Carlton Blues: AFL Dream Team Picks

This series of ‘club preview’ posts are written by DT TALK regular contributors choosing their 5 players they have on their watchlist from the respective club. These aren’t who we think will be the top 5 highest scoring players… and are not necessarily in order. They are just our opinions of the 5 players who we have on our watchlist heading into the 2012 season.

McRath’s top five Blues

1. Marc Murphy (MID), $551,300.

The most expensive Blue of the lot (and rightly so), Murph will be looking to build on his outstanding 2011 season where he broke out into the elite midfielder status. It seems he is preparing to take over the # 1 midfielder tag at Carlton, but don’t let this deter you – he is a class act. Durable and capable of some high scores, expect Marc to improve again this year to push his average above 115.

2. Bryce Gibbs (MID), $529,000.

My boy Bryce had his best  year yet in 2011, despite being subjected to a number of negative roles by Brett Ratten. Tipped for a permanent midfield role this year – I’m backing Gibbsy to go one better in 2012 and become a ‘super premium’. Priced at a reasonable 107 average, he’s cheaper than many other young guns like Redden, Rockliff, Selwood and his buddy Murphy. He may not fit into some coaches’ structures however I can’t find any negatives worth noting against the young superstar.

3. Heath Scotland (DEF/MID), $493,500.

One of the most reliable and consistent defenders of the past 5 years, Scotto is the rock in an improving Blues team. Whilst he does not come cheap, he is one of a dying breed of gun DPP defenders in the 90+ range. He appears to be getting better with age as opposed to most 30+ y.o. players who’s output seemingly dies off after they hit that mark. On consistency and his outstanding preseason form alone, he deserves to at least be considered.

4. Mitch Robinson (MID/FWD), $456,200.

Refer to my Versus Article I wrote in January about this guy. As crazy as he is, he knows how to find the ball and has a hunger for footy that few can match. With his DPP link to the forward line, he is a great option next to Buddy and Cloke in your front 6. Whilst not enjoying the best preseason, he should ripe by R1 and ready to churn out points all over the field. He may not be pretty but he will play his heart out and leave nothing in the tank.

5. Andrew Carazzo (DEF/MID), $454,800.

Similar to Gibbs, Carrotts’ DT scoring has been held back by tagging and run-with roles over the past few years. An efficient user of the ball, Carazzo often flies under the radar and can easily come out and top score in a crunch game. Punching out an average of 92 from 16 games last season, expect him to increase his output from last year in what should be a high performing Carlton side in 2012.

Keep An Eye On

Despite a sub par preseason, former Norwood mature ager Sam Rowe will be under the watchful eye of many coaches in the final weeks of the preseason given his low starting price and DPP status. Also, it wouldn’t be fair to write a Blues article without mentioning the legendary Chris Judd – whilst having a slow start to the year courtesy off injury; he will be keen to help his young brigade push for top 4 honours yet again in 2012. Finally, having been mentioned several times in preseason circles, former # 1 draft pick Matthew Kruezer will be a popular mid price ruck option, with many predicting a breakout season.
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56 Comments

  • Scotland on the radar………….just uncertain if we have seen enough of him preseason.

    Rowe long gone…….

    • ps. Thanks McRath for the article.

      Murphy/Gibbs potn midseason upgrade targets. Carlton’s draw is pretty good with a even pre and post bye draw……….have a couple of easy games in the finals………..expect Carlton to be a top 4 team this year but hopefully not so good that they rest players in the Gold Coast game.

  • Would love to squeeze in Murphy and my yet fit in Scotland too. Can’t have them all though ;)

    Bower is still on the watch list also, but not much else at Carlton interests me

  • Nice write-up mate.

    Can’t help but agree about Gibbs becoming a super-premo this year. He’d be amongst the first picked for most of us if he was still DPP but as a pure mid, looks like nobody wants to touch him. Averaged over 121 in the last eight H&A games last year… hard to ignore?

    • Can’t fit him sauce, even though in december he was one of my first picked. I’ll keep an eye out round bye time though.

      • Oh, I’m still struggling with him, too. He’s in that M3 spot vying against the likes of Redden, Jelwood, Watson, etc… I suspect that most of us have the same problem and I wonder if having the balls to pick him instead of one of the more popular choices might just pay off.

        Gibbs as unique… Who would’ve thought?

        • LOL. be interesting to know the % of teams that have him at the moment. i can safely say he doesn’t fit my structure, in saying that i reckon he’ll average 115 this year and make me a bit sad..

    • yeah, I reckon hell be there a bouts all year as an upgrade option but no need to include from round 1

  • Good article McRath. However, there appears to be a conflict of choices between you and Tbetta. Tbetta says forget Robinson. I’m confused.

    • That’s the beauty of opinion pieces!

      I am very worried about Robbo. Despite the club coming out to say that his scans were all clear regarding back injury.. these are things that I personally stay away from! Too much can go wrong. Hello hamstrings, etc.

    • Warnie’s onto it Pettiger… maybe its the Blueboy in me but I can defs see Robbo smashing out a 100 avg. Due to his recent setback he may start a little slow but is still in their Best 22 easily and should play half forward/midfield all year… Personally I’m not starting him (may go Dusty or Sidey instead) but would love to fit him into our team after the bye…

      • Cheers boys.

        Possibly an upgrade target. I originally had him but he has now morphed into Dangerfield.

    • He’s changed to Goodes for me

      Swans have a great draw in the first half of the year.

  • Cheers McGrath an insightful analysis of Carlton’s best of the best. I have Murph and Scotland and

    would love to pick a couple more. Carlton seem to have a increasing number of quality players every

    year making the decision to choose between them harder. If it wasn’t for bye rounds and the reduction of bench positions i would probably consider 5-6 top quality Blueboys. Its a wonder how with all this talent that Carlton continues to every year grow stronger with qualty players such as Gibbs, Judd, Robo, Scotland, Yarran, Murphy, Carazzo, Walker ect… they still havn’t quite got to that GF trophy yet.

    Oh well! Maybe soon.

    One last thing looking at Sam reid for mid priced forward with potential to score and make money.
    Any ideas who else may be handy for similar price and purpose?

    Cheers S-bndto

    • Cheers for the feedback Sherin. I wrote about Sam Reid in my ‘Miracle Men’ article back in February – I think he’ll be a power forward for a long time. He’s more of a risk than say Porps at his price but assuming his preseason form translates into the regular season he should put up some decent scores and make you a bit of money.

      The thing with mid pricers is tho – they won’t make you as much $$ as a good rookie + they probs wont be in your best 7 forwards (or whichever position) by R23. So you have to weigh up whether their scores in the meantime (until upgrade) make them worth it.

      If you think he’ll become a keeper and avg 80-85+ then go for it! He’d be very unique thats for sure.

  • Great write up McRath. Currently have Scotland locked over Goddard (upgrade target) and really want to squeeze Gibbs in. We all know he has a high ceiling and if he can avoid tagging then could easily average 115+.
    McRath what’s your opinion on Carrots role this year? Will he be let loose a bit more now that your boys have more defenders back from injury?

  • None in my side. Better variety out there

  • Great article again man! Have murphy and Gibbs locked. I expect both to have their best seasons yet. Now that gibbs will have plenty more midfield time I expect him to utterly explode this year! He loves wandering forward on occasion too and sure knows where the goals are.
    Anyone who writes off the blues this year does so at their own peril. Ratts takes the nab cup about as seriously as most of us take a Gillard speech. Have you seen the squad he sent out against a nearly full strength brisbane!! Taking a punt but feel my seemingly rare combo will give me plenty to smile about come season proper.

    • maybe ratts should take finals a bit more seriously, could be the problem…

  • Rowe Gawnski…I am tossing between Rocky and Murphy as I am concerned about Rocky’s bye with Boyd in round 11.

  • Yeah, while i think you guys are the best, articles like this leave me a bit a bit cold…very predictable. Sorry.

    • Its predictable koz they’re the best 5 players in the team from each club and anyone else in the team not named we can discuss in the comments. Just a heads up Swan and Pendles are up next

      • I agree totally but with this disclaimer the disclaimer at the start of “These aren’t who we think will be the top 5 highest scoring players… and are not necessarily in order. They are just our opinions of the 5 players who we have on our watchlist heading into the 2012 season.” i might have expected more.

  • What does everyone think of Matthew Kreuzer?

    What kind of year do you think he will have?

    I’ve got him at second ruck at the moment (behind Cox)

    • Sorry let me rephrase that.

      Will this be his breakout year and can his knees hold up?

      • Its a matter of opinion Shazz… my gripe is that he’s a bit of an everywhere man. Pinch hits in the ruck and is second to Warnock, still finding his feet up forward. I’d give him a full season up forward before he really ‘breaks out’. I’d just love to see him play 20+ games – as a blues fan thats all I can hope for.

        • Truth McRath.

          I can only hope that as we push for a top 4 this year that he will improve with the squad. He’s having a good pre-season but then again everyone is ‘tearing up the track’.

          I worry about his knees though! He can definitely pinch hit and snag a goal or 2, sometimes plays the link man through the middle too which I believe is where he can rack up the points.

          Hill End,

          I reckon hes probably behind Warnock, my rucks are currently Cox, Kreuzer, Giles & Redden.
          I may be able to restruct to accomodate 2 guns & 2 rooks.

    • Price wise very attractive for the clubs No.1 ruckman, hey if you pick him and he scores 90+ then your on a winner with $150k in the bank.

      I would want to see how he starts before commiting

      You don’t comprimise with ruckman in DT as trades are more valuable elsewhere – Cox / Berger / Mcevoy / Jacobs / Mummy should give you a full season – Giles / Derickx / Stephenson as 3rd / 4th shouldn’t need to trade

  • Carlton’s DT strength will again come out of their midfield – outside Gibbs not much else on offer in other positions this is where I would utilise the Hawks / Cats who have greater prensence in the Fwd / Def to get an even spread.

    Murphs a must

    • my only worry is the tag…which he will get

      • teams tried this last year and sure he had the occassional quiet qaurter however he still racks up 100+ – Juddd will always attract the best taggers

        Same scenario when the Eagles had Kerr / Cousins / Judd – Kerr was gold now he cant get over 70

  • Hey guys what do you think of my team…

    Backs: Goddard, Lids, Birchall…nah just kidding

    I had Gibbs in my team for the longest time but I eventually have gone for Watson. I think Jobe represents better value givn his price. I am still looking at ways of trying to fit Gibbs in though.

    • Hahahaha MY TEAM!

      I too think Jobe is set for a good year with good value.

      Gibbs is a star in the making though.

  • Currently got Carrazzo, he’s been doing good this pre season even belting missy Higgins in the head for all of us dt’ers. How can you say no to that…haha

  • Murphy in and out all pre-season. Rd 13 bye clashes with GAJ who is definitely locked and Lenny Hayes who represents such great value and seems to be in form. No other Blues on my radar.

  • G’day all, I’m wondering about people’s thoughts are on Lucas. Worth it as a M5/6 to start, or is he too much of a gamble this year?

    • im in the same boat as you mate i even have enough to maybe throw him on the bench

  • Not a single Blue-boy in my team, PURELY, coz of the damn byes!

    D:Goddard, Birchall, Ellis
    M:Ablett, Swan, Pendles, Sloane
    R:Cox, McEvoy
    F:Not dt relevant.

    Some definite upgrade targets…

    • No reason you can’t put a blues player in with those mids – You have 1 round 11 2 round 12 only one round 13 so you can have another round 13

  • What about Kane Lucas….will he keep a midfield spot come round 1?

  • 2 in the Rainmen at the moment, both defenders.. Yep Carrots and Scotland.

    Some may say risky, others may say stupid, Genghis would just say Huzzah.

    May be the navy blue running thru my veins but I think that they are both great value, even though Heath is a high price, he will continue to play the role he did last year.

    Carrots ave 92 last year as mostly a tagger. I believe he I’ll be used less as a run with player this year and Ellard and Curnow will play that role, giving more time to find his own ball, which he can do very well.

  • I am afraid of Scotland. He is getting older and the backline is becoming better and better for the Blues and he is such a high price! Hopefully he stays number one backman and Carrots keeps going with the run with roles.

  • Got Murphy in this year, up grade later with Scotland. By the way had warnock last year and talk about a shocking decision. HE IS SHIT!!!

    No good rookies at Carlton this year.

  • Only got Carrazzo atm, with Gibbs, Murph, and Scotland on the radar. I had Robbo locked until I heard about his injury..
    Quick question: If im not starting with Goddard, is Scotland a must?

  • Hey guys,

    First off, great DT resource!

    I am new to this. Seems like there is more to it than just picking your fav players. I see terms like “M2” and “M3” being thrown around.

    If someone would be able to explain this to me, as well as how you should generally structure your initial team, I would really appreciate it!!

    If you wish to offer some advice, email me on ‘cougz66@hotmail.com’.

    If there is a separate section for Novice DT banter, then let me know!