The Numbers – Round 6

Numbers… it’s what DT is all about. Price changes; averages; break-evens… the list goes on. Round 6 was a much better week and thus ends the carnage weeks of times past. With far less surprises and a great start to the week, many coaches raised their own bar this week on their way to some great scores. There appears to be a lot of 2200 scores looking around, which is great to finally see. But there is still a lot of work to be done, so we can’t rest on our laurels. Have a beer, celebrate and get back to work – for with one less day this week, the footy will be back in the blink of an eye.

Now, let’s have a looks at this week by the numbers…

-1 – Lowest score of the week goes to skill-challenged Swan, Andrejs Everitt. I’m still kicking myself for actually picking this guy last year as he continues to disappoint. His 1 disposal game saw him finish in the negatives against Adelaide after also giving away a free kick. What a muppet.

1 – Quarters it took for the Blues to put away the Giants on the weekend. I’m not saying that I didn’t get a little nervous as I saw the half time score, but once the siren sounded to start the 4th quarter, the Blues tore it up – holding the young GWS outfit scoreless, all the while kicking free to secure a reputation upholding 67-point win.

2 – Number of debutants who graced the field this weekend past. Compared to the 32 from R1, it just goes to show how much the cash cow fields dry up at this stage of the season. Rookie downgrades will now be few and far between as we look to get the cash to bring in the big guns.

6 – Weeks that veteran Adam Goodes will now miss after begrudgingly coming from the field at the weekend with 6 minutes to play due to a sustained hip flexor injury. Ever the gentleman, he at least gave us the courtesy of scoring a hundred before coming off.

 7 – Players who broken to DT ton for Essendon at the weekend. Whilst many teams had 5-6 x 100+ scorers, the Bombers were the highest scoring team, totalling 2036 between them. Despite a few underperforming players (ahem… Patrick Ryder… cough…), each player pulled their weight in their big win over the Lions.

 24 – Injuries that were sustained at the weekend’s games. In a sign of the times, more players are going down each week – with soft-tissue and season ending injuries alike restricting players in their efforts. Condolences go out to Irish Blue-come-Giant Setanta, who ruptured his ACL part way through his GWS debut. What was supposed to be his second chance at the AFL, now lies in limbo as he looks forward to a long road to recovery. Maybe it is really time we review the Interchange system…

37Possessions amassed by Gold Coast rising star Harley Bennell v Freo on Saturday afternoon. Playing his best game for the expansion club, Bennell also kicked 3 Goals in a performance worthy of 3 Brownlow points. If he could do this to a Grand Final coach-led team, imagine the damage he could do to the Giants next week. He top scored with 128 and was amazing to watch as he demolished the Dockers in the first half with help from NRL-convert Karmichael Hunt.

39Amount of time (seconds) that time stood still for around 7pm on Saturday afternoon. After a timekeeping error saw the clock at a standstill at 7 minutes 55 seconds, play continued as a confused crowd looked on. Showing that no mistake goes unpunished, the AFL has stood down the 2 timekeepers in charge of the incident.

104Projected price rise by second-gamer Kyal Horsley. His blistering start to his AFL career has delighted his Suns’ coach and DT coaches alike. Whilst his job security must surely now be high, it remains to be seen how he will fare after the return of seasons AFL stars Michael Rischitelli and Gary Ablett.

193The new record for AFL Dream Team points scored by a single player in a single match. Congratulations Brent Stanton, take a bow.

Send me your ‘Numbers’ for the week @McRathDT

The Benchmark

A big congratulations this week to yet another female to top the competition in Rebekah (you know she’s serious when its spelt with a k and h). Her team Beks Bombers was another team benefiting from Brent Stanton’s huge scores, totalling am massive 2476. Showing how hard it is to get the #1 weekly score, her ranking was over 63,000 last round and should be well pleased by her brilliant team effort. She had the near perfect week, with her backline of Lids, God, Hep-D, Waters and Hargrave/Lake performing well; whilst Stants, Swan and JPK led the way in her midfield. Her ruck combo of McIntosh/Cox performed nicely; with her stock standard forward line pushing her ever so close to the magic 2500 mark. Whilst she’ll be happy with the $500 and bragging rights, she’s left herself very open to donuts during the bye rounds with 3 Premium R12 MID’s and 2 Premium R11 Rucks. Nonetheless – great effort.

Whore of the Week

Rules are made to be broken. For the third time this year Brent Stanton has forced my hand and has now also put his name into DT folklore with the best recorded score since the turn of the millennium. His 193 points epitomizes DT whoring with 39 touches (32 kicks), 17 marks and 8 tackles more than making up for his quiet Anzac Day game. The idea has been flirted with for a while, but could someone actually break the 200 barrier sometime soon? My gut says yes – and it very well may be Stanton himself. It also could be this year. For those of you who started 2012 with the champion Bomber, well bloody done.

Coach’s Pet

The CP for this week has to be the Horse, Kyal Horsley. He will be (undisputedly) the most traded in player this week. Already, over 20,000 coaches have jumped on the mature aged Sun. Staring down the barrel of his first price rise, if you don’t jump on this week you will miss out. Backing up his 101 with an outstanding 123, he appears to be here to stay and coaches are breaking all the rules to get him in.

Value Pick

Based on a simple Dollars/Points ratio, I give you a simple way to display value (admittedly biased towards rookies given their low starting cost).

As above, the best value this week was undoubtedly given by the Horse, however this round’s value pick goes to a former rookie priced defender, who’s showing us why he was a preseason bargain. Paul Bower scored a massive 116 points on the weekend against the Giants. Priced at $210,300 at the start of Round 6, his weekly value is an excellent $1812.93/pt.

(Worst) Trade of the Week

I’m once again going to put my hand up for this one. Someone feel free to try and outdo me (in fact, please do so I can finally stop feeling sorry for myself… my partner is starting to get worried…). I, like many others found the time right to trade out pint sized dynamo Devon Smith last Friday. With a high BE, my trade to superstar in the making Allen Bundy Christensen looked perfect on paper with recent scores of 110 and 101 on the board. Perhaps it was the head knock from last week, but he fell away dramatically in the 2nd half against Melbourne to finish on a paltry 71. Meanwhile, my culled cash cow went to another level after being freed from my paddock to score a sizzling 97. Long term I’m confident this move will pay off. But it seems I’ve given myself another one for the ‘trade wall of shame’, with my move to prematurely cut ties with a DT bovine making me pay.

Made a bad trade and want to vent? Let me know on Twitter @McRathDT

The Round Up

Highlights – Preseason hype-boy Dyson Heppell breaking out for a huge 137; Pendlebury bouncing back to form; Robbo, Sidey and Danger continuing their great form; the Gold Coast Suns very nearly pulling off a huge upset, eventually going down to an underperforming Freo outfit.

Lowlights – Duffield running away from the ball to score another sub-50; Rocky for letting me down as my captain; Gibbs and Barlow failing (so pretty much my entire midfield); plus my ruck division underperforming to leave me mere points away from saving face with a 2000 + score. Oh, add the Goodes injury and I’ve had a fantastic week (Sgt Sarcasm reporting for duty).

Team McRath – What started with a flurry, ended in another Mad Monday-like emptiness. Despite my forward line stepping up, my midfield and rucks let me down once again – pushing me behind the pack in rankings. With my patience running thin, and another cold week; I’ve got nowhere to go from here by upwards. I’m backing my underperforming Midfield to rise from the ashes in R7 to give the team a much needed lift.

With a few cracking matches on this weekend, we need to move forwards into battle once again. I, for one am looking forward to the Crows v Cats and Giants v Suns matches. Also, as a sidenote – with the Eliminator finally up and running – who recorded the largest victory on the weekend? My first up opponent scored a formidable 1550, so I still had a comfortable win despite my under-par score.

Feedback appreciated as always. Also – if you’re not already… follow me in the Twittersphere: @McRathDT

195 Comments

  • One for the pros

    Have gone Magner –> Horse, Kennedy –> Adams. This is leaving me with 15 trades after some serious damage control throughout the season. With this trade I have 573.3k in the bank.

    Should I stick with this trade, bringing in a fwd and def primo next week, or would it be smarter to bring in a big fwd (Beams/Zaha/StevieJ) this week, ditching the Adams trade.

    I still intend to bring back Ablett and another elite mid down the line which is why I went the cash cow route, but with my trades becoming thin I’m not so sure which way to go. Being short come midfield upgrade season is my major concern with this plan.

    Any thoughts/ideas on who to bring in and which way to go with the trades?

    – Team after Horse in –

    DEF — Lids, Hep, Sucker, God, Bugg, Hargs, Ellis — Smedts, Darley

    MID — Pendles, Mitchell, Jelwood, Barlow, Jmac, Horse — Greene, Sheil

    FWD — Robbo, Franklin, Sidey, Martin, Chappy, Porps, Kennedy — Hall, Treloar

    • wow, nothing? Thought everyone here had an opinion

      • Hey Stuie, your down to 15 trades, that’s serious STOP TRADING TIME!!!
        The Horsley trade suits your structure….lets just hope he’s there in rnds 11 & 12, I think he will.
        I would forgo the Adams trade, he doesn’t add to your structure, and may be subject to rest like many of the GWS, plus it’s only $100k you make from the trade, just not worth it imho.

        Again a great deal depends on your ambitions, Overall or League, and if it is the latter, then your intentions to tank in round 11, which appears the case, now that I scrolled up and looked at your team.

        Looks like you have copped a bit of carnage matey, i hope your luck improves.

        • Haha, tell me about it… the big red light was flashing but I was in serious damage control with injuries and fools gold from rd 1.

          Going league since a 1650 score with 3 donuts a few rounds back eroded my ranking beyond repair. Was gonna go hard out with trades and set my team early but maybe I should rest the trigger finger and reverse the Adams trade.

          Although, in reversing the Adams trade do you think bringing in a big fwd this round would be the go or waiting it out to conserve trades? So many bottomed out gems at the moment

          Cheers mate.

          • Nup, save the trade, you’ve got a ripping fwd line as it is from F1 to F6!!!
            Conserve them buddy.

            I’ve kept C.Howard on by bench for 5 weeks, and sucked up crappy scores from Ellis/Morris, which on EVERY occasion have chosen the lowest scoring one onfield, but I figured the trade would be more useful during the MBR’s.

  • 9 the number of doughnuts my eliminator opponent had in a score of 1110! I nearly doubled his/her score, their team name was Melbourne and truly only had Melbourne players? Must be an experiment?

  • Pretty glad I stuck with my rule of not bringing in Goodes early in the season. Will be a nice target after the bye rounds though.

    Thinking this week of with doing a single trade (Magner > Horsely) or making it a double and also bringing in Heppell. I could afford a premo mid, but 1) I need to bolster my DEF, and 2) Sam Mitchell. He is a gun, and due to drop in price again next week. I will then employ his services :)

    On the radar after that is another premo FWD. Robinson or Sidebottom. Probably the latter as it fits my byes better.

  • Dear muppets who continue to cry about the mighty Eagles – read this rational article and eat your words

    http://www.afl.com.au/news/newsarticle/tabid/208/newsid/135186/default.aspx

    Cheers for the good read McRath

  • It’s interesting to note that the overall leader in the competition, has Ablett on the pine, and doesn’t have Stanton!

  • whats everyone raned? just curious

    • ranked*

      • Going ok at the moment. 16th overall.

        How bout you Sam?

        • lol

        • Mate – I dropped to 69th – A good position to be in :)

          • I saw that. Still killing it mate!!!

            I will prob drop some this week as I wont be doing my upgrades till next week or the week after depending on $$$. Looks likely just a Caddy to Horse downgrade for me this week. What trades you looking at?

      • Some nice rankings there RIdley and Big Feller. Good luck going forward

        I’m currently sitting 886th trying to better last years overall rank of around 200

        • I’ll have to move on Goodes (probably to Beams or Robbo) and bring in the Horse (probably for the Magnet).

          • I am wanting to make the Golby to Goddard move ASAP but Goddard might be dropping another $30,000 this week so need to pull in the reins. Same with Mitchell so will need to back in the GWS boys once again against GC this week and maybe Brisbane next week. I will reassess next week with $230,000 in the kitty.

        • Is the team Hook’s Hooligans?

          If so, awesome team on paper mate. I reckon you are every chance to better last years rank!
          I really like your backs.

          • Yeah it is, cheers mate.

            I haven’t touched my backline yet, the only trades I have made have been downgrades and sideways LTI’s (GAJ and Fyfe for Murphy and Beams) So my team is probably worse on paper then when I started. I’m just stockpiling cash at the moment so I can do upgrades throughout the MBR rounds, I don’t trust having to rely on donwgrade targets through these rounds.

            You’re team looks real solid to mate with all proven consistant scorers. I like the pick of Scotland over Goddard, I had him all last year and was stoked with him but for some reason his age scared me off this year.

          • The team is traveling nicely at the moment. Goddard and prob Mitchell will be added to the team in the next 2 weeks so the team will be almost set by the MBR’s. I have decided to cop the donuts in round 11.

            Should only require to use 5 trades to get through the byes from my best set plans but everything seems to change week to week atm.

            We will be seeing you shortly at the pointy end I reckon ;-)

    • 9,586 – Overall Rank
      15,374 – Rd 6 Rank

    • 2,285 in the Universe

      huu haaa!!!

    • 141

  • Magner or Conigs on bench? leaning more towards magner cause he is looking more of a tagger now but after 80+ last week not sure if hes gonna be a tagger?

  • Am I crazy! Barlow on the bench for the Horse!!!

  • Good article. Am considering Goodes to Robbo and Gibbs to Horsely. I know you should never trade Keepers but he has been giving me the shits, and when I looked at who I would put on the ground this week out of MacDonald, Greene, Horsely and Gibbs this week, guess who came last?
    Would leave me 16 trades and $847,300 in the bank. 2160 last week and around 11,000th. Somebody talk me out of it please…….

    • Last year Gibbs absolutely smashed the second half of the year, avg over 115 from memory. Thats why people picked him to start this year (I thought about it but the midfield is the one area I don’t take risks with) So I wouldn’t trade him because maybe he’s another Goodes type who warms up in the beginning half of the season before comin home strong

      Stay strong and don’t trade Gibbs

      (there is that what you wanted to hear?)

  • do i get sidey or beams???

  • Beems

  • Team:

    DEF: Deledio, Goddard, Broughton, Waters, Hargrave, Bugg, Clarke ( Ellis, Townsend )

    MIDS: Swan, Mitchell, Boyd, J.Selwood, L.Parker, Magner ( McDonald, Treloar )

    RUCKS: Sandi, Giles ( stephenson, redden )

    FWDS: Franklin, Martin, Sidebottom, Dangerfield, Pearce, R.Stanley, D.Smith ( Kennedy, Hall )

    Which option should i do / consider ?

    Option 1:
    L.Parker > S.Thompson
    Magner > Horsley

    Option 2:
    L.Parker > Horsley
    Kennedy > Stevie J

    Option 3:
    Magner > Horsley
    Save Trade

    • ??

      • I’d bring in Thommo if I had the chance at his current price. Would only have him and Boyd out rd 11, but that’s only assuming you move on Jmac and Treloar by then – if you don’t then you’d be staring at 2 donuts in that position alone.
        It really depends on your budget and future trade plans. Will you have enough to carry out your intended trades post-Thompson trade, or is this just a mad dash at a bargain without much thought?

        Now, I’m no seasoned veteran blogdog elitist on a high horse who’s word carries the weight of a thousand dongs like many others around here, but that’s just my opinion.

  • if no mistake goes unpunished, why have the same muppet umpires been running around for so long getting it so remarkably wrong?

  • beams or robinson?

  • Team:

    DEF: Deledio, Goddard, Birchall, Scotland, Hargrave, Bugg, Ellis( Brown, Townsend )

    MIDS: Pendles, Boyd, J.Selwood, J. Kennedy, A. Swallow, Horsely ( Shiel, Gibson )

    RUCKS: Sandi, Macca ( Giles, Redden )

    FWDS: Franklin, Martin, Sidebottom, Dangerfield, Robinson, Treloar, D.Smith ( Couch, Hall )

    What do you reckon the trades should be this week?

    • you can lead a horse to water….

    • Oh my god, f***ing god quit asking the same crap.

      Figure it out for your self. You have posted this about 54 times already. Do some research and take it from there

  • I’m a Carlton fan, but that’s not going to stop me from saying “+1”.

    The Tigers have been travelling well of late. This could be the year where they crack the 8.

    As for Sydney, it’s interesting to point out that they haven’t actually travelled to Victoria this season at all, this week being their first visit. Add Goodes not playing to that and you have yourself a potential Tigers victory. I’ll be tipping them.

  • surely the worst trade was Kreuzer -> McEvoy to prevent a donut

    Just to spit in your face Kreuz comes back in late notice and McEvoy gets injured, another trade ensues…

  • Hey Guys – Magner or McCarthy to make way for the Horse?

  • Just ducking in