AFL Dream Team Grand Final Projected Scores

Heading into the AFL Dream Team Grand Final, we’d all like to think we’ve got the best team we can have. Some are lucky enough to still have trades and should be looking to get in the best player for this week. Usually this would end up being the best player available based on averages, but with one game to perform the Assistant Coach helps us find who is in form, who has great history and who is likely to get a big score this week.

Let’s look at the predicted scores based on position.

DEFENDERS

  1. Brett Deledio* ($492,200).  vs Port Adelaide. Projected score: 107.
    Last 3: 117, 78, 121. Last 3 vs PA: 107, 95, 108.
  2. Brendon Goddard* ($461,100). vs Carlton. Projected score: 107.
    Last 3: 116, 125, 107. Last 3 vs CARL: 88, 73, 94.
  3. Paul Duffield ($414,400). vs Melbourne. Projected score: 104.
    Last 3: 125, 113, 104. Last 3 vs MELB: 66, 81, 107.
  4. Jack Grimes ($460,500). vs Fremantle. Projected score: 101.
    Last 3: 87, 125, 107. Last 1 vs FREO: 105.
  5. Dyson Heppell ($364,600). vs Collingwood. Projected score: 97.
    Last 3: 96, 82, 75. Last 3 vs COLL: 111, 107, 97.
  • NEXT: Heath Scotland (95), Andrew Carrazzo (92), Sean Dempster (91).

MIDFIELDERS

  1. Gary Ablett ($571,500). vs Adelaide. Projected score: 141.
    Last 3: 89, 175, 99. Last 3 vs ADEL: 136, 156, 142.
  2. Dane Swan ($612,100). vs Essendon. Projected score: 140.
    Last 3: 119, 120, 159. Last 3 vs ESS: 171, 104, 171.
  3. Scott Pendlebury ($481,300). vs Essendon. Projected score: 121.
    Last 3: 129, 97, 105. Last 3 vs ESS: 113, 166, 141.
  4. Trent Cotchin ($535,300). vs Port Adelaide. Projected score: 120.
    Last 3: 145, 101, 152. Last 3 vs PA: 63, 65, 83.
  5. Andrew Swallow ($475,600). vs GWS Giants. Projected score: 115.
    Last 3: 140, 96, 87. Last 1 vs GWS: 94.
  • NEXT: Ryan Griffen (114), Leigh Montagna (111), David Mundy (111).

RUCKS

  1. Sam Jacobs ($405,200). vs Gold Coast. Projected score: 108.
    Last 3: 80, 87, 80. Last 3 v GC: 98, 106, 146.
  2. Dean Cox ($464,500). vs Hawthorn. Projected score: 102.
    Last 3: 87, 99, 147. Last 3 vs HAW: 81, 79, 108.
  3. Jarryd Roughead ($430,300). vs West Coast. Projected score: 102.
    Last 3: 50, 128, 95. Last 3 vs WC: 69, 73, 119.
  4. Jonathon Giles ($388,700). vs North Melbourne. Projected score: 100.
    Last 3: 74, 115, 68. Last 1 vs NM: 104.
  5. Darren Jolly ($416,100). vs Essendon. Projected score: 99.
    Last 3: 43, 79, 153. Last 3 vs ESS: 86, 100, 99.
  • NEXT: Shane Mumford (98), Matthew Kreuzer (92), Ivan Maric (91).

FORWARDS

  1. Patrick Dangerfield* ($507,900). vs Gold Coast. Projected score: 142.
    Last 3: 105, 108, 137. Last 3 vs GC: 89, 128, 79.
  2. Dayne Beams* ($557,900). vs Essendon. Projected score: 122.
    Last 3: 129, 129, 131. Last 3 vs ESS: 121, 59, 98.
  3. Steele Sidebottom* ($473,500). vs Essendon. Projected score: 111.
    Last 3: 96, 122, 101. Last 3 vs ESS: 109, 72, 104.
  4. Ryan O’Keefe* ($519,100). vs Geelong. Projected score: 109.
    Last 3: 142, 115, 132. Last 3 vs GEE: 90, 68, 88.
  5. Adam Treloar* ($417,100). vs North Melbourne. Projected score: 107.
    Last 3: 99, 112, 96. Hasn’t played NM.
  • NEXT: Brent Harvey (105), Jordan Lewis (104), Harley Bennell (97).

Ok… so there are the highest projected performers. It’s interesting to see that Patty Dangerfield looks to be the top scorer of the round based on the Assistant Coach numbers with Dayne Beams projected for a score that would also put him in the top 5 mids for the week.

So how many of the top 5 of each position do you have… or are you lucky enough to use a trade to get one of these guys in? Let us know what secret weapons you are excited about for the Grand Final this weekend or what masterstroke you’ll play to win your premiership!

34 Comments

  • I know this isnt relevant to anything but i won my SC prelim by one solitary point.
    Do happy!!!!

  • haha love the pic.

    I wish i could say i was in the Grand Final in any of my leagues, but im keeping the C on Cotchin, done me well the last 2 weeks and has locked himself into my DT13 side

  • I suppose that’s “IF” he doesn’t get struck down with the general just before the finals…

    • I’m doubting that they’d rest anyone the week before finals… considering they need all the form they can get to make an impact in finals.

      • I hope you’re right Warnie!
        Cos if Adelaide pull out all their playmakers I’m screwed in my GF’s.

        • Crows fan, projected to win by quite a margin in the main GF…..

          Favourite player in the comp…

          It’s gotta be captain paddy!!!

          Finish strong mate!

  • 3 def

    2 mid

    1 ruck

    4 fwd

    • 3
      3
      1
      4
      proj. score 2444.
      5 grand finals.
      1 trade. 60k.
      ps. thanks to all the lads at DT talk.
      great articals all year.

  • Just a quick question I am considering a sneaky last trade Watson- Tuck. And no I cant get cotchin!! This week in what order would we all rate Tuck, Watson and Jelwood??? Am I a good chance of gaining anything with this trade and why?? Cheers in advance for alll responses….

    • Sounds like a knee jerk trade from Watson’s poor game last weekend. Stick with him as Collingwood don’t tag opposition as much as other clubs, although the pies will dominate I’d expect Jobe to still pass the ton. Personally I’d look elsewhere to trade.

    • Watson is like the 4th ranked player in the game or something. Pies aren’t known to play taggers. You are mental if you trade out Jobe.

      I am contemplating Gibson > Tuck as my last trade which consigns Rockliff to the bench. I realise that Gibson is playing GWS but that doesn’t always amount to a big score, even for seasoned guns e.g. Thompson. Plus, as we’ve watched mature age rookies smash out premo scores for the first few weeks and then falter, very few have bounced back as quickly as the next week.

      I see Tuck as more desirable than A Swallow. Two of his last scores and his only game against GWS thus far, all under the ton. Risky way to spend your last trade IMO.

      If I could get Watson in, I would. So don’t trade him.

  • I have 10 of them. Some of us have one trade as do I. Bet you any money the player I replace scores more points!

  • Playing in my A grade grand final this week (Yes we have an A and B grade), worth a very nice $1800! We have 9 points of difference but i had a few questions that others in the same position might have?

    My mids are Swan, Pendles, Ablett, Thompson, Boyd, J.Selwood. I know the rule is you play your premiums but would or is anyone entertaining the idea of playing Gibson against GWS as opposed to a premium? I dont think i will but given Selwood plays the swans and will get a Jack tag it has to be considered!

    I have Pavlich in my forwards. I think he needs to play for 2 reasons (1 is to get some gametime before finals and 2 to try and sew up coleman). They are playing Melbourne in Freo and should win comfortably but given all his injuries do you think he is a chance of the sub? I have Taylor Adams who is just dominating, would anyone consider?

    Finally my opponent has Lenny Hayes, he was the sub last week. Do i read into that and say given there season is over and this is his first season back from a knee he will miss this week?

    Cheers for the year anyway guys! Hopefully i can bring home the bacon thanks to everyone’s help.

    • I’d strongly consider gibson over selwood, honestly think gibbo has more potential for a higher score considering current form and the teams each face. Don’t see much risk in doing it either. Also can’t see pav being the sub, I think he’ll play the whole game and kick a bag

    • If you look at the stats for the year, playing against GWS does not necessarily equate to huge DT scores. As I said above, Gibson has hit his stumbling block and most of them (Magner, Horsely, Greene) didn’t bounce right back after just one mediocre score. If I don’t trade Gibson out, I’ll be benching him and playing Rockliff.

      • And some rookies did bounce back straight after a mediocre score with a good one eg Treloar Zorko just sayin

      • I’m keeping the faith with Rocky for what it’s worth.Gibson Emg – mind you I have no trades. Tough call good luck

      • Tuck and Swallow both flying at moment would love to have either or both in my team.Swallow just I reckon IMO

  • If there is one thing that projected scores have taught me over the course of this season (this is the first time I have had Assistant Coach), it’s that they are completely and utterly worthless.

    • Not completely, but it is not gospel. From the list Warnie has provided I would pick the best player or one outside the list for that matter.

      • It’s just that it so completely arbitrary – even predicting a player’s score yourself is frought with disaster, just look at Stevie J last week:

        High average against his opponent (WB)
        High average at the venue (Simonds)
        In a good vein of current form
        Spending more time in the midfield

        All of the above variables point toward him having a massive game, I very nearly put the C on him because of that, but then he serves up 78 because he copped a tag.

        Also look at Franklin last week – projected score of 151 but who would realistically have expected that from him after –

        A) 6 weeks on the sidelines, and
        B) playing against the top side with one of the stingiest defences in the competition

        The fact is any player, be it Swan, Ablett, Pendles etc is capable of a low score due to a number of factors, just like every now and then Darren Glass gets 90 odd. We try to pick our teams based on our knowledge of the game and we all take a punt on certain players at certain times but we really don’t know what’s going to happen until it unfolds on the field.

        It’s why DT is so much fun, and also why it can make a grown man throw a tantrum like a spoilt two year old. It’s why i love it and why it makes me love AFL even more and I honestly can’t imagine football without it.

        • Bugger me is Stevie J a good example. Used my 2nd last trade on him last week for Treloar..ppttz. Benches Martin for Gibson = lost 4 out of 5 Prelims by not much. Sigh..

  • What’s the chances of Harvey getting rested against GWS ? One trade left for big GF, either Harvey or Gibson for any top midfielder available (have the cash) , already have ablett, swan, Thompson,Harvey, Murphy and Gibson. Or if Heath Shaw doesn’t play, get in Duffield or Grimes. Decisions decisions !!!

  • Just noticed the awesome gif haha

    • “Anderson said clubs and players had so far expressed resistance to any change (to the interchange bench being 3 + 1) during the consultation process.”

      Just slightly understated I think, If the AFL move to go to 2 + 2 for the bench there will be a revolt. Don’t think we have to worry about two Red and 2 Green vests per game for at least a few more years.

  • I think I remember Thompson recently scoring under 100 DT from 40 touches.

    At the other end of that spectrum, Mummy scored 99 on the weekend with 7 possessions!

    He’s had four consecutive scores above 87 and two of his last three scores against his old team were tons (one a 135).

    Methinks his projected score is a little conservative this week, while Roughead’s is inflated (two of his last 3 against opponent under 75). I realise they are only three apart, but I’d swap them for my own decision-making purposes. Roughead is taking on NicNat and Cox, both in fantastic touch, right?

    • Roughead’s 119 against WC was in Round 7, 2010. It was a long time ago and he was a permanent forward – he kicked the last three goals of the game. It’s pretty much irrelevant. His last two of 69 and 73 are a fair bit more indicative of likely future form IMO

  • should i play treloar over robinson?