Jack Watts – Deck of Dream Team 2013

dec30_wattsName: Jack Watts
Club: Melbourne
Position: DEF/FWD
Assistant Coach 2013 Price: $360,600
Bye Round: 12
2012 Average: 69.7
2012 Games Played: 15
Predicted Average: 85

 

Why should I pick him?

The 2012 season saw Jack Watts, the much-anticipated top-pick from the 2008 draft, shifted to the back line under Mark Neeld’s direction. This marked a departure from his customary tall forward role as he was deployed across half-back and on the defensive flanks. Many coaches would have noted this change and forseen some upside in Watts playing a traditionally lucrative fantasy role with the potential for a glut of +6s (mark-and-kick). Alas, this didn’t materialise as Watts’ performances reflected the Dees’ fortunes as they suffered an ignominious year with just four wins.

As evidenced in some of his performances, this defensive role did seem to suit Watts’ deceptively pacey, athletic playing style and resulted in a handful of promising scores (121, 98 and 94). There is a case to be made for his fantasy selection if he is again utilised as a loose defender with the freedom to push up the field. The expectation would be that after a season of experimenting and development, 2013 will allow him to settle into and develop further as a quarterbacking type. This appears to be Neeld’s vision for Watts and the new(ish) boss might yet bring out the simmering potential that young Jack has shown glimpses of in his fledgling career.

Watts’ designation in 2013 as a dual-position DEF/FWD player may attract further interest. For example, he would make an interesting counter-balance to Greg Broughton, should you have them both in your starting squad. The positional flexibility is there, which adds some merit to his case.

 

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

Though mentioned in a positive light, Watts’ defensive role may not augur well for his fantasy scoring if he does not build on season 2012. I have resisted using the term ‘breakout’ thus far, but this is what is required of him next year to justify his $360k sticker. A smattering of those three aforementioned 90+ scores does not inspire the confidence in a coach when interlaced with low-floor outputs of 45, 42, 55, 53, 59 and 42 in season 2012. This wide range of deviation in his scoring output raises the biggest query against his selection as there is no guarantee that this will stabilise in the new season.

In a developing side, it is clear that players on the fantasy fringe, like Watts, tend to suffer when the scoreline does not favour their team. Add to that the possible risk of week-to-week role changes and here we have more questions than answers when analysing Jack’s potential. If the Demons fail to improve in 2013, it’s difficult to see Watts improving either.

 

Deck of DT Rating

JACK – The consideration of a mid-priced player for your fantasy line-up comes down to two factors: (1) your confidence in the likelihood of a breakout season; and (2) how much bottle you have. Jack Watts is not everyones cup of tea; in fact, this will be a polarising preview as there is a significant element of risk associated with his investment. On balance, while the potential is there, conservatism may rule him out of many a coach’s mid-pricer shortlist.

 

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15 Comments

  • Nice one TeeTee. I guess he is worth looking at but not for me at this time.

  • Great article TeeTee, I love having a read about a player i wouldn’t think to pick. He is a no for me in DT, but is locked in my Supercoach side as he averaged 86 with a ceiling of 150 in a 100 point loss, which shows it shouldn’t be a problem if they keep losing. He looks good for a 90-95 average in supercoach. I couldn’t see him averaging over 85 in DT which isn’t really enough to be a keeper so its a no from me.

    • Yep, not for DT but definitely an option in SC. By the way, did this appear about 5 articles down on the home page’s newsfeed for anyone else? For a few horrible seconds it looked like no Deck for the day until I found it.

  • Awesome article TeeTee, he might be worth the punt if only we still had 7 backs, and/or if only he was a bit cheaper.

  • Not in DT, maybe in SC. Not a bad option and could eventually become a very handy defender for the dees

  • Not on your life.

  • would take massive stones to have both watts and broughton in your side. Mid priced backman that have potential improvement in them are few and far between. If Jack can get his bad scores up from 50’s to 65+ and through in a dozen 100+ scores he would be a gem! One mid priced back im looking at is Jarred brennan. Has been woeful the last couple of years but apparently has found his ‘love’ for the game again? At 375K with the potential to avg 85+ could be worth the punt???

  • Watts is way too inconsistent .. Nice write up tho TeeTee

    @ GreyHam Allen .. Broughton ill take a punt on, has been a good dreamteamer in past years and moved clubs so he didnt have to play the crap role Lyon was making him play. Will play a half-back role at GC with stints in the middle.

    • unfortunately iv’e only ever had broughton when he has been a complete hack hahaha. still with that def/fwd link makes him hard to ignore much to my chagrin. Also been burnt by brennan many times in DT’s past. Still got my eye on him as a POD.

      • I can see Brennan bouncing back and averaging what he used to, he said he didnt care about footy last year and was going to quit. Since then he has made his mind up to continue his career and has been one of the best this pre-season impressing coach and team mates. Classed as a defender this year at 375k If he can average what he used to 85+ he could become a keeper in the backline

  • Easy no sorry, but this is what we need more POD players

  • Knowing my bloody luck if i dont pick him he ends up being a top 5 Def this year. you have to think with the mature bodies that have been brought into the team for next season, and the fact its his 5th year from memory, that he is every chance of having an absolute ripper year. Hmmmm