Jeppa’s Draftees – Rd 21

If you have one or more trades at this stage of the season, well done…I envy your discipline! For most of us,obtaining a rookie is now irrelevant, so I thought I’d touch on the role some rookies will play in the last 2 rounds of the season.

This will be my last write up for the year. I look forward to bigger and better things next year! Thanks for all your support and good luck to those who remain in the finals race!

Three-or-More Gamers

Shall I start Sam Gibson on the field? This is the tough question a lot of coaches will ask themselves this week, so lets look at the facts. Gibbo’s confidence is sky high after 118 against the Pies.He has averaged 112 in his past 5 games, which in comparison,is noticeably higher than popular premos Scotty Thompson – 90, Matty Boyd – 99 and Sam Mitchell – 105.  He collects most of his possessions running into space when the game is free flowing. However, I reckon Gibson will find the going tough against Freo this week. The game is likely to be a slow grind from start to finish, which will limit Gibson’s possession count.

Please don’t write off Dayne Zorko! Even though Zorks has only managed to crack the ton once in the last 5 games, he does face the depleted Port Power this week. If Chris Masten can mange 89 as a half forward/midfielder against the Power, imagine what Zorko will do! Big man Jonathon Giles scored 115, albeit against a fellow inexperienced ruckman in Jake Spencer. He will definitely have a tougher time against McEvoy and with his inconsistent scores this year, I’d be nervous if I had to start Giles.

Hats off to Toby Greene who was BOG on the weekend against the Dees. Greene had 38 touches, 4 tackles and 2 goals for a massive 146 in DT. He seems to be getting more confident with every game he plays and he won’t slow down against the Saints this week.

Tory Dickson (75), Jordan Murdoch (76), Ahmed Saad (66), Alex Browne (60), Levi Casboult (81), Andrew Phillips (83), were all named in the bests for their respective sides last week but none really set the DT world alight. Those three-or-more gamers that did impress DT coaches were Taylor Adams (96), rising star Sam Shaw (87) and Clay Smith (109) but don’t sit a premo on the bench for any of these guys.

Two Gamers

Brendan Lee had 18 touches and 66 DT points on the weekend which is pretty good considering the Bombers got belted by 96 points. With Essendon’s mounting injury toll, Lee is likely to play in the last two games of the home and away season. Lin Jong showed improvement in his second game, gathering 17 possessions and scoring 65. Jong was named in the bests for the Bulldogs,which suggests he will play in the final two games of the season. If you need to downgrade, its either Lee or Jong. I’d be jumping on Lee.

Other unexciting second gamer scores include Fletcher Roberts(49), Nathan Blee (36), Luke Brown (31) and Tim Golds (28).

One Gamers

Piers Flanagan was the only player to make his debut on the weekend. He scored a mediocre 30 from 9 disposals and a couple of tackles. Pass.

Rookie of the Year – MIDFIELDERS

Toby Greene –This kid is fearless.He goes at the contest like a raging bull and does whatever he has to do to win the footy. His clearance work and tackling skills are very impressive for an eighteen year old. Unfortunately, the AFL’s netball approach to our game prevents Greene from wining this years rising star award and it’s an absolute disgrace as he is a clear winner. He has averaged 95 in DT so far this year, scoring most of his points from kicks. Don’t be surprised if Greene averages 100+ points next season!

Sam Gibson –Since making his debut in Round 12, Gibson has averaged 90 points per game, which includes a vested 17. If we disregard his vested score, Gibson’s average would be98, which is higher than Zorko! His neat disposal and ability to run all day set him apart from other AFL rookies. Whether he has been on the bench or in our starting line up, Gibson has definitely done us proud.

Stephen Coniglio – wins the 50/50 and is a very good decision maker. Last years number two draft pick has averaged 80 in DT, which is probably below what most coaches expected but is still pretty handy. Keep your eye on Coniglio in years to come as I suspect he will develop into a very good contested ball winner, a bit like Lenny Hayes.

Kyal Horsley – burst onto the scene with scores of 101, 123, 95 and 108 but then hit a wall and never recovered. Horsley reads the play well and knows how to the find the footy but his fitness and kicking efficiency both need some work. Most would say that he’s been this year’s best cashcow after reaching $314,000 after his first 5 games.

Dylan Shiel – when you date the coaches’ daughter, you’ve got to be a pretty confident bloke. Shiel has definitely got the strut and he can play footy pretty well too!  He has been a consistent performer in DT averaging 73 from 12 games but has merely been backup for many coaches.

Draftee of the Year - Midfielders

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21 Comments

  • Cheers Jeppa.

  • Thanks Jeppa. Good luck to those who have trades left.

  • I havent had a whinge on here yet, its time though. If anybody tells me dreamteam is all about skill, not luck i wil punch them in the dick!

    I traded reasonably aggressive this year and its come back to bite me in the ass, the most frustrating thing was all these teams that still have rookies on the field (treloar, gibson, greene, smith) are doing really well, when i have a whole team on underperforming premiums!!!

    I finished top in 4/5 leagues and now i am only active in one league after 2 rounds of finals.

    Avg rnds 1-10 2138.9

    Avg rnds 11-13 1732.7

    Avg rnds 14-19 2211.8

    FINALS AVG 2027.5…………..WTF

    My overall ranking got to 191 after rnd 17, now im sitting about 1500. FMDT

    • You need a fair mix of skill and luck mate. You’re right about people getting lucky with over-performing rookies though. If I’d know Gibson or Treloar would start pumping out regular hundreds I would definitely have saved a few more trades early on.

    • Who would have thought that you would play rookies such as Gibson, Treloar, Zorko in a prelim over Martin, Robinson, Rockliffe…and with some confidence as well!

  • cheers jepp – gibson was cheap as too, gets my vote. On that note, the whole north melb midfield should be pretty interesting next year from a DT perspective i think.

  • No mantion for Magner? He was awesome for most teams at the start of the year

  • Gibson definately for me, stood up 3 weeks in a row with consecutive hundreds. He is my new hero!

  • How much will Leunberger roughly be next year?

    If it’s average x the Magic Number (Just say it’s 4152) then will it be 56.7 X 4152 = 231,956 so rounded to 232,000?

    Or am I wrong all together?

    • About 90% of the players attributed value this year based on last years scores where between $4948 and $4944 per point (pp).

      The outliers below $4944 pp all averaged less than 22 and all above $4948 pp averaged above 37 and were given discounts of 10% (played 6 or 7 games), 20% (played between 1-5 games) and 30% (played between 1-5 games).

      Based on this, I’d say simply multiplying a players average by a ‘magic number’ would give you a fair answer. But with Leuy missing 17 games with injury, he’ll be given a discount of about 20% based on a comparable player is Leuy’s now teammate Jordan Lisle (5 games, 55ppg)

  • Nice work Jeppa!

    Really need to win this week, would you play Gibson over Rockliff or Priddis?

    • maybe over rockliff but not priddis – history shows collingwood don’t tag and wheir midfieldrs will run head to head priddis will ton up without doubt

      gibson is a risk against ross lyon, because you never know what you’ll get from him. The roos have been in ominous form so there is every likelihood that rosco will try to make this one a dire grind with little scoring both on the field and in dt.

    • Rockliff faces Port and he’s the type of bloke who loves to go on with it. Collingwood wont tag Priddis but his form is very up and down. I’d go Rockliff and Gibson.

  • A) Franklin to O’keefe/Stevie J
    or
    B.) Robbo to Goodes

    • Robbo to Goodes. Franklin could go bang. Robbo looks poor since his injury, and has been tagging.

    • I have same problem. They are saying Franklin is still not 100% from the virus and last week they were talking about subbing him. Then Robbo had 123 against the Giants and 146 against Melb and is playing Gold Coast – is he really going to tag?

    • Im hearing that Robbinson wont play and Franklin will so if we take that as gospel then from the options youve given me…B) Robbo to Goodes

  • Haha I have 2 trades left. Sadly if I were to use them to downgrade I would likely need a def rookie…. And there doesnt seem to be any of them. Although at this point in the season it doesnt really matter does it?

    Depending on the naming of the team this weekend I might keep those two trades for the grand final. I think I have my opponents measure this week.

    Only trade I would consider to do would be to get suckling out of the team.

    • Gibson has been great. However Greene has been great for the whole season, not just half a season.

  • Thanks Jeppa, I still have 4 trades and need to get Swan back in so will downgrade to Lee. That is unless there are premos resting – although that usually happens an hour before, not Thurs/Fri

    • Hi Jules,
      There are big rumors that Mitch Robinson will miss and maybe Heath Shaw so keep that in mind!