Calvin’s Captains – Rd. 16

Last week, my predictions weren’t too far off the mark, despite the thoughts of the usual twittertwots I tend to attract. I said, Swan was a safe option… but probably not the best as I was a little worried, but he still was pretty solid. Ablett failed to make my top 5 last year and failed to slap me in the face for doing so as a 120+ would have made me look very silly.

I did like Matthew Boyd playing the Dockers, so hopefully a few jumped on him for his 133. I like Boyd again this week as he plays the Hawks in his 200th and has a great record against them with previous scores of 108 and 119 (2011) with 121, 154 and 128 prior to that. He has had 133 and 132 in his last 2 games and under the roof of Etihad, you’d think he can keep this roll going. Anyway, let’s get cracking and check out the other wicked advice I have for you this week.

Pick Us! We Play the Duds!

Last week, Hawthorn clocked up 11×100+ scores against the Giants last week and this week the Adelaide Crows will have their turn. Scott Thompson is at the top of the list here as he crushes dud teams and has averaged 140 on the Suns in his last 3 games against them since they have joined the league. He only had 90 last week against Port though and will most likely be tagged by veteran midfielder Old McDonald this week. This guy is a dangerous tagger and has held some big names this year and was quiet solid on Mitchell (106) last week.

So then we have the Bombers who play the much improved Port Power at AAMI. No disrespect to Port, but I have to mention Watson and Stanton at some point in this write up. Jobe Watson had his highest score for the season (139pts) against Port this year in Rd. 2 and should be pretty sharp at AAMI although he hasn’t played there since 2010. Stanton is another good option who has averaged 114 on Port in his last 4 games against them. He had 116 in Rd. 2 and might be due to pump out something big after being pretty dry over the last few weeks.

Then we have the Tigers who are playing the Suns. Trent Cotchin should be pretty good, as will Brett Deledio who had 119 on these guys last year when he met them at Cazaly’s Stadium where they play again this week. In that game last year Gary Ablett had just 101 and was tagged by Jackson. He was coming off a knee niggle from the week before and wasn’t 100%. He is now though but his recent scores suggest otherwise with 102 and 104 coming in his last 2 efforts. Very unpredictable at the moment, but I think he will have something pretty big this week. Another guy in this game to consider is the big mullet, Ivan Maric. He has never played against the Suns but has been on fire in recent weeks. He did have 88 last week though which was his lowest score in his last 10 games this year. Pretty solid if you ask me. Over the last few weeks, Ruckman have gone pretty well against the Suns where Cox (114, 27 h/o), Goldstein (104, 32 h/o) and even Jason Blake (131, 28h/o) clocked up good scores. I do like Maric this week but out of the guys I’ve mentioned in this section I’d be taking them in this order. Ablett, Thompson, Deledio, Watson, Stanton, Maric and Cotchin.

Cox Vs Mummy

Boom! After a massive 148 last week, Dean Cox is flying at the moment and even had 120 before that in Rd. 14. Last week though, Cox racked up a massive 15 marks, 21d and 24 h/o. Last year when Cox went head to head with Shane Mumford, Cox dominated him with 127 pts (38 h/o). In fact, he averages 119 on them in his last 3 and should get the better of him once again. Cox is playing a lot more up forward though, but he’s in smashing form and should be awesome on his home ground again this week.

Dane Dane Dane Oi Oi Oi

Arggg, just getting warmed-up for the Olympics! This week, Swanny goes against Geelong who he met in Rd. 8 of this year when the Pies got over the line by 12pts. In the past, Swanny has been owned by the Cats and hasn’t cracked 100+ against them in his last 3 games! Wow! This mainly can be accredited to Cameron Ling (aka The Pink Pig) but it was Taylor Hunt who went to Swan in their most recent encounter where Swan had just 95 (27d). Hunt is a good tagger and did well last week against Ablett. But in that Rd. 8 encounter, Swan was flying… before tweaking his hammy in the 4th quarter. Swan had 90pts at the end of the 3rd term and was well and truly on track for a good score. His form has been awesome as well… yeah he had 105 last week (which was ok and I did warn you on that) but let’s not forget what he did before that game against the Blues. He had scores of 172, 132 and 142 leading into that and will be back to his best at the MCG on Saturday night. So.. the reason I like Swan over Boyd this week is quite simple. Swan’s lowest score this year was that 95 (from 3 quarters) compared to Boyd’s of 70 (three games back), 94 and 84. Swan hasn’t failed us yet, don’t turn your back on him because he had a solid 105!

There is a chance though that Hunt may go to Beams who has been the #1 tagged played at Collingwood over the last two weeks attracting the tag of Carrazzo and Crowley in his last 2 games. He still scored 78 and 113 and did have 100 (28d) on the Cats in that Rd. 8 match and had 129 on them in 2011.

But we need to also mention, Joel Selwood. Collingwood are one of his favourite teams to score DT points on over the last 3 years and clocked up his best DT score of 2012 (136pts, 31d) in that game this year that I keep going on about. He was the 2nd top scorer that day behind Steele who had 139, just pipping Pendles on 133. Leading up to his 2012 personal best, he has scored 119, 118 and 121 on them last year proving that he loves the big games on the MCG where he has had 136 and 104 there this year as he goes for his 7th straight 100+ score on the G this week. My biggest issue with Joel though is that he hasn’t pumped out ‘huge’ numbers this year. He has only cracked the 120+ mark twice from his 13 games, but he might add another to the list this week.

It’s been a pleasure my DT captain hunters. Remember I can only have 5 players in my top 5. All the best for Round 16! Arggg.

Who will be your round 16 captain?

  • Dane Swan (31%, 803 Votes)
  • Matthew Boyd (20%, 521 Votes)
  • Dean Cox (3%, 81 Votes)
  • Gary Ablett (17%, 423 Votes)
  • Joel Selwood (2%, 56 Votes)
  • Scottie Thompson (16%, 408 Votes)
  • Brett Deledio (3%, 64 Votes)
  • Jobe Watson (2%, 63 Votes)
  • Brent Stanton (1%, 25 Votes)
  • Ivan Maric (2%, 53 Votes)
  • Someone Else (2%, 58 Votes)

Total Voters: 2,555

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69 Comments

  • Nice to have all Five!

    Interesting picture of Swanny.

    Was thinking Thompson but may go Boyd this week.

  • Thanks Calvin. Boyd seems to be on a bit of a run, so I’ll take him.

  • Zorko?!???

  • Picking jobe for the 2nd week. He let me down bigtime last week and owes me! Have swan, gaz, boyd and jelwood of that lot but jobe jumps out at me this round. Sure to be a pretty unique captains pick too.

  • What has happened to me lately is that i’ll pick Swan then he will have an average game, while Ablett has a massive one, then I switch the next week then Swan gets a massive score and Ablett goes average.

    On the weekend they both went average, but still because of this I am learning my lesson and not jumping off swan after his low 100 score. If I jump back to Ablett Swan is gauranteed to get 150+

    If Swan scores less than 110 for the rest of the year though, it’s my fault :)

    • my captain choices have been woeful all year too bruz. Last week after swannys 105 i thought “you beaut! I avoided the swantrap and have captain jobe yet to play who’ll pump that!!!”… he went on to score 82 lmfao

    • I have had a similar experience and based on exactly the same logic, I’m staying on GAJ

  • Such a tough decision this week with a heap of important league games but gonna have to go with swanny, just so consistent and could pull out a massive one any time

  • Interesting writeup. Was also thinking Thompson, and will have to see if Old Mac lines up (he should, but here’s hoping). Caused me some worries last week as captain though. Maric is an interesting idea, but I think I’ll wait and see if Dericx (unsure of spelling) stays in the team and whether last week’s score was a once off where he took some of Maric’s hit outs.

    Might even go a little off the track and choose Stanton. Hope he pulls out a big one.

    • Also not really feeling it with GAJ or Beams (since he started getting tagged) in recent times. Been a while since I’ve made a good captain’s choice haha!

  • Watching the news. They are saying Port may be looking at picking a second ruckman after being beaten in that area on the weekend. Renouf is injured which could open the door for Redden although Redden has illness.

    Long story short theres a chance Redden plays this weekend

  • I don’t know why i’m even considering this I have the first four there but i keep clicking the C on and off Jack Redden..138 and 107 in his only 2 games against them and at the Gabba..After last week i would expect him to bounce back.Please talk me out of this madness someone.

    • Do you like to cut yourself for fun?

      Sounds like it with that choice

      • 120,121,99,126,127,95,125,110,66..those are his last 9 games so up until last week he has been ultra consistent and is clearly unique..his finish to last year was also 119,95,112,109,118,112,129,130,93,119,111,118,117,113,86..ave against saints122.5

        • Don’t like that choice. Redden wont get a 140+ while a Swan or Boyd are almost a walk up ton. Its high risk-little reward with someone like Redden -Your not going to gain much more than 20 points even if it does pull off. I’ve been burnt with a unique capatain myself, I had Rockliff twice this year for two 70’s and lost a shitload of points so I’m obviously still pissed off about that but it’s just not worth the risk.

  • No way going with Swan this week. He stinks against Geelong

  • Great write up CAL….. I always love reading your stats before making a decision…. I’m a bit torn this week still might go a smokey though.

    Also Boyd played Freo last week not Weagles.

    Cheers mate

  • This sure is the week to have a crack at going unique! Can’t get bloody delidio out of my head grrr

  • What is best combination of RUCK/ M6 /F7 (F8):

    1. Maric / Mitchell / D Martin (Treloar) +4 trades

    2. McEvoy / Mitchell / Goodes (D Martin) +3 trades

    3. McEvoy / Murphy / D Martin (Treloar) +5 trades

    4. McEvoy / Mitchell / D Martin (Treloar) +4 trades

    (PS Mitchell can be any mid who I haven’t got: Boyd, GAJ, Swan, Watson, Thompson)

    • I like option 2 there. Replace Mitchell with Swan but and you should be looking set to go.

      Cover seems essential at this stage of the year, with all the carnage that’s been occurring aye.

      • Cheers Luke, definitely agree that cover is very useful.

        Btw, the mids I listed were the ones I already have, should have made that a bit more clear

        • No probs mate.

          Haha yeah, wasn’t to sure whether they were the ones you had or not. My bad.

          I would have to agree with Stevo, in looking at bringing in Pendles if you can hold off till he drops a bit in price. Otherwise, Mitchell should suffice. That along with Goodes plus Dusty as cover would be what I would roll with.

          Best of luck.

    • Option 1 but instead of Mitchell I would probably go with pendles, will drop in price and a lot better than mitchell especially with Hodge being out meaning he always cops the best tagger. Maric is the best ruck and will average much better than Mcevoy and Martin should improve a little on his current average.

      • I definitely have been impressed with Maric’s form but what concerns me is that his first game rucking with Derickx, he “only” scored 88. I love how much value McEvoy present. With that being said, there’s no replacement for premiums smashing out 110s like Mullet has been doing.

  • Great picture there Calvin. Looks awesome.

    Swan for me. Just can’t find a reason to take the ‘C’ of him. Even when the Pies lose and he is said to look out of the game, he racks up a ton. Safe bet for me.

  • Def: Deledio, Scotland, Waters, Goddard, Carrazzo, Suckling, Hargrave (Darley, Shaw)
    Mid: Swan, Ablett, Watson, Pendlebury, Mitchell, Ebert, (Gibson, Williams)
    Ruc: Ryder, Giles (Redden, Campbell)
    Fwd: Beams, Franklin, Sidebottom, Chapman, Robbinson, Dangerfield, Martin (Zorko, Porps)
    5 trades left and $91,000

    Is it worth trading out Waters? Only one team I’m playing the rest of the year doesn’t have him.
    Otherwise I want to do
    Porps to Murdoch
    then
    Hargrave to Birchall
    Giles to Cox/Maric
    I’ll do the Hargrave trade this week if he doesn’t play.
    Thoughts

  • Thompson !!!!!!

  • I’m going Kieren Jack as captain, he’s projected to get 132

  • Looking like I might cop a couple of donuts this week with Waters and Martin being the guilty parties…

    Trying to keep my overall ranking of 725 and have 3 trades left, so should I be trading either or these guys? (Waters to Birchall or Martin to Goodes).

    Any opinions appreciated cheers

    • Thats a hard one, you probably do need to trade to hold your ranking short term, but in the long term trading could easily hurt you more.

      You might have to lose some spots in the ranking and try to climb back in the following weeks I think

    • I face a similiar proposition. Waters to me is a LTI therefore he should be traded..particularly if you have no cover. If you can get 22 on the park, keep him..until next week. I too am torn with this one.

  • GAJ is due a big one maybe not this week though

  • Goin swan. Sick of tryin to b clever haha..

    Apart from bit of carnage i have had baguley on my bench since day dot!!! Wooot hes gettin in.

    I have ellis + 123k left.. Ive upgraded to Gram with 2k left.. Reckon thats a good option? Or burgoyne for carrazzo?? Plz helpp.. Last trade and not sure if ellis to gram or keep ellis on field n upgrade burgoyne to carrazzo?? I have sam shaw/ellis/baguley as bench options

  • Pendles?

  • Looks like everyone has things under control in here.

    Rumours are that Swan left training sore…

    but the DT pig is lazy, it was cold and he wanted to get out of there and we can’t blame him. We’ll ask around and have more info on this 2mrw night on DT TALK LIVE.

    Cheers lads.

  • Waters to Suckling/or a like player, Giles to McEvoy/Jacobs….well worth considering.

  • Current Team is
    Def: Deledio, Waters, Birchall, Goddard, Carrazzo, Smedts, Hargrave (Darley, Ellis)
    Mid: Swan, Ablett, Lewis, Priddis, Bartell, Zorko, (Gibson, Smith)
    Ruc: Cox, Giles (Stephenson, Campbell)
    Fwd: Beams, Franklin, Sidebottom, Chapman, Robbinson, Dangerfield, Cloke (Bennell, Hall)
    10 trades left and $103,700 Cash

    On top of league with no real danger games coming up.
    Few options this week
    Trade out Waters (would like to keep but too many donuts last week in backilne) > Scotland or Suckling or Enright
    Want to bring in Goodes. Maybe Cloke to Goodes
    With remaining trades to upgrade mids, backilne and Giles.

    Thoughts

  • Great work as always Calvin, Piggy for sure this week.

  • Question…I can either have Gibson as my 6th mid but have no emergency in the midfield

    Or using DPP I put someone like Carazzo in to mids for Goddard, so I can have a mid emergency (Just in case Pendles, whos coming back from injury or Swan, who Calvin said is sore, are a late withdrawal)

    Downside of course is Sam Shaw is on the field and could give me a 30 or 40

    Long story short have mid back up and have Sam Shaw playing on the ground
    Or Have Gibson on the ground who should score better but risk having no midfield emergency

    • I did that last week… had Nicholson on the pine in case Boyd pulled out and he pumped out a 98. Had to play Ellis who gave me a serviceable 72, but cost me a league win (lost by 6).

      Whichever way you go, I guarantee you’ll get it wrong. That’s just how DT rolls…

  • Should i hold Waters with 3 trades, or should i trade waters to M.johnson/heppel/enright and Giles to Jacobs ( BE of 42)? If i dont trade i wont be able to get Jacobs because his BE is 42 .

  • Once again a great informative read Calvin

    Swanny for me as usual. BTW I’ve been hearing Pendles will be back this week……is it legit?

  • Thoughts on pav as a unique cpt choice?

  • Fair chance McDonald will be rested I reckon. If so will strongly consider Thompson.

  • Upgrade my bad defence or get Pendles in my midfield?

  • Has anyone else noticed that Calvins SECOND pick does really well…
    Cos thats whats happened in 4 of the last 5 weeks…

  • My opponent is a massive Essendon fan. Thinking of going Watson captain just to
    BURN HIM!

  • Matthew Pavlich this week!!! ;)

  • I will be locking in Patrick Dangerfield!!!

  • Great graphic! Thats a must for each week!