Deck of Dream Team 2012: Allen Christensen

Name: Allen Christensen
Club: Geelong
Position: Midfielder/Forward
Assistant Coach 2012 Price: $338,800
Bye Rounds: R12
2011 Average: 68.5
2011 Games Played: 17
Predicted Average: 88

Why should I pick him?

The preseason DTT and Twitter chatter around Allen Christensen has been very positive and he looks like the type who could emulate the second-year heroics of Nathan Fyfe. After a quiet start to his rookie year, Christensen really got in the groove in the last 10 games of the 2011 home/away season, posting four tons and averaging 85.2. For interests sake, let’s compare Christensen’s and Fyfe’s numbers in the last 10 games of their respective rookie seasons.

AC 109 56 73 120 113 76* 113 67 30* 95 85.2
NF 78 53 72 33 66 51 100 60 72 62 64.7

*Started as substitute.

If you’re going by statistics alone, Christensen is already ahead of Fyfe in setting himself up in the fantasy breakout stakes, boasting a stronger finish to the last-10-games of his rookie year with an average of 85 versus Fyfe’s 64. He also managed the following averages-per-game during that streak: 18.2 touches, 3.8 marks, 1.6 goals, 5.1 tackles. That’s pretty impressive bearing in mind that he started two of those ten games in the green vest! However, let’s look beyond the numbers as stats like these are never a sure-fire indicator of a breakout Dream Team candidate.

There’s no doubt that the kid can play. Actually, he’s not so much a kid as he’s turning 22 in 2012, which gives you more reason to pick him. He has matured both physically and mentally over the course of 2011, stepping up very naturally when given a good run in the latter part of the season. Going into his second year with that barnstorming finish under his belt, he’ll be even sharper and stronger.

He adds plenty of dash and tenacity to the class of the veteran Cats, injecting a fair bit of spark into their game. He has a good nose for the ball, able to sniff if out around stoppages and then finding the space to use it. It didn’t take the livewire very long to establish himself as a fan favourite in 2011.

Chris Scott has been pretty positive with his young guns and the Stokes look-a-like should feature prominently in Geelong’s best 21. And one last thing… He will be a MID/FWD, giving you some dual-position flexibility if you select him as a starter in your 2012 squad.

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

The dreaded second-season blues… Yes, this phenomenon does strike and Christensen will be under a fair bit of pressure to push on after his 2011 performances, but the support structure and progressive environment around him at Geelong puts him in good stead to continue to improve in 2012. Off that solid 2011 average, he is also awkwardly priced at $338k, with no guarantee that he will morph into a DT gun next season.

You could also question his durability and his ability to maintain DT-scoring consistency. Although the former point should not be an issue with his ongoing physical development under Geelong’s renowned conditioning program, the latter point will be dependant on his role. Hopefully Scotty gives Christensen more responsibility in an already talent-laden midfield.

Deck of DT Rating:

JACK –  It’s a big call for a guy heading into just his second season, but Christensen has shown a wealth of potential in his rookie year and his ability to churn out big scores makes him an attractive proposition. With the Cats bringing on their young players to maintain their competitiveness, expect young Allen to get his fair share of opportunities in 2012 and up his DT output in the process. Whether he is capable of a Fyfe-like breakout second year to justify his significant price tag is the big question, but he has shown that he has both the talent and the mettle.

On the tweetvine: @TeeTeeDT

41 Comments

  • Not too sure with him TeeTee. I’ll put him on the watchlist and see how he goes preseason.

  • Will be watching him closely

  • Too high risk for me.
    Never like the idea of picking a second year player at that price on the whiff that he might become a premium.
    Still, plenty of reason to pick him if you have the balls.

  • if you already have 2 premiums with the rd 13 byes ie chapman, stevie j, pavlich, goodes, ROK, slyvia you’ll have to cop a doughnut or upgrade him. Not worth the trade or the doughnut IMO.

  • He turns 21 this year and is about to commence his third season at the club (spent the entire 2010 season developing his skills/tank in the VFL).

  • Yes please. Priced at 68 but averaged 85 if you remove his 6 sub games – so 88 average isnt a stretch at all. Played all 3 finals, absolutely in their best 22. Was impressive when i saw him last year, can definitely find the ball.

  • Great write up – as per usual!

    Just quietly this pre season is killing me. I may have peaked too early and have had to ban myself from my team picker. – bring on the main game or atleast the NAB cup!

    Oh and on AC he is worth the risk for me. What have you got to lose, nothing a trade wouldn’t fix!

  • really solid write up Tee Tee, will have to watch in preseason i guess

  • That 76 he scored was awesome. If I remember right he didn’t come on until after half time.

    That said, I’m still a little worried he’ll continue being used as a sub because of his size. If he palys full matches I don’t see any reason he couldn’t push his average to around 90, and would provide great value for your starting team.

  • Good write up mate! Probably my favourite this year :)
    He was a 50/50 chance to make my side before I read this and now he is just about a lock! He is worth the risk no doubt. I would rather him then Brown and my man Didak who are around the same price.

  • Another good write up, thanks TT.

    Whilst it’s true he has talent and the 2011 stats are promising, the M/F DPP designation is the key to his popularity in 2012. Let’s face it – even an middle-of-the-pack midfielder is of interest if they can be selected out of their ‘true’ position. But you would be going way out on a limb to give up a valuable midfield spot for this bloke.

    The only question over his selection for me – is he better value than the other mid-priced M/F options out there?

    • DPP or not, this guy is value for money. His average is massively undervalued, because of how many vested games he played. You cannot ignore his finish to the season imo. I dont really think his dpp is key to his selection at all. There are plenty of dpp mid/fwrds to choose from this year. Rookies and premiums.
      For me his value is in a combined selection with J Brown allowing for your foward line to go one more possible premium deeper then if you did not have them both. Christensen could be a valuable 7th forward keeper this year. Considering i still had Krak Smith and Mzungu in my forward line in last years finals, Christensen will be a keeper.

  • its actually his third year, he didnt play a game in his first…

  • Locked on day dot. Byes don’t worry me that much and have got a plan mostly in place if the gods smile on me :)

  • Awesome write up. He is in a battle for my 5th Fwd spot with Big JB. Very similar price and if The Lions step up another notch and JB remains in top pre-season shape and performs well in NAB then he probably has the edge over Christensen. Anybody agree or disagree?

    • I’m thinking along the same lines Brap, although Brown has always had a pretty high standard deviation (140 one week, 40 the next), so maybe Christensen would be a better selection from that perspective. At their respective prices that may not even matter.

      • Very true, and if he can’t manage to bomb out those 120’s-140’s every few weeks (due to age and getting rested) his ave is more like 65-75. Scary…. his whole career has been a DT yoyo

  • i think the big dif between the 2 was
    fyfe went away on the off season and put on about 8 kilo’s and came back bigger and stronger
    and also become the kick to guy down the line witch boosted his score
    can AC kick an extra 1 to 2 goals a game or get the extra 6 kicks

  • Locked, gonna get more time on ground this year after his efforts last year. Gonna be a ripper :)

  • Correct-o-mundo rastaman and PRo_MoE1144. Local Geelong boy AC’s been in the Catters/Falcons system and built up to his 2011 AFL rookie year very nicely indeed.

    Good points too about the depth of MID/FWD MPPs available this year. The forward line can be loaded up with midfield-types in 2012. Lots of options – can’t wait to watch a few of them in the NAB Cup to get a better idea of how they’re shaping up for this season.

  • do you guys think he could still be the odd sub in some games because of the way he plays? or has he established himself as a regular best 21 player? Would be the only one reason to stop me picking him but I guess no-one really knows this far out

  • Yeh i ‘think’ i’ll be taking risk on this guy. Not with confidence but at this stage i’ll be having him JB and Ballyntine as mid pricers and hopefully that will allow me to have extra coin for mid and forward premos.

    I think they all have good scoring ability (if they stay fit) and worth the risk at the start of the season and hopefully make some money there for upgrades. I think Brown is definatley worth the risk with something like 6 of the first ten games at the Gabba!?

  • Nice write up TeeTee, Chrisso is going head to head with Jono Brown for that 5th forward spot.

  • on a side note for anyone considering Barlow and Sandi: http://www.afl.com.au/news/newsarticle/tabid/208/newsid/127709/default.aspx

    Locked for Barlow and 80% for Sandi

  • nice write up TT (Trevor Torrance? anyone remember him?)

    Christiansen has been a lock for me since day dot. DPP is very useful actually, 4/6 of my fwds are DPP!!

    • Haha, Trevor Torrance….up there with Eric “Watto” Watterson.

      At this stage Chrisso is locked in my starting line up. I am set to start the season with more mid-pricers than previous years….feels weird.

    • TT was awesome back in the day! hahaha nothing wrong with Watto either! go the Cats!

  • locked in team mazmia

  • locked for me too…

    everytime i have a doubt i remind myself of that high pressure mark he took on the wing in the gf.. kids going to be a star and i want to be on board.

  • Could be better than Fyfe was this year. Worth the risk too – aiming for him to be a keeper for sho.

  • absolute lock for me. Always was

    good write up Tee Tee

  • TT, you have put forward a really good argument, especially when you looked at his average when his vest games are taken out.

    I’m going to have someone of this price in my Fwd line, could be this bastard.

    cheers

  • This could be great news for Christo and Smedts with Varcoe ruled out for 10 weeks :)

    http://www.afl.com.au/news/newsarticle/tabid/208/newsid/128168/default.aspx