tbetta’s Bullets: Round 18

 

  • Boom

You don’t need to hear me say it to know that Round 18 was a scoring explosion – just checking out the weekly top-score of 2582(!) should be a good indicator. But really, what did we expect? Our teams and their members are getting increasingly stronger, as are the actual AFL clubs and their players, having solidified their structure 18 rounds in, meaning the players are performing their roles consistently in the lead-up to finals. A par score this week was around 2300, a massive collective effort.

It’s bizarre that the forums and general Dream Team traffic has been much lower lately, but it’s just that time of the year isn’t it? With most teams complete and trading slowing to a trickle, not to mention the absence of those whose seasons are shot, the conversation has lessened. Good news for us that are still hanging around! I just saw a stat that said that Heath Shaw is still in 10% of the top 1000 teams – meaning trades up there are few, giving us a huge opportunity to improve our rankings.

  • Eagles have landed

I wouldn’t be much of a West-Australian, or Eagles supporter, if I didn’t mention the result of the hectic finish to the Western Derby! For those who missed it, the Eagles held on to defeat the Dockers by 1 point, but not after Fremantle came from 22 points back with 8 minutes to go, to almost win it with a 50m Ballantyne shot after the siren. Thankfully, it sailed directly into the post, culminating in one of the best finishes to a round we’ve had this year.

While some popular Fremantle stars finished strongly – Fyfe had 75 second half points, while Broughton (96) and Mzungu (83) were solid in a tight struggle, it was a couple of the Eagles who are finishing the year strongly that caught my attention.

I’m talking, of course, about Beau Waters and Mark LeCras. Two tasty, unique, options to finish off your back-line or forward-line, wherever you need help most. Waters has been fantastic since his return from another elbow injury, with 85 last week and 98 in Round 18. He’s now bottomed-out at $336,600 with a BE of 81, so this week or next week will be perfect to bring him in. LeCras is similarly priced at $329,100 with an enticing BE of 39. His 118 at the weekend is a by-product of Lynch’s return to the forward line and LeCras blossoming through the midfield.

  • GnR

Do you ever wonder if sometimes there is another way to do things? There’s the expected, known and popular path, but do we ever stop and consider ‘is this really the way to go?’ Like, do we really have to use shampoo before we use conditioner? Do we really have to use shampoo at all?! Or, what would happen if you buttered your bread before you toasted it? Very day-to-day things, but then again, Dream Team is very day-to-day for us too.

18 weeks into the most tactical season of DT we’ve ever had, I’m questioning something a little larger than hair-care or breakfast – team structure. We all accept that Guns n Rookies is the best, or at least safest and most proven, structure for a successful team. The idea is obviously to start with those rookies, then trade up until you drop the ‘nR’, and it’s just a team of Guns.

But with the backline trouble we’ve had this year, coupled with the success of some rookie-priced options, should we just be keeping it GnR back there? Think about it. Stanley is averaging 96 in his last 4, from a starting price of $106,400. Heppell is going at 88 a game in his last 5 from $132,500. Stefan Martin has been a huge success story, filling in for Jamar then exceeding him, averaging 104 in his last 5 from $145,300. Surely we are better off keeping these guys as our 5th, 6th or 7th defenders than using (wasting?) a trade to get a big name, like Birchall, or Fisher, or Enright?

Just something to think about…

Oh, and I googled it – do NOT butter your bread before toasting it – massive fire hazard apparently.

  • Makers


With Gary Ablett plying his trade on the Gold Coast, the undisputed premier player in the competition, Chris Judd, makes his first appearance in the Makers this year with 138 at the weekend. For this first time this year, he has strung together a month of 100+ scores, averaging 120 in that time – unheard of for Juddy. Some players’ value lies in the weight of possession, some rely on the effectiveness of their possession, and the Carlton leader is clearly the latter, which makes it no surprise he is better suited to SC than DT. His boost in scoring has come from an increased kick to handball ratio – he ranks 2nd in the league for handballs, but now he’s getting his boot to the ball as well. We’ve seen what he can do with 25 touches – if he keeps getting 30+, we’ll see the only current triple Brownlow Medallist running around in 2012.

It may not be as big or glamorous as Team Swan vs Team Ablett, but the O’Keefe vs Goodes rivalry is still going strong. This week Goodes owners have the bragging rights, outscoring ROK a massive 150 to 87. He had 34 disposals and 10 marks and polished his performance off with 2 goals – with those numbers, you’re always going to score well.

Nick Dal Santo has been in some rare form the past month or so, and that continued in St Kilda’s rout of the Crows on Friday night. He scored a game-high 140 which included 31 touches, 9 marks and 6 tackles. He’s now on a run of 5 straight tons, as St Kilda are on a 4-game winning streak. Coincidence? Probably not.

Nick Riewoldt has had on off season of sorts – first the off-field dickileaks drama, then some on-field ordinariness for the Saints, both individually and collectively. But things have started to turn for him lately, with his 3 previous games notching 85+, then this week putting up a huge 134 – which interestingly is identical to what he scored against the Dees in Round 9, the only other time he happened to topped the ton this year. Fun fact: He had 8 marks and 8 kicks to half time. That’s a lot of +6 combos in a half of footy!

While Danny Stanley was a massive breaker for me personally this week, he was invaluable to the masses in Round 18. He entered the game under a cloud consisting of injury and speculation, but this turned out to be either false or insignificant, as he top-scored for the Suns against his old club in Collingwood. This week’s 110 follows three-straight scores in the nineties, meaning he is now a legitimate 7th defender. Remind me why I traded him out this week?

  • Breakers

1. Fisher 66

2. Rawlings 37

3. Sylvia 69

4. Thomas 50

5. Enright 60

Sam Fisher was tracking for a solid game on Friday night, until he was subbed on 66 in the 3rd quarter. With the Saints demolishing the Crows, it was a bit of a luxury Sub, with the commentators noting that Fisher apparently sought some sort of medical treatment at half time. It was the only blight on what was a good start to the week in Friday Night DT.

Brady Rawlings is not having the greatest month, with his average well below 70 in that time. It can probably be attributed to a role change from rebounding halfback to more of a lock-down role, but it still would not impress the coaches who picked him earlier in the season. He only had 37 at the weekend from 10 touches, including a big fat 0 in the last quarter.

Great news for Sylvia owners – he is back on the price increase! Unfortunately it was only $500, due to only scoring 69 points, thanks mostly to a 2-point second quarter. Many coaches, including myself, thought he was back after last week’s 114 – but it still remains to be seen whether he can command games like he used to. Playing in the midfield would help, Dean Bailey.

As good as his form has been previous to this week, Dale Thomas corked his leg as well as a few DT totals this week. He was on course for a big score until he was inadvertently kneed in the thigh, requiring treatment. He was back out there not long after, but was eventually subbed at half time for only 50. A smoky Captain option gone wrong.

As Geelong inevitably decline from being a DT juggernaught to a serviceable fantasy unit, so too has the output of rebounding defender and backline mainstay Corey Enright. He has only averaged 73 over his last 3 while only topping the ton 3 times for the year – it’s time we reassess our expectations of a former fantasy gun.

  • Almost done

Round 19 is the last of the Multi-bye rounds, finally! In terms of covering players, it’s not really a huge issue like it has been in the past, with only Richmond, Sydney and Brisbane having the week off. For most people, that’s only O’Keefe, Goodes, Deledio, J. Roo, Adcock, Rockliff and Redden, with most teams not having more than 3 or 4 of the above.

Looking forward to this week’s games, we have a Friday night scoring delight, with Carlton taking on the Roos. The delight will be Judd, Murphy and Gibbs dominating North’s fledging Midfield, while Petrie will destroy Carton’s fledging backline!

Then we have Gold Coast taking on the Saints – pencil in big ones to DT sluts Montagna and Dal Santo, while Goddard and Riewoldt should be solid too.

The week will then close with perhaps the most underwhelming match-up of the year – the Showdown between the Crows and the Power. Not only will the game be all different kinds of ordinary, the ‘big’ fantasy names to watch will be Otten and Jacobs – no thanks!

Until next time.

 

Twitter-Town: @tbetta9

105 Comments

  • second

  • What about Thompson, surely he’s one to watch? He’s been rock solid all year in a disgraceful team, you gotta give him some credit tbetta!

    • +1

    • He’ll get his 110 in rain, hail or shine don’t worry – whether or not you watch him. Otten and Jacobs, well, they could do anything.

  • And the worst thing is that we will likely end up getting sh*t-mixed by Port…

  • I had the top 3 breakers and 2 makers.

    I just made a team for the multi-bye this week for a bit of fun

    DEF: Deledio, Goddard, Fisher, Waters, Ellis, Petrenko, Hooper
    MID: Pendles, Judd, Murphy, Ablett, Christensen, Murphy
    RUC: Cox, Warnock
    FWD: Fyfe, Chapman, Franklin, Harvey, Petrie, N.Voldt, Duncan

    It would have scored 2487 last week with Pendles captain and has an average score of 2081.

  • good news everyone.

    Craig finally gone…

    Now all I need is for knights to start getting a run through the middle.

    • Wow. Didn’t think he’d actually do it.

    • Craigy was a good coach, it was the players enthusiasm that let him down :(

      • Was a good coach a few years ago. As for this year he hasnt really helped the cause and neither have the players. I really just want knights to get a gig even though he is only my 8th fwd. Would be better using him as cover over richardson.

        • Yeah, I hope he gets chucked into the middle because the potential he has is great, remember his breakout year in 2009? He’s a ball magnet!

  • cheers Tbetta – good write up

    I am now quite happy to say that the D5, 6 and 7 spots in my team are currently occupied by Heppel, lower and Stanley – with ex gun Duffield and Simon Buckley to cover. my thinking was ,like you said, i couldnt see the point of wasting trades replacing these player with others who will potentially give me the same, inconsistent output.

    Also think that Maybe Kieran Jack could get an honourable mention in the makers list, his basement price of 253k was too tempting to not bring him in as my first emergency in the mids and he duly repayed my with a 119 ( did i care if Pendles was a late withdrawl? No!.) still a good bye at 280k after this week IMO.

  • I’m sick of the crap Duffield is coming up with so it is definitely Duffield to Waters this week and that leaves me with 4 trades left with only Heppell left to get rid of, not too much of a risk is it?

  • Pavlich is very lucky to not make the breakers his 2 points 20 minutes into the second quater and 67 for the game were a massive ballbreaker for many people looking at getting into the 2500s

    • was also looking at 2500 until enright and chapman decided to take a half off. Left all the work for bartel to rack up the cheapies. Pav and a few others didnt help though.

    • Very close. Honourable mention I reckon.

  • Andrew Lovett has been given not guilty. Any chance he will get picked up next year?

    I hope one club goes out and takes h\both him a Fevola, they both come top5 in B&F for their team and prove all the others wrong.

    GWS Targets = FEV and Lovett

  • LOL at roos picture, looks like he was just caught doing the deed with an underage girl

  • That roo pic is a classic. As if he just woke up and was suddenly snapped.
    He was pinging off his head 100%

    • I believe that is the nude pic of him with Dawson in it

      • …yep the one where Dawson is just about to perform fellatio on him. F*ck I hate St.Kilda!

  • What the… f..

    Reiwoldt given 3 weeks and will be reduced to a week if he pleads guilty.
    Craig Resigns & Mark Williams calls it a day.

  • Voldt offered a one match suspension for an early plea. I hope he contests and misses two. Who does he play next GC, lol.

  • Craig should go back to cycling. pretty sure that’s where he’s from.

  • Love how it’s nearly a straight swap from Lower to Fisher.

  • LOL @ N. Riewoldt pic!

    Good one tbetta!

    And nice work with Danny Stanleys mention. His month has been great guns.

  • CURNOW —> Matt Rosa (WCE)
    CURNOW —> Luke Shuey (WCE)
    CURNOW —> Ben Johnson (COLL)
    CURNOW —> Jason Gram (STK)
    CURNOW —> ????????? (???

  • how many trades does everyone have left?

  • FMDT

    Riewoldt to miss, hope that I have decent cover in my forward line.

  • i love this article its a great read every monday

    It really is amazing how little conversation there is now, I think there would be a few teams that have given up.

    That’s a great stat about the 100 of the top 1000 still having shaw I’m ranked 1800 and hoping to make the top 1000 I thought I might not be able to do it with only 4 trades but I might be able to if there in the same boat.

    I only had juddy and voldt from the makers, but I think that half of the players in most teams were “makers” this week

    Can someone please explain why juddy is higher than goodes in the makers, goodes scored higher!!!

    I only had the one breaker in Sylvia,

    This week I have only 2 premos out (delido and adcock) so was hoping to head up in the rankings again, but I also have golby :( Hibberd and suckling, so I could take up to 2 donuts
    What do you think the chances of Hibberd or suckling playing guys?

    Thanks

    • And I was going to google what would happen if you put toast in the toaster with butter on it, haha

    • Suckling should play, Tayte Pears is out injured so Hibberd might come in and replace him.

      • thanks mate i hope your right

        • Judge those that still have Heath Shaw in a weeks time. It has been obvious for last couple of weeks that you needed to wait till this week to see Sam Fisher price reach its low. Bottom 500 of 1000 have no real chance of winning car so safe option s to delay trade to this week or even next week (reduce risk that traded in player is injured).

    • Don’t have any mail on Suckling, but last week it was advertised as ‘cautionary’. Hibberd will definitely miss this week with Hamstring issues, Essendon tweeted during the week.
      Judd gets top position taking his form into account over the last month…. and a big picture of Goodes’ head was too much for me to take.

      • that sucks about hibberd, hope suckling can play one donut will be plenty.
        Juddy has been great in the last month, I really hope he can keep it up.
        Thanks tbetta

        And thanks nix, looks like I will be taking a donut

    • Hibberd is in best Essendon’s 22 as a small defender, he is out with hamstring injury. He will be back when fit.

      Injury to Pears (key tall defender) is not relevant.

    • Coz Juddy’s last month has been great while Goodes’ has been pretty inconsistent

  • great article as always. for those going for the overall position, how far off the pace do you think you would need to be to still be in the running for the FJ? The guy in 1st spot has opened up a bit of a break over the rest of the field at the moment.

    • 1st needs bad luck to loose to anyone more than a couple of hundred points behind I reckon, maybe 500 or so is the cut off.

      Im 600th odd and have 0% chance.

  • I love reading the Monday night trade stats! The highlights this week are the popular choices for a sneaky Monday trade:

    Adcock @ #4
    Deledio @ #7

    If any of the 90 odd people who have completed those trades happen to be on here……I’d love to hear your explanation!

    • There are a few thousand new teams every week.

      I think these are from people playing around or trying to jag the weekly prize. But they probably keep entering new teams and running them for several weeks until they’ve used all their trades.

      I think they just hot swap their premo’s if someone has a bye or is injured for one game. It’s been happening all year – guns getting traded out the week before their bye.

      • Me thinks you misunderstand.

        Those are the most popular TRADED IN

        Try explaining that!

        • Yep I did misunderstand.

          No idea why someone would trade them in now. But pretty sure it wouldn’t be anyone who posts on this site.

  • I have 24 premos now and 3 trades left but not quite sure what to do with them really. Ive been sitting on them for at least 5 weeks now.

    I could swap premo for premo when byes come, or wait for LTIs, or just hold them?

    • *22

    • If you’ve got finals bye players (like me) I’d save them.

      I need to sideways A. Swallow, then Gibbs (hopefully I’m still in the game), plus if I happen to make the GF I’ve got Stanton & Heppell.

      I’ll be holding my 5 till then.

      • I’m leaning towards trading Heppell out this week for either Suckling, Fisher or Beau Waters. This would mean an extra 10+ pts per game, and will keep these guys in my team for the rest of the year. I’d rather have one of those three in my team for the finals rather than Heppell, then if you make it to the final, use a trade on someone else rather than swapping Heppell out.

  • Thanx tbetta rawlings is gone for me this week and im really starting to regret upgrading stanley! Just outta interest CHRIS KNIGHTS had it 38 times playing in the mid field on the weekend and a goal. hmmmm new coach new role in the mids? seeing as there should be plenty of possies avaliable

  • Riewoldt you fool. FFS 5 prems missing now.

  • I was away all weekend with no internet so i had no idea how my team was going and then found out Stevie J was out with the ‘General’ so my confidence was low but to my amazement and happiness i managed an above average score for the round of 2435 and a jump in my overall ranking to 489 .
    I’m also happy to proven right about how I said all along Danny Stanley would be a permament at GC due to his bigger body and time in the system before at Collingwood and i kept David Swallow as cover as my 7th Mid , hats off to the Metricon Master ;)

    Team Name : G-Bangers United

  • I have 20k left and 4trades left…
    I need to free up some cash…
    Should I trade this week Hibberd(Mid) to Callinan(is he a chance of playing this week?)

    • Callinan will almost certainly play, he only missed last week because of a bit of a soreness. The Crows will be desperate to make a point against Port in the Showdown this week, so including a tough nut like Callinan in the squad will be essential.

  • Mark LeCras, you will be welcomed to my team this week :D Hopefully something a little more unique to jump me from 13th to the car!

    And for the guys asking about how far down you can be to still be in contention for the FJ, if you’re outside the top 50 you’re WAY too far away. I’m 13th and still 400 points behind the leader with only 6 weeks left.

    • nice place my man! Hopefully 13 won’t be an unluck number! Good luck with the run in!

    • 6 weeks left, and only one trade hmmm good luck mate

      • I’ll have Adcock and Lecras on the bench to cover for byes, I’d rather that than 4 trades left to do 4 wasteful sideways trades. This way I can cover w lot more donuts/rookies playing.

        • ok mate, sounds good. Good luck

        • If a midfield gun is rested can you bring a FWD/MID DPP (e.g. Fyfe or Chappy) in there and bring Lecras on or do you have a strong 7th mid?

          • I can use DPP to cover my last mid gun, Boyd’s, bye. Just need to put Gibbs into the middle for Hibberd, then put Adcock on in his place. Either that or piut Goodes into the middle for Callinan, and put Le Cras on in his place. S’all sorted ;)

  • Team as of round 19:

    Gibbs, Goddard, Heppell, Martin, Broughton, Lower, Puopolo (Deledio, Adcock, Jacobs)
    Murphy, Boyd, Pendlebury, Mitchell, Swan, Ablett (Goodes, Hibberd, Smith)
    Cox, Petrie (Smith, Derickx)
    Fyfe, Chapman, Sylvia, Franklin, Riewoldt, Prestia, Mzungu (Darling, Lynch, Howe)
    TRADES LEFT: 2
    REMAINING SALARY CAP: $11, 800
    NATIONAL RANKING: 484

    An excellent week for me and what do you think of my slim chances of winning the car and my overall team?
    Should I trade before the finals and what is the best captain choice for the week from these players:
    Goddard
    Riewoldt
    Swan
    Boyd
    Mitchell
    Pendles
    Franklin
    Cox
    Murphy.

  • I’m ranked 489 , so you’re about the same as me being about 1000 points behind .
    Long story short , we have no chance of winning the car my friend because we’re way toooooo far behind at this late stage of the season .

  • FAR OUT.

    This week I will have no Goodes, ROK, Deledio, Cotchin, Riewoldt, maybe no Suckling and no Adcock depending if I bring him in for Rawlings, cause he will drop too much to do it next week.

    Here I go from 2400 to 1800

  • On a serious note – what should be done with Didak?

    Is he any chance to be a contributor for the rest of the year, or should I treat him as a cash cow and just cut him now.

    When is he likely to play again?

    • reverse cash cow more like it

    • He’ll play again soon and will be fresh when he does. I’m holding him as he’s likely to get game time through the middle and ‘soft’ forward roles to get him firing for finals. Well, that’s what I’m hoping… kept him this long and it’s out of him and Krak for the upgrade to Le Cras. Didak really is a gun when he’s on song, so he holds his place. I guess only time will tell whether this’ll pay off…

  • Anyone heard of the “who is jerry” thing you text and some dude/computer provides you with an answer to your question. Well its somewhat accurate but at the steep price of $4 you wont want to be texting this that often.

    Luckily when a family members phone was unguarded I managed to sneak it and text from it as it has unlimited texts (dunno if it wil charge $4)

    Anyway to cut to point i text

    TheColonel’sChoice (team name)*
    Balga (suburb)*
    *two requirements.

    No shit i quote this word for word

    “Justin is a grade A flog. His trolling on dt talk is pathetic. This absolute scrub is so shit at dream team his season was over as soon as it started. As a result of serious mistreatment by his father as a child, Justin resorts to the regular use of gay porn to ease the pain of being sexually devoured as a youngster”