Deck of Dream Team 2012: Luke Hodge

Name: Luke Hodge
Club: Hawthorn
Assistant Coach 2012 Price: $467,300
Position: Midfield
Bye Round: 13
2011 Average: 94
2011 Games Played: 19
Predicted Average: 103

Why should I pick him? Hodgey has always been a tough nut of the Hawks lineup and last year was no exception.  He took over the captaincy of the Hawks team and also had varying roles.  He only missed 3 games for the year, with the last of those being that restful game that the Hawks had on the Gold Coast.  Nearly all of his averages were in line with the previous year where he averaged 103pts and only missed the one game.  The only area that he dropped off in was his tackles, where he dipped by 2 tackles a game which is a massive 8pts and that would have put him back over the 100 mark.  He still managed to get 24 touches a game at about 1.5 kicks to each handball.

One of the things that that his slight scoring drop off has meant for him is that he comes at a discount for us this year.  He is priced at around the same level as ROK, Cotchin, Pav, Mundy and Goddard.  His discount and lower scoring last year was partly due to him being restricted with a groin injury.    Even with that injury he managed to raise the bat on 9 occasions and got to the nervous 90’s once and had 4 scores in the 80’s.

Since 2007 he has only averaged under 94 once and that was in 2009 where he dipped to 83 but he bounced back the following year to have 103. Given the high prices and the squeeze on your salary cap this year, he provides tremendous value.

His bye is a reasonably friendly one when you only look at the midfield with the only real downsides being that he shares it with the likes of GAJ and the two key Carlton mids, Mr 3 votes Juddy and Murph.  So the saving grace is that you do avoid the issues of Collingwood and Geelong here.

Why shouldn’t I pick him?  That afforementioned injury is the one that worries me.  If he has a reoccurence of that groin injury (these things can linger) in the NAB Cup or preseasion then I would steer clear, it could mean he has reduced minutes which will hurt his scoring.  The other concern is the emergence of guys like Shiels and Suckling and what they will do to Hodgey’s role.  Those guys seemed to do some of his “quarterback” type role last year which could drain him of points.  So once again check the NAB Cup to see if he has a role change.

That bye with GAJ and either of the Carlton boys will be tough to swallow for some.  You just can’t afford to have too many guys out of your midfield at once.  You will be able to move Goddard and Lids to the backs with Dusty going up forward during that week.  But if you have Buddy as well you could potentially have 6 premiums out in one week which would make it almost impossible to get the win that week.

Deck of DT Rating: King.  Whilst there are some question marks over him with that drop in scoring last year, you will need to really look at how he fits into your overall team plans, in particular for the bye week.  I think that he will recapture that 2009 form and regain those two tackles a game to lift that average again.  It might just be that his value at a lower price for a guy that should be able to average over 100 might just be enough to sway you his way.  For me, I think he is a real chance to be in my team, if for nothing else than that value.

Hodgey was once a DT god when he had Def eligibility, but I think he can regain this in 2012 as a Mid only player.

Who do you want to see in the deck next? Hit me up on twitter @pkd73.

27 Comments

  • 1st…love the Hodge but not if he aint dual position.

  • Grabbed him last year when he bottomed out…. Total superstar, but not looking likely at the moment.

  • It was an achilles last year that held him back, hurt it in the preseason and carried it all year, was usually limping by the end of most games. Picked him up when he bottomed out and was a good point of difference and finished the year solidly.

  • Looking at a midfield of Swan, Gablett, Rockliff and Barlow and I don’t think Hodgey has anything over these guys. It’s a pass from me.

  • Great write up. Tempting and if he was a defender too I’d get him. If I was going to get a Hawk mid I would go Mitchell.

  • Too many premium midfielders, the lingering injury and him not playing when the hawks have any easy team (GSW, GC).

    Those are my 3 reasons for not choosing him.

    I do love the way he plays the game and a gun for the hawks.

    • GWS**

      he is***

    • How do you know he won’t play when the Hawks have an easy team? He missed the last round last year, but then so did half of their team. If they played the GC earlier than that he would have played I would suspect.

      • It’s a fair assumption because the hawks seem to rest a lot of their older guns against easy teams.

        They might not, but i’m not prepared to take the risk for his price. Especially considering the other midfield options.

  • Have a look at some defenders boys, I’m struggling to fill my backline at the moment

  • Good write up, but i honestly do not see why hodge is in the deck.

  • Hi guys,
    I know you are all looking at the premo mids and having some of the high price guys, I guess what I was trying to do with this one was to have a guy that isn’t top price but can get you top points. So you can then spend the money elsewhere to get a better back or forward rather than a mid pricer there.
    Cheers for the feedback though.

    • yeah, i suppose one of the problems with hodge is you can have barlow or hayes for a cheaper price.

      Hodge could be a good option if you are in need of a rd 13 bye midfielder

  • A bit like Gibbsy. As a backman lock and load, as a midfielder theres far better options.

  • A lot of people have had the irrits over Christmas and New Year that Gibbs and Hodge aren’t dpps this year. Personally, I think we are justified in expressing our dismay. From here, this will go on and become an old-fashioned, rambling, shambolic rant (and potentially one without a point) so if you’re not up for it, do yourself a favour and go on to the next post.

    Firstly, Gibbs should (get the idea) be a dpp. Why? Because he goes head to head with blokes in the midfield and also does shut down, run with and run off roles as well as playing in front of the defense as a defensive midfielder. I’ll now shorten that to this: Gibbs is a utility.

    Hodge. Clearance ace in the midfield. Loose man in defence. Shut down roles. And this year, started and stayed in the forward line. Hard to argue that he’s not a utility.

    Goddard. What does he do? I’ll hark back to a superb post that was posted in the AFL teams section maybe last year or a couple of years ago. It went something like this:

    Backs: Dawson, Dempster, Fisher, Gilbert, Gram, Gwilt, Baker, Geary, Goddard, Hayes, Jones, Montagna, Peake, Ray, Dal Santo, Schneider
    Half-backs:
    Midfielders:
    Half forwards:
    Forwards: Milne, Reiwoldt

    This year Goddard is a dpp. Fair enough too. He goes head to head in the midfield, and plays run off roles in defence. But does he really play as a defender, in the sense of playing shut down roles like the other two? It seems to me like he played more as a defensive midfielder whose position in Ross Lyon’s defensive zone was within the opposition fifty (this as opposed to having a defensive “role” in the time-honoured tradition of marking a forward). I predict that with a new coach, with a new gameplan, Goddard will be seen as a defensive midfielder and not as a defender and will lose his dpp status next year accordingly. Last drinks!

    Joel Corey did more traditional defensive jobs than Goddard – why isn’t he a dpp?

    Carazzo tags and so does Kieren Jack – why isn’t Jack a dpp?

    Why is Scotland even considered a defender?

    There are heaps and heaps of guys who either play forward and rotate through the mids or play in the midfield and have a little “rest” up forward and most of them have dpp status. Oh, apart from Gary Ablett, who despite playing half the year in 2010 up forward as penance, was not awarded dpp status in 2011.

    I’ll grant that the lines are fine between defensive midfielder and defender, but it seems pretty easy for those making the rules to nominate forward dpps. Genuine utilities like Gibbs and Hodge, just to keep it real, should be dpps because they, unlike a bucketful of other dpps, are utilities.

    • Well worth the read, Hodge should at least be Fwd/Mid he spent large portions of last season playing forward.

    • Well said McScoundrel – If Scotland is DPP as well as God/Lids, then Gibbs and Hodge should defs be. With the amount of DPP links given to the forward line for 2012 you would think VS would return the favour to the backs. They got the raw end of that stick…

      Having said that though – if there were too many DPP it would be a lot less competitive as our entire back and forward lines would just be DPP midfielders ala Deledio and Scotland.

      • I think it just makes it different. People are deciding between Robinson and Zaharakis, Sidebottom and Christensen and in so doing, can’t afford Steve Johnson or are deciding between SJ and Franklin. In DT, you’ve always got to rob Peter to pay Paul. If the “right” dpp options were available, you simply couldn’t afford Gibbs, Goddard, Deledio, Hodge and if you did, you would have to put the line through mid-pricers and have a severe Guns ‘n’ Rooks team. As it is, people are deciding between players like Birchall, Broughton and Heppell. Regardless of who the options are, most of us end up looking at the same players. With more viable dpp options in defense, I think teams would differentiate a bit more and I think most people want that. Did I just contradict myself a couple of times there?

    • Mate,

      I loved that. You killed it. Especially that comment about St Kilda.

      One thing I remember from last year was when I asked why GAJ wasn’t F/M, Warney said that he had talked to Champion Data and they said he wouldn’t play forward in 2011, which compared to 2010, he didn’t. Now, is inside information affecting DPP choices? They made the right decision but they can’t know the word on all players so if they use inside information then the playing field is blurred. It’s either it’s based on the previous year or it’s bullshit.

      With the press and your St Kilda comment in mind, one can only assume a loosing team might have forwards that are classed as mids because they spend all their time chasing tail in the backline. With only thier star forward and a crummer as forwards hahahahahahahah

      As long as they stay consistent with their choices I will be a slave to dream team!

      DT madness! GJB

      • Opps, was meant to be posted a little higher. Blame it on the Terminus Hotel.

        • I mean the Retreat Hotel hahahahaha

          The owner moved from one to the other, so I have a legitimate reason for making my mistake. It’s called drinking.

  • Spot on Mc.Scoundrel,more options in the dual position roles would be great….

    • I just have to give you some respect Mr Wonderful. I am in awe of your 80’s style. It’s good to see you still keep in shape.

  • Love ya work Dunny, Hodge is a f*&^ing gread choice!

    Why? Because if he has a brilliant 2012, it will make me believe in life more. Hodge personifies what we want our mates to be like, even if we don’t know the bastard.

    Most nights I wake up from a dream. In the dream I’m out in Sydney on the gas and suddenly some losers want to start trouble, I look to my left to see Hodge say to them, ‘You best be moving on boys.’

    And then they walk on because they can sense Hodge will knock them all out.

    Then we have an epic night out where I bump into an old friend who owns a new bar and we get the VIP treatment.

    Then we pull two sisters that are so hot, even my one is good.

    My dream is great. The nightmare with Kevin Sheedy though, that is horrible.

    Cheers