Assessing the Damage: Round 4

Injuries

Gary Ablett

The big news this week is Gary Ablett and his knee. After scans on Monday, the club have said he is likely to miss 2-3 matches. Gazza tweeted that he hoped to be back earlier. Anyway – here’s our problem… to trade or not to trade?! Sensible Dream Team coaches will hold onto him. Why? If he is only out for a couple of weeks, then it’s not worth a trade. At this early point in the season, we have bench cover so we should just use them. Why should we trade him? Well, it is a knee and what happens if he is out for more than 3 weeks… nearly $600K sitting on your bench, and potentially 60-odd points per week playing a rookie. He may come back underdone. This will be a big call. For me, I am considering trading him… but it would be to Swanny or Pendles. For me to do this, I’d have to lock that in before the partial lockout. Adds another element to the whole decision making process.

http://www.afl.com.au/news/newsarticle/tabid/208/newsid/133831/default.aspx

Andrew Carrazzo

Calvin is seething, along with the thousands of Dream Team coaches with bringing in Andrew Carrazzo and only returning a sausage (1 point). Anyway, you’ll need to trade him as he will miss at least 8 weeks. If you have some cash, maybe a jump up to Scotland could be an option… otherwise, how about Greg Broughton?! Haha.

http://www.afl.com.au/News/NEWSARTICLE/tabid/208/Default.aspx?newsId=133719

Others

Also we saw season ending injuries to Robbie Gray (ACL) and Gary Rohan (broken tibia). Sydney ruckman Shane Mumford was a late withdrawal last weekend due to an infection from an injection. He is in doubt this week. Michael Hurley will miss two weeks with a hamstring injury. Bernie Vince will miss up to a month with a hand injury. Plus he’s not happy with Dream Team coaches tweeting him about it.

Suspensions

The main worry from the MRP findings this week is Steve Johnson who will miss this week on a rough conduct charge. Even with a guilty plea, he will still face the week on the sidelines. The other suspension details can be found here, but if you have Justin Koschitzke or Lindsay Thomas, you’ve probably given up on DT already for 2012.

NOTE: ‘REVERSE CHANGES’ WILL NOT BE AVAILABLE ONCE THE ROUND 5 PARTIAL LOCKOUT IS IN EFFECT. YOU’LL NOT BE ABLE TO REVERSE TRADES AFTER 2:40PM AEST ON WED, APRIL 25.

Follow me on Twitter for updates on everything AFL Dream Team! @WarnieDT

190 Comments

  • I agree with dr Ashton.

    Gaz stays. I’d hate to match up on him in a months time after trading him out.

    Mummy is making me questioin my 1+3 ruck strategy, i ate two donuts (mummy, coniglio) on the weekend and choked on both.

    I’m wondering if old man mac will keep on keeping or slow down, too many old shit players in my team already. Seriously good rookie scores but…. i’m going with treloar

    Stevie J has hurt too but i’m keeping the faith.

  • Thoughts on trading fyfe for murphy?
    Need another big name while abletts on the pine

  • I understand that many people here play for ultimate rankings, but I’m not that good just yet. My goal is to succeed in my league. Until Ablett went down, I was comfortably looking at 4-1. My plan was to trade Grimes to Waters and Butcher to Treloar this week, leaving me with $184,000 in the bank ready for when my rookie prices top out, with two lines virtually set, and plenty of team depth to see me get there.

    With Ablett out, the games are all much closer than I’d like. It is now quite feasible I’ll end 1-4, as Deledio is my next best option for captain. I like my above option better for the long term, given Ablett should come back soon, but was wondering whether 1-4 is too far to come back from? If one did have to trade, who would be the best option for him?

    If it matters, my opponents over the next three weeks have probable captains of Mitchell/Swan, Ablett/Boyd, and Stanton/Pendlebury.

    Thanks for reading my message. Any advice is appreciated…

    • who are your other premium midfielders?

    • mate what’s your team name so we can have a look, so we could help??

      • Thanks. My team is named Ragnarok. My midfield is Ablett, Deledio, Chapman and Ebert. I also have Goddard, Goodes and Scotland in other lines.

  • If Fyfe plays this week im thinking of going going Kennedy-Treloar and Carrazzo – Houli. This gives me 95k in the bank, which in 3 weeks time when Fyfe is at his cheapest, will allow me to go Porplyzia – Fyfe. Thoughts?

  • which 2 of these trades should I do this round???

    1.)Greene/Coniglio to OldMac
    2.) Greene/Coniglio to Barlow
    3.) Kennendy to Trelor

  • sidebottom or beams?

  • Benching Ablett.
    May trade Lynch (crows) to Treloar and McCarthy to Rockliffe
    depending if Lynch gets a gig this week.
    Need 4 premo mids to keep with the pack.

  • Fyfe > treloar
    C smith > barlow
    Going for a league win and playing the highest scorer thus far so need to get some points on the field. Keeping ablett on the bench. Good option for the loophole this week as well.

  • CarrazzO swap to midfield for Lids
    Then Carrazzo for Barlow ?

  • Great article mate, Might sound crazy but Broughton could be a good option last 2 rounds he has got 109 and 92 and a BE of 55. Ge could be a great option ( i already have him) Thoughts??

  • Having goodes suspended, birchall out, carrazzos one, abblett injured and kruezer/jacobs doing sweet F-ALL.
    I for one am glad this round is over but im gonna stick with abblett till he comes back as planning on bringing murphy in at the same time.
    Only one trade this week carrazzo > waters.
    Overall ranking is slowly drifting out..

    • Carrazzo’s 1 is the biggest pain in the arse in DT. Add to the fact that by earning the free kick before getting injured not only does his score count but some prick has sharked his free kick and picked up the +3 for himself. Could have been at least 4!

      Stupid “advantage’ rule.

  • I cracked the elusive 2k mark this week, one of only 2 people in each of my leagues to do so.

    My stategy this week is to trade C. Smith to Treloar in the Midfield. Then, here’s to hoping, switch Treloar from MID to FWD in place of Fyfe (pending him playing), who will be covering GAblett. I know it’s a bandaid solution but I’ve burnt a few trades lately so I’m using them as sparingly as possible.

    Revised MID’s:

    Jelwood, Mitchell, Boyd, Fyfe, Magner, Sheil (Greene, GAblett)

  • Birchall, Suckling, Waters or mayby even McKenzie? (wtf)

    • Spot of bother encroaching right here.

      Ablett, Fyfe, Stevie J. Relying on Kerridge and Pfeiffer to pull me out on the doughnut zone with out a trade.

      Better say what your thinking Lyons.

  • does anybody still have dickson???

    • Yep. Or as I like to call him, Captain Deadweight. Any news on him?

      • Nahh traded him to Treloar last week :) I can’t see him getting many games any time soon

        • Yeah I’m getting Treloar in this week but in the mid’s to sub Fyfe in for GAblett, that’s if Fyfe is even a chance. Dickson might be culled but my trades are, as Jackson Brown put it, “running on empty”.

  • what’s everyones thoughts on stewart crameri played well so far so yeah

  • who should I trade in for robbie gray and carrazzo, i dont have enough cash to upgrade carrazzo to scotland :/

  • who should I trade in for robbie gray and carrazzo, I dont have enough cash to upgrade to scotland :/

  • went ablett to rockcliff and carrazzo to goddard ive finnally got my team sorted out for byes will have to make 4 or 5 trades then but will have to do no more trade unless injures occur

  • Can’t wait for the Pirate this week. I’m a bit lost with all the chaos.

    • its got to be boyd for Captain (versing GWS)

      • There is also the chance for the VC loophole this week again with a number of viable options ie Pendles, Swan, Watson, Stanton

  • I have gone Carrazzo to Michael Johnson (sub using Smedts) and also porplezia to trelor to gain some cash.
    Would love some feed back on this I have only twenty trades left for the season have I used too many already? Should I hold back on the porplezia trade is that too early?

    • dontn trade porps hes playing good and a trade is worth more then 100k

      • Good call. But either way I will be trading porps, his BE is 23 so his price won’t rise THAT much more I figured why not now for trelor which will save me 100k plus make me an extra 30-40k this week after the price rise.

  • great article warnie, makes a lot of trouble and headaches.

    is it worth getting rid of ablett. may not score as well when first back and may take longer than expected to return. maybe for marc murphy or stanton. its definitely a ballsy maneuver. what should i do?

  • Keeping my head just above water … What do people think about ablett for hayes then hale for robinson?

    • Or should I leave ablett on bench sub with jmac, hale back to rucks trade longer out for a better gwd rook and then towsend/boumann out of backline. Or kerridge/couch out of fwds .. Hmm ive had 2 weeks of 21 due to emergencies not actually playing?

  • Long time reader, first time poster

    Need some help with what to do Mummy

    Thinking Ryder or HMac any thoughts??

  • Cheers Warnie.

    I had Mumford, Gaz, Carrots and Fyfe to deal with at the start of the week.

    Carrots to Waters seems a simple decision, but the others? Christ. Where to begin.

    Hopefully Fyfe is ok, and I should probably hang Gaz on the bench to save a trade.

    Not confident about Mummy, and worried that the likes of Kennedy and D. Smith will be rested, leaving gaps up front.

    No idea how to play my second trade.

    • all depends if you can cover mummy this week and I guess the second trade will depend on selection and or ability to cover with emergencies?

      • Too true.

        Looks like at least one of Redden and Stephenson will play, so probably leave Mumford on then bench.

        Was thinking of playing Hall and trading Kennedy before carnage unfurled. So as long as one of Dickson, Kennedy or D. Smith get a game i should have cover. Pretty sure Dickson was a dud choice on my part.

        Then there is the issue of the midfield. With Ablett out i have only 3 premium mids, and i can’t help but feel that Gaz will be gone for at least two, if not three. Really tempting to swap him for Mitchell or Murphy, since they would both be upgrade targets for later in the year.

        None of this will be clear until the teams are named on Thursday.

        …FMDT

  • what to do with mummy….

    • If you dont have Cox…bench Mummy this week Cox’s “BE” is 150 may be able to straight swap Mummy for Cox at weeks end.

  • What about Shuey – I know Worsfold has said he’s “quietly confident” about Shuey playing Rnd 5, due to him playing out the game, but I don’t think that bump bhe got after injuring it would have done him any favors?

    I have Hurley, Shaw, Ablett, and possibly Shuey all out this week.

    Unfortunately I’ve burnt through too many trades trying to get my structure right and cope with injuries, so I really don’t want to trade at all this week, but my Rnd 5 score isn’t even going to crack 1800 with all of these injuries to cover, plus already injured players from previous rounds sitting on my bench doing nothing!

  • Whats everyone think of Sam Shaws chances of LT in the crows team.

  • any thoughts on if sam shaw will be in the crows team for a while?

  • Should i trade cunningham for treloar?

  • Thoughts:

    DEF: B Deledio, H Scotland, R Hargrave, M Golby, G Birchall, B Ellis, J Townsend, B Smedts, J Boumann

    MID: M Boyd, S Mitchell, S Pendlebury, J Bartel, S Thompson, J McDonald, G Ablett, J Magner

    RUCK: J Giles, M Kreuzer, J Redden, B Longer

    FWD: S Sidebottom, L Franklin, B Whitecross, D Smith, A Kennedy, D Hale, A Hall, S Kerridge, T Couch

    LAst week I brought in Ablett for Redden and Whitecross for Fyfe. As above not sure which way to go. Thinking of hanging on to Ablett as to waste the trade. Do I look to trade out boumann and kerridge to sure up my emergencies or trade out hale who is a waste at that price?

    But who else Kerridge or Boumann? I’m keeping Couch, he’s can’t keep being ignored surely?

  • ive traded fyfe for clancy pearce and carrazo to goddard/scotland. Any opinions?

  • Dell’olio for kerridge & shaw for boumann.

    or

    hibberd & dell’ollio in hale & boumann out

    or

    clarke & pfeiffer in hale & boumann out

    or

    drummond & pfeiffer in hale & boumann out

    or anything else anyone can think of, trying to turnaround my worst start in DT ever. I don’t trust my brain at the moment tipped 2 out of 9 last week.

  • Does anyone else consider Michael Johnson for Carrazzo a serious option????

    • I’d say no…If you dont have Birchall 437,600 and cant afford this price wait a week his “BE” is 117 chances are he wont make that and could drop around 12 to 15k…if he has a shocker even more..this may bring him into your price range.

  • After much deliberation i have gone Carrazo to Barlow
    I was just short of cash for scotland!

    What do you think?