A reason to exclude SJ from your initial DT line-up is if you plan to snap him up at a cheaper price later in the season. It’s hard to see Johnson falling outside the top 6 scoring forwards for the year, however his occasional quiet games often cause his price to fluctuate dramatically. In 2012, he had six scores below 80 and was a tasty upgrade option at multiple points of the season.

Deck of DT Rating

KING – Johnson’s a safe bet in that you pretty much know what you’re gonna get. Losing the three top forwards of 2012 (Beams, Dangerfield and Sidebottom) to the midfield leaves the forward line looking pretty slim for premium options in 2013, so if you’re looking to fill your DT salary cap with an elite forward then Stevie J is your man.

23 Comments

  • Nice work Tom.

    It’s between SJ and Buddy for me. I’ve got Buddy in atm, only because it would scare the hell out of me seeing my opponent have him and I don’t.

    Also because of Stevie J’s sub-70 scores he tends to have at the start of the year which results in a massive price drop.

    Another thing to note, that 137 he got against Essendon was sub affected as well. Got subbed off in the 3rd quarter I think, so is even more underpriced.

    • I’m starting Stevie J with Buddy as my first upgrade. Toss of the coin between the two but whoever wins the FJ will have both in their team at the end of the year.

  • Good write up Tom.
    Definite top 6 forward so locking him in from the get go.

  • Nice work Tom. I’m try to fit him in my starting line up.

  • Great write up! Grabbed SJ last season Rd1, and by round 5 had my finger hovering over the trade button (due to bad scores and an on air dressing down from Warnie for picking him haha). Glad I held on to him, as he turned his season around from there.

    Locked at loaded for 2013.

  • Dogga will start for me i would say, great article mate

  • Stevie J can go up and down with his scores, but I’d love to see his standard deviation purely as a midfielder like he played in the last part of the season.

  • Nice write up Tom and like the BigFella I’m starting with Stevie J and looking to upgrade to Buddy later.

    On a side issue just got word today from the AFL site that they are not going to go ahead with the rolling lockout this year BUT they are going to introduce the two trade allowance every week giving us all a maximum of 46 trades.
    Love the idea of doing away with the rolling lockout but I am not so sure about the two trades every week. By the time we come to finals most sides will be all the same.

    • 46 trades, thats a bit hefty. So right when you say everyone will have same team by years end. Makes it so much more important to start the year well and have the right rooks from the get go. Getting way too easy i say. No point studying player after player. Just go to my team version 2 and copy someone elses. Bollocks!

      • I agree, I was really looking forward to a year that was not draft tainted. Where good rookies that played were rare as diamonds and starting teams and trades would make or break. They of course still will, but it’s a little watered down now.

  • Not only is this site awesome for the DT follower, but velocity sports have obviously taken on board earlier comments posted here to know that a rolling lockout was a bad idea.
    Love DT talk and cheers to VS for listening to the people.

  • The only thing worrying me with SJ is that i read that Jpods is training with the defensive group
    http://www.afl.com.au/news/2013-01-10/podsiadly-the-defender

    Hopefully this doesnt make SJ a fulltime forward now, which isnt really a bad thing but gets a bit of possession in the middle

    • Pods is key position so I doubt he’d affect Stevie’s role. More likely that it means Vardy to spend a lot of time in attack.

  • Dual position makes Stevie J an interesting prospect.

    Gents, please forgive the following rant!!!!!! But I’m not happy

    I just got the email from the AFL saying there is two trades per week with a maximum of 46 in this years DT.

    What a pile of ####. Now they pander to those who can’t think through the season. I’m no DT expert, (15,998/290,517 in 2012), obviously, but without the limitations imposed by selective trading half the fun (and skill) of DT is gone.

    Way to ###k it up AFL! The rules commitee must play DT aswell !

    • yeah im proud of my team, i like looking at it and thinking ive got a good team with good solid players who will last me throughout the year, we do a lot of research and stick with with our decisions but now were gonna have so many different players in our teams this year. I guess it takes choosing the right player for that round eg. If you have SJ in your team and he plays his worst team you can swap him for buddy who pays his best team. Also Griff made a good point on twitter that we can swap rookies more often to get more cash cow bucks to get better players quicker i guess

      • You’ve made some good points there Goats. After calming down from my earlier aneurism I can see how good decisions will still be the deciding factor. Massive change though!

  • Locked into round 1. Cant find many round 12 players with as much value. Those sub and concussion scores cement his selection.

  • A little less appealing with no rolling lockout, but will have to be massively considered. Should he continue to get midfield time he will probably be in my side Round 1

  • Stevie J on the downward trend, and will go backwards by another 5-10 points this year. No thanks.

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    Ran it last year and it went well :)

    Already have a number of DTTALK readers on board!!

    Cheers
    Damien

  • F1 from day 1. locked and loaded