Dream Team Stock Market – R3

 

It’s back! Bigger and better than ever. The #DTSM (Dream Team Stock Market), is your one stop shop, for pretty much, well, everything! Dream Team might have the Assistant Coach (for $19.95), but the Assistant Coach doesn’t have me (free of course) or twitter (also free) or have a crystal ball (umm, working on that part).

For those of you new to the Dream Team Stock Market, quite simply, it’s the bees neez when it comes to working out and deciding how to make money for your dream team and speed up the process in which you raise your salary cap to create the competitions ultimate side! Remember, at the start of the year, players (besides LTI’s, rookies or players returning from Ireland) are valued at how they performed last season. You spend the money, you are banking on that player to perform to that value. The more money you have to spend, the more money you have to spend on players that are performing! That’s why it is so important to know when to jump off a player that has peaked and jump on someone at a lower than valued price.

 

Before I begin, here is the DTSM guide to building a winner.

Rookies: Your rookies MUST be playing. With the exception for 1, maybe 2 (but those 1 or 2 must be looking at a game very soon, Eg. Tom Couch) Your rookies need to be running around early and gaining in value. If you missed out on picking them up at the start of the year, trade them in ASAP. You must. You need to be making money early or you will be left behind. Eg. Curnow and Liberatore last season.

Premiums: The old back your premiums in philosophy. You didn’t spend all pre-season analysing every last detail of the guys you are going to start with. So don’t over analyse them based off 2 rounds alone. Unless they have lost an arm or been decapitated (with the exception of Joel Selwood), back them in! Especially if they are already a proven DT performer. Sideways trades are a waste if there is no injury involved.

The mid-priced players. Ok, this is very hit and miss and does involve large testicles or for the ladies, large… anyways. You have to make a call on them, and early. If they are sucking the life out of your team and dropping in price like there is no tomorrow, it will hurt you in the long run, especially if they never recover in value. If your gut says they aren’t going to live up to expectations, see you later, trade them out. If you believe they will eventually come good, hold onto them for the long run (Eg. Jack Grimes, Brian Lake). Lost value is lost scoring ability. It’s your call.

The unique pick: So you are a genius and picked an absolute jet and kept it on the down low only for this jet to crash and burn with a score that looks like something at a soccer game. Swallow your pride and move them on. Or if you are lucky, watch them become the highest traded in player in Round 3. Hurts doesn’t it.

 

Here we go….

 

TOP 10 – BUY, BUY, BUY.

 

 

1. James Magner (MID) $85,800 – B/E: -153 AVG: 104

Let’s face it, if you don’t have the “Magnet” in your midfield, you need to walk into your garage, find a hammer and batter yourself stupid. Or a less painful option, would be to trade him into your side, NOW! He has been a shining light in a very dim start to season 2012 for the Demons. Look’s set to sky-rocket $104,000 if he cracks another ton this week.

Possible stock rise: $405,000

 

2. Toby Greene (MID) $134,700 – B/E: -118 AVG: 103

Want to cash up? Of course you do, that’s why you are here. Currently have Dom Tyson, Stephen Coniglio or Dylan Shiel? Well say goodbye and cash in. Greene looks poised, clean and ready for a big year. Is his job security solid? Only time will tell but thats the risk with most rookies. Hopefully his value will soar before he is told he is having a “rest”. Expect Mr Greene to pump his stocks up by $90,000 if he also cracks another ton!

Possible stock rise: $340,000

 

3. Adam Kennedy (MID/FWD) $104,200 – B/E: -120 AVG: 94

Firstly I believe Adam Kennedy should be number 47, not 40. I could give him my own little nickname of AK47. But that’s not the case, so anyways… He has looked very assuring and a safe pick for your DT. 1st round 116 was super impressive and somehow managed to claw out a 70+ in the loss to North this week in a very lop-sided game in Hobart. On target for a $86,000 rise if he reaches his projected score (which is his average) of 94. Up against the Eagles this week so don’t count your chickens yet, but will have a huge rise none the less.

Possible stock rise: $330,000

 

4. Jonathon Giles (RUC) $117,800 – B/E: -104 AVG: 90

141,000 teams have him already. Need I really go on? Is the number 1 ruckman at GWS ahead of Dean Brogan. Pushes forward and kicks the odd goal which we all like our ruckman to do and gets involved around the ground. Will push the $80,000 rise if sneaks over 90 again this week. Regardless, he should be in your team anyways!

Possible stock rise: $310,000

 

5. Terry Milera (FWD) $115,800 – B/E: -84 AVG: 79

Another one to sneak under the rookie radar. Milera has been in the best players both weeks for the Saints this year and I don’t see him losing his spot on that half-forward line either. His market value should rise $66,000 this week alone! I rate him highly.

Possible stock rise: $250,000

 

6. Thomas Bugg (DEF) $104,200 – B/E: -86 AVG: 77

My personal pick of the bunch (after Magner). This kid looks good! Even did a great job at shutting down (as best as he could) Brent Harvey after Boomer went ballistic early against the Giants. Even with a score of 70 again this week should go up $65,000 or so in value. Looks a ready-made AFL player and if I was Sheeds, I’d leave him in all year.

Possible stock rise: $250,000

 

7. Devon Smith (FWD/MID) $121,200 – B/E: -62 AVG: 70

Another of the GWS DPP’s. Smith, similar to Kennedy has looked solid out there. Needs to post a 100+ to really get his rolling average moving along nicely. Should have a nice little $50,000 rise in price this week. But so much more room for improvement! Could break out even more.

Possible stock rise: $210,000

 

8. Rhys Stanley (FWD) $164,200 – B/E: -67 AVG: 87

Bit of a dark horse here, only 6500 teams currently have him in their squad! A little more pricey than the others, but is delivering over 85 points per game, good return! $50,000 rise in value this week is on the cards with a 60. The ceiling for Stanley could be a lot higher than a few of the ones mentioned previously but as his starting price is higher also, it evens out. Be a unique and handy player none the less. Pass for me.

Possible stock rise: $135,000

 

9. Clay Smith (MID) $107,700 – B/E: -62 AVG: 66

If anyone watched the Bulldogs Rd1 match against the Eagles, they would know this kid is something special. Kicked 4 goals on debut and was subbed off late in 3rd for 79. Worth holding onto until he gets full games under his belt and can start pumping out some larger scores. This week should jump $50,000 odd. Not bad for being subbed off twice and with that alone, its a risk you take.

Possible stock rise: $200,000

 

10. Jeremy Cameron (FWD) $104,200 – B/E: -51 AVG: 59

Had a great individual game last week vs North. Also this weeks R2 Rising Star Nomination (congrats). One of a very few targets up forward for GWS so is sure to get ample opportunities to get some high scores. If you are unsure on a few of your rookie forwards, Cameron would be a great choice to ease your mind. Roughly $45,000 increase this week. Bargain.

Possible stock rise: $175,000

 

TOP 10 – SELL, SELL, SELL.

 

 

1. Andrew Embley (MID) $465,000 – B/E: 253 AVG: 34

Not the greatest of starts to the year for Embley. The 1170 people that have him, do yourself a favour! Might be a handy unique later in the year, but I think his DT value is at zero right now. Did I mention he is out for up to 12+ weeks with a shoulder injury? Yep, double whammy. Unlucky Andrew.

Set to plummet: $70,000 this week.

 

2. Jordan Russell (DEF) $352,400 – B/E: 179 AVG: 25

The green vest must make Jordan feel sick. The fact you had Jordan in your side to start with, makes me sick. “He is a great unique pick” – words you will never hear any smart DT coach say. Trade or delete your team.

Set to plummet: $55,000 this week.

 

3. Corey Enright (DEF) $454,600 – B/E: 196 AVG: 50

A very slow start to the year for Enright could be a blessing in disguise later on. For those that have him, it’s a big call to make, but i would stick with him. For those that don’t, he might be a very handy inclusion in a 5-6 weeks time. The guy is a star and like a few people, just slowly winding himself into the new year. Watch closely.

Set to plummet: $50,000 this week.

 

4. Robin Nahas (FWD) $415,700 – B/E: 174 AVG: 48

Nahas hasn’t set the DT scene ablaze this year. He did give us glimpses last year of the game breaking ability he possesses, but is way too up and down for my liking. To be fair, the first 5 rounds for the Tigers are tough going (cough, Dustin Martin), so I think we will see a vast improvement in a month or so’s time. Sell or Pass for now.

Set to plummet: $45,000 this week.

 

5. Heath Shaw (DEF) $454,000 – B/E: 174 AVG: 61

Shaw or Not Shaw? If at Round 1 Heater was in your side, you hold onto him! If not, you don’t go there, yet…  Pies have been unable to free up the likes of Shaw as much as they want. But they soon will, trust me (famous last words). Once things begin to click, the Pies have a few players return and Bucks’ game plan starts to show signs of, well, anything, Shaw will start pumping out some decent scores. Has also just re-signed with the Magpies. Could explode this week against arch rivals Carlton.

Set to plummet: $40,000 this week.

 

6. Travis Boak (MID) $426,300 – B/E: 164 AVG: 57

At his price, an average of 57 is a disaster. The guy can play, no question, but unless you want to go bankrupt in your midfield and be stuck with Boak for DT eternity, cash out.

Set to plummet: $40,000 this week.

 

7. Todd Goldstein (RUC) $491,600 – B/E: 193 AVG: 63

The “MacGold” combo at North is great for the Kangaroos. Not so great for Dream Teamers. Cash out now. So many other options for your ruck at this stage. Might be worth a look later this year, but not for me.

Set to plummet: $39,000 this week.

 

8.  Brad Green (FWD) $383,900 – B/E: 150 AVG: 50

There had to be a Melbourne forward on the list, and poor Greeny is the one to cop it. I think Melbourne have only had the ball inside their 50, 7 times this year (ok, so im exaggerating a little bit). Brad has not really had much of a chance to shine. Be an interesting option if his price continues to plummet. Keep an eye on but for now, no no no.

Set to plummet: $39,000 this week.

 

9. Greg Broughton (DEF) $416,200 – B/E: 162 AVG: 66

Ahhh Greg. If you’re like me, you probably just punched a hole in your monitor looking at his name. I am a Broughton fan, but I am also a very frustrated one. With the lack of defensive options at this stage, you would be brave to trade him out this week as he could also erupt with a 120+. You would also be braver to hold onto him as he seems to be playing a lockdown role that struggles to crack 50 points, that is the dilemma. If anything, give Ross Lyon a call and tell him to stop being such a muppet and to throw Mr Broughton into the midfield, like he did in the preseason! I still expect big things, I just don’t know if we can wait it out anymore.

Set to plummet: $30,000 this week.

 

10. Michael Barlow (MID) $424,800 – B/E: 158 AVG: 59

Ahhh Mr Barlow. I couldn’t leave this bloke out and would normally be on the Watch-List Category (once values start to change it will be back).  He is averaging 59 and has started as the sub, twice. Hopefully, you haven’t started the year with him, but if you have, you have to back him in. This bloke WILL be HUGE. He is just a ball magnet. Once he is ready to run out full games, he would be one of the first picked in most midfields, without a doubt. Keep an eye on DTSM for the right time to throw the money at him and pick up a bargain. Round 6 vs the Gold Coast might be an ideal time…

Set to plummet: $36,000 this week.

 

Hope this is a good guide first up from the Dream Team Stock Market. It will chop and change during the year but this is ground zero to kick the year off. No-one has gained or dropped in value yet so it’s vitally important you start the year off on a good note. If you want me to take a look a specific player or need to find a way to sneak a player in, get hold of me on twitter @Aki_DT and hashtag #DTSM. I’ll do my best to cover a few in this article or might even be able to solve your troubles via Twitter!

Big shout out to @TeeTeeDT for taking the reigns last year while I took a nice holiday. Great work and thanks mate.

 

Remember:  @Aki_DT

 

 

344 Comments

  • Out of the two:

    Broughton or Shaw,

    Who are most people trading out? (If they have both selected in their team) and who should I trade out and why?

    Thanks heaps

    • I’d say Broughton. Shaw has more chance of going back to his awesome running role (because of the in’s the pies are soon to have). But you never really know. According to Ass Coach… Broughton has been traded out by 3.14% and Shaw by 2.77%.

  • Hey all. I have Broughton, Golby and Grimes in my defense. I need to bring in Goddard and im thinking about just doing a sideways trade of Broughton > Goddard and then Downgrade of Golby > M Clarke. But it also is possible for me to have both Broughton AND Goddard… By going Grimes > Goddard and Golby > M Clarke. But then i have to deal with Broughton’s price drop.

    I guess my question is… Who is more worth keeping? Grimes or Broughton?

    I have other slight problems in my team (Hall, Dickson as my forward rookies) but i think i’d prefer to just make my defense nice and solid.

    Should i just go the 4 premo option? Deledio, Goddard, Carrazzo, Broughton, Burgoyne, M Clarke (Ellis, Bugg).

    Really would appreciate any advice guys. Sorry if you’ve already read bits and pieces of this around the place.

    • I rate Broughton over Grimes. Look at his record it speaks for itself. Ave mid-high 80’s since debut. If you can keep him I’d recommend that. Hope this helps

      • At first i was a bit hesitant. But its done now…. Goddard, Deledio, Carrazzo, Broughton, Burgoyne, M Clarke, P Davis (Bugg, Ellis). Thats my backline now. What do you think?

        I reckon Grimes will do well this year. He plays through the mids…. But… I dunno, i just don’t trust him coming back from an injury.

  • Does anyone know how to make 2 into 8 not enough trades this week … gonna be a long night playing eenie meenie minie mo …. hahaha

  • Yeah it’s a tough one. In theory he is a no brainer, rarely (if ever) gets given a genuine lockdown role and he’s the best kick in the team so the Eagles look to get the ball in his hands as much as possible. Really he should be up there with Birchall and Suckling in DT output. History isn’t on he’s side though and he has shown time and again that he can’t handle a tag. A genuine DT break out year could be on the cards and I certainly don’t see him doing any worse than last year so I don’t see him as a massive risk.

  • I have the cash to go Broughton to Carrazzo or Suckling but then I’ll have 4 premo rd 13 bye defenders. So it’s either Waters or Geary and I’m leaning towards Geary because it gives me the option of choosing whoever the best defender is later in the year. Plus Waters might get injured and it also gives me 253k.
    Is Broughton to Geary a good idea?

    • No. Keep Broughton!!

      • I appreciate your informative post, but I’ve decided that I’ll get rid of him because with Barlow getting more game time and Mundy to come back, I can’t see him breaking into the midfield. He might score well this week if Duffield doesn’t play but once he comes back, Broughton will score bad again.
        So, do you think Geary is a good pick?

        • I would only trade Broughts to a keeper. I don’t think Geary is a keeper! Btw Broughton named in the guts.

  • What do you guys think about Broughton to Heppell for a sraight swap??

  • Broughton ( Ave.63 ) —-> Alex Johnson ( Ave. 89 )
    Luke Parker ( Ave. 59 ) —–> Liam Anthony ( Ave. 106 )

    Or I could leave Parker for one more week and go either Hall or Dickson to Milera?

  • Is Hampton to Cameron a silly trade? Wanna grab the money but worried about Hampton being named n bench.

  • Should I keep Duffield??????????????????????????????????????

  • Haven’t seen any mention of Guthrie……..maybe I’m the only bunny?

    Guthrie-Clark
    Dickson-Kennedy

    or

    don’t trade at all.

    Made 2160 last week so don’t have to pull the trigger?

    What do you reckon?

  • My thoughts:

    Coniglio to Greene. Fair enough trade, although risky. I mean, we are only two rounds into the season. Coniglio has yet to fire, but is bound to soon. Picked number 2 in the draft for a reason. I for one, will be holding on to Coniglio now, but hey, each to their own.

    Dickson to Milera. Not sold on this one just yet. That saints have had some easy games, so it’s tough to say if his form will continue. For a cash grab, I’d go with Jeremy Cameron. His job security + cash increase looks the go. Considering myself, although keen to hold onto my trades at this stage. See what happens.

    • i agree,i also have coniglio not greene …would like both but prefer to keep trades at this stage and wait for conglio to fire,

    • Damned if you do damned if you dont with Coniglio to Greene. I have only a few thousand in the bank without the trade so is justified for me. No brainer I think.

      • Did that trade and made $40K. Used that extra 40K to trade Shaw > Goddard.

        Next week: Dickson > Treloar
        Shiel > JMac.

        • Big V, wait 1 more week for those next trades. If you ever figure out why you can thank me then.

  • Broughton and Shaw will be somewhat unique by 7.30 Friday. Some wasted trades out there.

  • So most of the guys listed under sell sell sell you have advised to hold onto? Maybe list some players you should actually sell?

  • Jack Grimes (out), Shannon Hurn (in).. Risky or worth it?
    I don’t see Grimes posting big scores even though named on the ball and being able to drop back to defence, where the ball will be a lot of the time playing for Melbourne. Whereas, Hurn, playing for West Coast will be able to be a link up player from half back and looks to be in reasonable form for his price? Thoughts please and thanks.

  • Should Trade dickson for walker??? seems to be going very well,
    cash available is 815k

    already got greene, magner, smith(fwd), kennedy (mid), mcdonald, shiel

    or should i get
    Smith or c. beams by moving kennedy to fwd

    • or trade shaw out as he will drop (i was thinking to give him another change to get 80)

  • does anybody know when the updated Sunday Teams are out?