The Friday Scramble: Round 21

This is it.  No more stuffing around.  No more second chances!  If you lose this week you can pack your bags and head off to Bali on your end of season trip.  The decisions that you make today could be the ones that make or break you!  I know a few people last week that had a choice and made the wrong one!  My son is one of them!  I gave him the choice of picking either Stevie J or Nick Riewoldt to bring into his side when he wanted to trade out Chappy when he pulled out late.  Josh picked Volt and that lead to him being beaten by me in a Qualifying final…. needless to say it was immediatly my fault that he lost and not his!

But these are the sort of decisions that we make and you just don’t know what is going to happen.  It could have been a like a few weeks ago when Stevie introduced himself to Thommo’s shoulder and went out with 1 pt.  Or he could have been just like Fyfe and tripped over his suitcase in his Perth hotel.  I would love to see any in room footage of that!  Who knows what actually happened!!

Gibbo The Gun!

Last week I talked about putting Sam Gibsonon the ground ahead of guys like Sam Mitchell and Scott Thompson.  This certainly worked for those that took my advice, personally I had no choice and played both Thommo and Gibbo.  However, just remember that whilst Gibbo is on fire at the moment, make sure you analyse the matchups because this won’t always be the case and Gibbo is certainly one out of the box.

Gibson isn’t the only one that people have considered doing this with this year.  The other one is certainly Zorko.  He has been a great scorer this year too and I know that many people are talking about playing him in front of Mitch Robbo and Travis Cloke.  I don’t know about this one this week with Zorko playing Adelaide so if you are one of the people considering this I would be careful!

 Nick Volt!  What do we do with him??

So if you are like my son Josh and you traded in Nick Riewoldt last week and are facing an elimination game this week then you will need to maximise your score this week otherwise you are gone for the year.

Your options will depend on your cash in the bank really, but if you are low on cash but do have about $20k then you can go from Riewoldt up to the other choice you had last week and that is Stevie J.  Whilst he doesn’t have an ideal run home, he is the kind of guy that can do anything!

Other options would be (once again depending on your cash) Patty Dangerfield, Ryan O’Keefe, Steele Sidebottom and Dayne Beams.  If you don’t have any of those guys and can afford them, I say jump on.

If you managed to get through your Qualifying final and jumped straight to the Prelim last week then I would consider holding Nick and seeing what happens next week.  No point trading in someone this week in readiness for next week only to see them go down with a season ending injury this weekend and force you to use another trade!

Is that the General I see in the distance?

One of the most annoying things about Dream Team at this time of year is the sight of General Soreness around every corner!  You think you see him in the distance heading for your team but sometimes he darts around the next corner and you avoid him. 

The thing to think about at the moment is to be aware when you are trading of where the General is.  For example, if you are picking up a Crows player, be aware that they have Brisbane, Melbourne and Gold Coast in their last 3.  This would mean that they are marching straight into the General’s home territory!  I would expect a couple of their older stars (read Scott Thompson) to get a rest in one of these games to freshen them up for the finals.

Even though the teams have been named this week, don’t be at all surprised to see some big names disappear from team sheets over the weekend.  Ones that I expect to see include Chappy and Sam Mitchell.  However, there is no basis for this, just gut feel.

Do I or Don’t I??

Given that we all have 5 leagues that we are able to participate in thanks to the good folk at Virtual Sports, many of you will be in the position where you are safely resting in a Prelim Final in a couple of leagues but are in the cutthroat Elim final in the others.  The big question to ask yourself is…. do I trade to get the win in my Elim but have only 1 or no trades left for the Prelim next week??

There is only one person that can answer this and that is you. 

I am in this very situation this week.  I am through to the Prelims in my two leagues with friends that I see all the time.  I am in elims in my other 3 leagues.  So based on this I am choosing to not trade and ride my luck in the other leagues as the league I most want to win already sees me through to the Prelims.

All I can say is make sure you know what you want before you click that Trade button cause after lockout… you don’t get em back!

Things To Remember

  • No Guts No Glory– If you look like you are going to struggle to get the win, go for a ballsy move and pick a different captain or make that trade you aren’t sure about.  You will either lose anyway or have a bloody great story to tell.
  • Rookies are still Rookies – Yeah they have been killing it, but inconsistency is usually the motto of these guys, so be very careful.  Like I said, it paid off last week with Gibson but this won’t be the norm.
  • Always be wary of a Late Withdrawal! – Late Withdrawals can be costly!  So make sure you are on your game and know exactly when to lock away your team.  Whilst you should also be careful of not drunk trading, you need to be on the ball right up until lockout (which is back to its normal time this week).
  • How could you go in Big Brother at DT Finals time!- That would be just hell!!  I dont’ reckon you could trust your mates unless they weren’t in your league to look after your team!
  • Pick a strategy and run with it – So if you are in the Prelim in some and not others, make a choice which league you want to win most and run with it.

DT Semi Finals are upon us and no one wants to go out in straight sets so if you had the Double Chance in your favourite league, make sure you do everything you can to avoid that disappointment!

Good luck in your games this week and hope to see you all through to the prelims next week!  I will let you know any late news I find out on twitter @pkd73 and keep your ears and eyes open…. it is bloody hard to follow your team if you don’t!

75 Comments

  • Cheers Dunny, tough week.
    My boys stepped up last week with a year high 2379 and national rank of 864.
    Traded Buddy to Fyfe to bank some cash for Swanny next week. Thankfully Dickson stepped up as my fwd E with Chappy out and Fyfe falling over.
    Won both and only 2 trades left, was def going Chappy to StevieJ but the Chapmeister has been selected so dunno.
    Playing Dr Dudteam in my main semi, I am projected to win but it will be pretty tight, not quite sure what to do. 2 trades left, 174k in the bank. Hmmmm.

  • SECOND!!!!!!!!!
    yeah I’m in fine finals form, so good!

  • Fyfe actually did is ankle in Adelaide.

    Putting my feet up and enjoying the week off. Nice to be able save my last trade.

    Dockers will beat the Tigers this weekend.

    Can’t wait to get Swanny back next week. He is going to be pumped. Automatic lock for the prelim and the GF for those that keep hold of him.

    Pendles for me this week. He is a gun. North don’t tag. 130+.

  • Need to do an analysis, are there going to be any dead rubbers in the last round. dead rubbers = general soreness.

    If Adelaide gets a couple of games clear, they will rest players.

  • for anyone that is confused over suckling getting subbed last week you need to remember this….

    1. yes it might of been a ‘rest’
    2. remember ‘real’ finals last year? he was sub every game!
    3. this is because of his damaging impact on games and is perfect as he can be a match winner in a short space of time.
    4. with rioli out I think you need worry not…. but I hope he still only scores 50 for a few weeks anyway! :p

  • Hey guys, I am in my elim this week, have 1 trade, have cover at every position. Does anyone have any insight or thoughts on Daisy? I have him. He could get subbed or pay alot of FF this week and next? I know he is named, but do u think he could be better than Fyfe for next 2 weeks, or should I bring in Fyfe, chappy, bartel or rocky?

    Also who would you bench out of goodes, zorks, dusty, daisy Gibson?

    Thanks as usual, the only reason I made the finals was this site!

  • Goodesy against bulldogs with Sam Reid back in the side, will probably match up on lake or roughhead. Zorko matching up against sloane/dangerfield/thommo/van berlo?

    Also rockliff could be held quiet aswell against the adelaide midfield.

    I reckon i might play goodes this week over zorks or rocky?

  • Hey guys,

    Down to my Last trade and will use it this week on one of the following but not quite sure:?

    Smedts to Grimes (who is the best defender i dont have) which would then put Lake on the bench (good cover) with sam shaw on bench with him as well.

    or

    Giles to Cox (or maric) which would the mean my rucks are goldstein and cox with (redden and campbell on bench)

    Slightly leaning towards smedts to Grimes because I would have good cover and a very strong backline
    thoughts would be great!

  • G’day Dunny, nice work.

    I have been musing over the same dilemma you have – through to a prelim in two leagues and two sudden death finals this week.

    I was planning Lee>Williams and Elliott>StevieJ and was umming and aaahing about whether to do it this week or next. I have 3 trades so one left after these two.

    I’m thinking the selection of Couch has made my decision for me. Happier getting him in than Lee – thinking he might be allowed to play out the season injury permitting. And he provides very potentially useful DPP linkage.

    Since he’s on the bubble I’m going to have to pull the trigger this week!

    Do you agree with my logic?

  • Nice article Dunny. Love reading this on the bus on Friday mornings.

    Something I’ve noticed in a few articles and comments: Is Paddy Dangerfield referred to by the female form “Patty” in the same way as “missy” Higgins? If so it seems undeserving. I’m fairly new to dt though so don’t know if he’s been injury prone/soft in past seasons?

    Anyways I’m going goodes and zorko on the field over tomahawk, figuring he might be a bit out of sorts returning from concussion. Thoughts anyone?

    • Dangerfield is refered to as Patty by me due to his name being Patrick. I don’t think there is any gender stuff going on here, well certainly isn’t from me anyway.

      Similarly though Ryder is referred to as Paddy. So I guess either / or.

  • If Chappy was any chance to be a late withdrawl they would just not name him

    Trying to decide who to pick out of Pendles/Cotchin/Watson for Swanny. Ross Lyon has said he hasnt told Crowley who he will be tagging until the last minute which sucks koz i wanna pick Cotchin as a POD, but there’s a chance Crowley could go to Dusty or Lids.

    • I agree, that they shouldn’t name someone that might not play… but anything can happen.

    • Remember that they named him last week and he didn’t even get on the plane and that was before the teams were named.

  • Have 4 trades left

    D.smith and Goodes as forward line emergencys so thinking D.Smith to Couch leaving me with $307,000.

    Then next week:

    Giles (R2) to Maric = $70,000

    Darley (D9) to Waters = $160,000

    This will leave me with 1 trade and $70,000 left for GF should i make it that far.

    But might get Waters in this week as i face elimination in my best cash league.

    • With 4 trades left D.Smith to T.Couch is a good trade.

      I would personally hold onto the other 3 trades as long as possible. I remember the carnage of the grand final last year with all the premo outs being rested. Its less likely this year as there is still some final posi wrangling to be done.

      Looks like you will be having a premo backman on your bench (d9) that is overkill, and its probably better to save the trade IMO.

  • Hi Guys,

    I have 1 trade remaining and 180k. I’m projected to win by 3 pts! But I can’t see any obvious trades that will net me more then 20pts so considering rolling the dice. Heres our uniques….any suggestions would be useful (for the record leaning toward holding as have Thommo and Danger who could get rested if i manage to get through).

    ME: HIM:
    Suckers Lake
    Birch S.Morris
    Waters S.Fisher
    S.Gibson Spurr (he has Goddard in mid so thats why it looks a little odd)
    Boyd Watson
    Pendles Cotchin
    Barlow J.Kennedy
    Ryder Cox
    Mummy Jacobs
    Beams ROK
    Franklin H.Bennell
    Chappy J.Lewis
    D.Martin D.Smith (Dusty for me could be Zorko but undecided)
    Robbo A.Kennedy

    Is it worth trading? and if so I would appreciate your suggestions.

    Cheers. :)

    • yes, its worth trading. You’ll be mighty annoyed if you lose with a trade left.

      Saying that, I think your team looks stronger.

    • Dont forget your opponent could do 2 trades as well, unless you know how many trades t.hey have left

      • Hey shags. Thanks for the response. I don’t think he has trades as he has been carrying broughton. Also has Roo. Then comes the issue who to trade. Weakest each line is suckers, Gibson (swanny riding pine) Ryder matin/zorko. Only one that sticks out is the rucks so cox in. But will that make much of a difference?

  • Trade dilemma

    Elimination week for me, 1 trade remaining

    Goodes to Stevie J and keeping Swan on the bench in the hope of progressing

    OR

    Trade Swan to Watson???

    • I like Stevie J. He could just go Bang, and his price is a steal.

      • I also think he will do well against the Saints. Think I might go with the Goodes to Stevie J and keep Swan on the bench if I win I will need him if I progress.

        But no trades leaves me vulnerable oh well can’t help LTIs…

  • Hey Guys, any help?

    Have enough $$$ to do one of the following trades:

    Robbo/Martin > Beams

    or

    Johnson > Scotland.

    I guess it will come down to who can outscore the current player on the field.
    Is Johnson worth holding after an abysmal run of 68.0 5rd ave?

  • im in the prelim so have this week off..

    just playing around with team not sure to put martin or zorko on field…

    also im loving seeing my complete full team all available…

  • Top stuff Dunny.

    Big Bad Buddy will be welcomed back into my squad and immediately rewarded with the Captain’s arm band! Go big my son!

  • hey boys,

    coming up to a tough game in the final and decided to put roughead as captain he wil liklley get 127 and as captain 254. everyonee put a hawthorn player as captain ( only, suckling, lewis, whitecross, mitchell or roughed0 causse they r going to clean up dont put WATSON as captain he is getting tagged by carrazzo

  • Dusty or Zorko on the field? any thoughts??

    • I have the same dilemma!!!
      But I’m leaning towards putting Martin on the bench, and the Zorks on field.

      Thought is that even in Brisbane games where they’ve been smashed, Zorks still gets at least 60-odd, or more.
      Martin is playing against Freo, which have been running a very effective press lately and looking at Martins’ scores – he likes to beat up on teams that the tiges beat, whereas his scoring is pretty average when they get beaten, even though big Ivan is killing it.

      I don’t think the tiges will win….BOOOOOOOO!!!!

      (nobody likes Freo)

    • im going with dusty…

      but im seriously considering playing zorko over rocky…

  • After a big 1st round win (scored 2410), im reluctant to burn my last 2 trades to beat someone who scored 1900 last week.

    I have 2 spots on the field for two of:
    Gibbo
    Zorko
    Sloan..o

    On form – gibbo
    on consistency – zorko
    on experience – sloane

    Who should wear the purple E???

    • After all the anti-dusty stats i’ve seen so far, he may get the bench spot in front of any of these guys?

  • For general information, do with it what you will …….

    A Goodes last 5 v WBD (most recent first) 129, 111, 103, 103, 126

    D Martin last 4 v FRE (most recent first) 68 (R11), 62, 93, 80.

    Seeing that, i would play Goodes, Zorko, Gibson, Robbo and Rocky over Martin this weekend, and I am.

  • Scotland or Waters?

  • do i put martin or zorko in forwards?

    or do i move zorko up to mids and i could have ROCKY or Priddis on bench and zorko in mids?

  • Spurr of M Johnson in D7?

  • Apologies in advance as this has probably been asked and answered numerous times thus far but very time poor at work atm so, I won last week and am in the prelim already so what actually happens to me this week?

    Do I actually play anyone or is it just a nothing week and all I will see is my points accumulate and thats it?

    • No game for you this week. You add points for the overall competition but that’s it.

  • I’ve got a bit of a dilemma (not a trade dilemma, got none of those left!). Which 2 of Zorks, D.Smith or Clancee do I have on field? I’m in 2 Semis, projected to win one by 5, and lose the other by the same margin. I was going to bench Zorks, but I’m not sure now.

    Zorks: L3-88.7, L5-90.0 (v. Adelaide)
    Smith: L3-103.3, L5-88.8 (v. Melbourne)
    Pearce: L3-85.3, L5-94.2 (v. Richmond)

    • it would be between zorko or pearce for me…

      but its a hard one…

      Zorko hasnt played Crows before… so dont have much to go on with him…
      but we do know he is a proven performer with Hawks 140, eagles 102, swans 140, saints 113

      he seems to play very well and score well against harder teams… but he also got a 63 last week against carlton…

      Pearce has played tigers before… he got a 73 in rd 11…
      he on the other hand seems to play average against better teams… but dominates on the lower teams… port, lions, melb, GWS he got all over 100+

      with these stats zorko looks to be safer…

    • I like Zorko and Smith more than Pierce. I also don’t trust R Lyon to not do something wierd and DT-unfriendly with him. I can’t see Zorko or Smith given low-scoring roles.

  • Again apologies for being like a mid season blow fly but seriosuly got no time today.

    If any one could comment in any way shape or form it would be appreciated.

    I do have this week off and 4 trades and $121,400 in the bank.

    Just worried I should be moving on someone this round as opposed to next.

    Friken work. Might snatch it next year so it doesn’t get in the way of my DTing.
    _______________________________________________________________

    Deledio, Scotland, Goddard, Birchall, Waters, Carrazzo, Spurr, Suckling, Darley

    Boyd, GAJ, Jelwood, Pendles, Zorko, Gibson, Swan, Baguley

    Cox, Giles, J. Redden, J. Campbell, T

    Beams, Sidey, Dangerfield, Stevie J, Mitch, Buddy, Dusty, 5fer Couch

    Zorko BE 119?

    Maybe Watson or what about my backs? Suckling sucking.

    Maric?

    • i would hold on trades… if need be cash in a rookie…. so then your cashed up with 3 trades…

      you could then to 2 upgrades next week and have 1 trade for GF.

    • Lots of trades this late in the season. Have you thought of a double trade to give you a bit more on the field and a bit less off? Can you do one based on Robbo perhaps? That would leave 2 trades for mishaps which should be enough.

    • Suckling has had a rest now, hopefully he will be on the field for the full match.

      Thinking back a few weeks to when I swapped Waters to either Suckling or Birchall
      Suckling 31, 71, 112, 54, 54 > 322
      Birchall 93, 84, 63, 68, 127 > 435

      I think I chose very poorly indeed…..

      • Can’t undo it now. Suckling named on 4 man bench. I think he was benched last week so, surely he won’t get vested again. Buddy needs match practice so not him. Could be they red-vest Birchall as a way of giving him a partial rest. Your choice might still work for you.

  • I have 2 trades & $56K left, prelim in 1 league, semi in another but I think I have a bit of a problem – too much value off the field.

    Based on Assistant Coach predictions, when I put my best team together (ignoring that Swan is out etc), my fwd&mid benches look like this

    Scott Thompson
    Devon Smith
    Nathan Fyfe
    Darren Pfeiffer.

    I also have a donut looming in defence with Baguley, Bugg and Smedts all out. I didn’t want to trade this week but I’m concerned that player price movements might make next week too late. I also want to win that semi.

    What I propose to do is Scott Thompson out, Scotland in to swap to def with Baguley. Jelwood out is another possibility but Thompson has been going so bad that I’m getting sick of him and his price will plummet while Scotland’s will go up.

    This will give me less on the bench, more on the field, donut avoided, and 1 trade left and cash ffor what might happen during the next fortnight.

    Does this make sense or have I finally gone mad?

    • makes sense..

      also limits your risk with crows resting players if they get a game ahead…

      • Still a worry as I have Dangerfield but he’s on fire and surely they won’t rest him.

        • if you trade thommo… you only have danger to worry about… no him and thommo.

  • who to have on the field:

    martin or zorko
    rockliff or zorko
    lake or spurr

    ?

  • Stanton or Gibson on the field?