tbetta’s Bullets: Round 5


  • Extreme AFL

With seven games spread over six days, Round 5 was a round of extremes, and so too was the fantasy scoring. It was a huge week for some players, with 7 scoring above the 130 mark. Meanwhile, I counted 8 DT-relevant players who scored 44 or less. It’s hard to know what a par-score was this week, partly due to such a spread of scoring, and partly due to the multi-bye round excluding a wealth of quality players.

If you landed in 1900’s, feel assured that you weren’t alone – there were some hard-luck stories this week. If you scraped 2000, you should probably be content with having dodged the many DT mines that were scattered over the 7 games. If you were lucky enough to own a healthy combination of the elite players this week and scored 2100+, then enjoy your short but sweet bragging period – Round 6 is just around the corner.

  • Reality Check

The rookies must have acknowledged the props they received from the DT world last week, because they seemed very content this week. That, or the coaches wanted to knock them down a peg and keep them level-headed, because many of the rookie-priced players we were relying on so heavily this week were either subbed or dropped. I’m talking about C-Rich (14), Pitt (20), Wallis (10), Bewick (21) and Krakouer (DNP), just to name a few.

I guess the reality is that the rookies in general just can’t keep up their fantastic scoring forever, and we are going to cop the odd bad week. And Murphy’s Law says it will be in a Multi-Bye Round.

It has to be mentioned that the exception to this rule is Dyson Heppell. He is super-consistent, and his game on such a big stage on Monday is just proof that he’s only getting started. He is one rookie well and truly on the radar to go from rookie to keeper, or to ‘Barlow-fy’.

  • Moe or Mop?

In such a long round of football, many of the normal topics were quickly exhausted (with the exception of the issue of whether Anzac Day should be shared, they are still milking that one), footy fans and commentators alike were finding anything to talk about. Cometti talked about basketball for most of the 1st quarter in the Cats-Hawks game, while the papers turned to what Aker was doing in some random league for something to write about. My favourite non-issue of the week is the burning question of which is worse: Pendlebury’s Moustache or Dreadlocks?  I personally think both are good, because means I can actually tell who has the ball! I’m sick of trying to decipher the Vince/Mackay/Van Berlo clones or the Corey/Lonergan/Milburn/Enright lookalikes of the AFL.

On a serious note, Pendlebury is making a name for himself as a big-game player. Norm Smith Medallist in last year’s Grand Final replay, and now an Anzac Day medallist after Monday’s effort. He’s an absolute gun, and is making a fool out of me for not making an exception to the common Gun-per-Team-per-Line rule.

  • Back the Ruck Up

Pun intended. With West Coast players experiencing a quiet Easter, the 2nd most popular ruckman in Dean Cox was relegated to the bench, promoting one of a few options. Some went for Zach Smith, and his 63 points were priceless from a cheap ruck cash cow. Some went for Vickery, which sort of rhymes with mockery, which is what he made of your team this week if you had him, only contributing 25 points before being subbed. Then there’s the coaches who swapped Petrie into their rucks and cashed in big time.

Last week I took a shot at Petrie (and Petrie Owners by association), branding him useless. And to this point, he has been. But talk about good timing! What a week to collect 20 touches, boot 6 goals and post 143 DT points… Let’s see what he does in Round 6, when the Dockers and the big 211 have a week off.

  • Insert Sun/Bright/Hot Pun

Even though I’ve read and heard every possible Gold Coast Suns headline and play-on-words over the last couple of days, they still deserve a mention here. Their win over Port was a very historical day for everyone involved, and they deserve all the kudos they get – their second half was magnificent, and they made the power look like the bunch of kids. And let’s not underrate the difficulty of the immense task of coming back from 40 points down to steal a game.

In fantasy terms, they weren’t much more productive as a team than their performances to date, but all the popular options played considerably well. Scores from players like Matera (84), Swallow (81), Stanley (75), Harris (71) and even McKenzie (82) were particularly handy in a Multi-Bye week, especially with Prestia and Krakouer also absent.

  • Makers and Breakers

Let’s get right into it:

MAKERS

1. Petrie 143

2. Pendlebury 166

3. Boyd 162

4. Martin 141

5. Montagna 126

Petrie gets the top spot this week for his excellent score coming with superb timing. Coaches who took the Petrie-route could not be any happier with the way things have gone so far. Pendlebury gets 2nd spot with the highest score of the round in a very polished performance and for the reasons I mentioned earlier. Boyd went crazy at Paterson’s Stadium and picked up 45 touches and 7 tackles on his way to his highest-ever score. Dustin Martin comes in next because not only do I love the way he plays (a big fan of the don’t-argue) but he always scores very well in DT! 33 touches and 3 goals will see him pick up the majority of the Brownlow votes for his performance on Sunday. Rounding out the Top 5 Makers is Montagna, purely for his timely 126 as a popular Loophole option, made all the more effective given Swan’s 104.

Now for the Round-Killers:

BREAKERS

1. Broughton DNP

2. Richardson 14

3. Yarran 44

4. Pitt 20

5. Bewick 21

Broughton is the first player to not play and make the list, but he well and truly deserves it. As if he hadn’t let down his coaches enough, he thought he would go and be a late withdrawal and kick them while they’re down. With his bye next week – TRADE! Trade out that is. Richardson was being relied on by many, myself included, and his poor fashion sense prevented him from earning TOG and hence scored a measly 14. He’s on my Trade-ar (trade radar for those who don’t understand portmanteau). Yarran’s injury and 44 hurt a lot of coaches who kept him after his shocking 21 in Round 1. I traded him out after that and have been hurting watching him slowly increase in price ever since, so it makes me feel slightly better. Pitt is another rookie who experienced the vest and in turn only manufactured 20. In his defence, he played quite well given his limited game time, but in a MBR it’s just not enough. Completing the list is Bewick – he scored 21 until he injured his back in the 1st quarter (no word yet on whether he’ll miss any games), so he was making good pace. Injuries are unavoidable, but that doesn’t make me any less angry at myself for playing him over McKenzie, who outscored him by 61!

 

That’s pretty much all the Bullets I have to fire for the unusual Round 5. I won’t have long to reload as the Eagles take on the Dees on Thursday night, which means another Partial Lockout. Which then means more big decisions to make (should have taken Goddard’s 113…). Also, it’s another MBR, so sort out those Dockers, Hawks and Cats and avoid those doughnuts!

 

I’ll be tweeting (twatting?) all weekend so follow @tbetta9 for the latest.

 

104 Comments

  • any word as yet as to whether any of heppell curnow or libba will get a rest this week?

  • chris yarran is absolutely being looked at upgrading this week, too hot & cold for DT along with OTTEN

    • bloody hell mate he got injured. Thats why the poor score. Hes has had 1 bad game in round 1!
      But he might be out with injury

      • yeah but with the 44, you wouldn’t think his price would rise much if at all in the next couple weeks. might have to wait a fair while if you want to cash him out as 330k or whatever you might be hoping for.

  • Pendlebury was already an Anzac day medalist. just saying

  • Thinking of trading in Brock McCauley from Lions only $80k and had a respectable 86 last round. My third ruck considering I havent got Smith. Anyone know much about him and what chance is he will be a reg for the lions? TA

    • he will probably get games until brown comes back after then he wont be picked. he may not even get picked this week with maguire and drummond coming back.

      • and clarke…cant see if playing too many games at all

        • i will be getting him in, but only to make me 100k from vickery as my 4th ruckman. i am not going o be relying on him playing.

  • was ben jacobs in the best for his SANFL team today?? could he get a crack for port next week??

    • Jacobs played in the SANFL reserves ( 1 level below the SANFL) and was named 3rd best on ground.

    • Plays for Port Magpies. Only at reserves stage though would reckon couple of weeks away yet

  • who do you look to trade for krak, mitch robinson and bryce gibbs
    keep in mind krak plays forward for me and i already have jack darling and brandon matera
    i already have goddard
    and i already have pendelbury, boyd and of course dane swan
    any trade advice for those three players for equal or lesser value

  • Team for round 5 tbetta:

    Gibbs, Deledio, Heppell, Duigan, Adcock, Goddard, Grimes (Stanley, Lower,Otten )

    Swan, Pendlebury, Libba , Curnow, Boyd, Swallow (Bartel, Harris, Hibberd)

    Cox, smith (Sandilands Derickx)

    Goodes, Higgins, Riewoldt, Knights, Darling ,Tapscott, Matera (Franklin, Pitt, Prestia)

    $48, 500 cash left

    No trades but looking to do an upgrade this week and looking to bring in Nat Fyfe or Paul Chapman after the round 6 bye in order to strengthen my squad. Final thoughts on team would be great.

    Cheers.

    • who are you looking at trading out for one of those 2?? I’m thinking of similar as well

      • Haven’t decided yet as my aim is to fill my team with 22 guns before DT finals begin. Will Pederson play?

    • Normally id recommend upgrading to someone coming off the most recent bye, but there isn’t much on offer form the Dees, Eagles or Swans that you haven;t already got.

      Just make sure if you’re going to downgrade Pitt or Lower do it this week, and leave yourself another two trades the week after to get either Fyfe or Chapman. If you want both, get Fyfe first, as he will increase in price from here and Chappers will drop a little. Otherwise, your team is in excellent shape and you should be able to do a mid upgrade very soon.

  • sitting with Krak and Richardson.. 1 of them has to go??
    but who to upgrade too.

    Over the next 2 weeks i could do this, (with a couple of downgrades):

    Vickery to McCauley
    Richardson to Goodes
    AND
    downgrade someone (maybe Duigan just before his bye week)
    Krak to Chapman

    Good option?????

  • Is J-Voldt worth the punt? Or is he too Katy Perry?

    • Too Katy Perry for my liking!
      Won’t get enough delivery against a quality outfit.

      • He’s dirt cheap at the moment though! Tough decisions have to be made this week..

        • Merrett is in top form i wouldnt recommend getting riewoldt but he wont get cheaper so if you are deadset on him then has to be this week.

      • You’d want to slot him in as your F7 as a keeper as long as you’re happy that you’ve got the right balance with 3-4 consistent-ish premos cos Jack will give you the highest of highs and the lowest of lows with not much in between! :-)

    • picked him up this week and he didnt disapoint, J wodlt is more then worth his price a perfect 7th fwd

  • I had Richardson and Toy this week. Glad I kept Kracka. Malthouse reckons he has had a heavy workload to get fit and thus got tired. I will hang on to him. But I m being Toyed about at the moment. I am stuck with hm for now.

    Richardson looked ordinary so he will go . I have Rioli . I will hang on to him but does anybody know how bad his hammy is? If it is more than 2 weeks I might have to ditch him for Chappy in round 7. Thoughts?

    Seems Didak is not ready yet for inclusion??

    Selwood looks ready to trade in round7

  • is prestia in line for an inclusion? if not is he worth keeping?

  • Another great read tbetta. Petrie and Pendles were huge for me.
    Foley (108) and Selwood (134) also stormed me home, 2145 this round, very happy.

  • how is the TSL a “random” league :p?

    very happy. 2113 and could’ve easily got more if i’d gone a different way with subs and captains.

    plus next week i think i’m a lot better off than most with only bartel, buddy and sandi out of my best 22

  • Lions website says rich and bewick were both injured against the saints but should be ok. Bewick will get tested tomorrow at training

  • Thoughts on whether Richardson will keep his spot and keep making some cash? That 14 is gonna hurt whilst in his rolling average, but there doesn’t really seem to be anyone else in his price range that is more likely to get a game.

  • richardson to tapscott? as he might be drop this week or worse get a shit score

  • I have 492k in the bank and I’m burning a massive hole in my pocket. Give me ideas with what to do with it. Here’s my team:

    DEF: Gibbs, Goddard, Deledio, Grimes, Heppell, Duigan, Otten (Toy, Stanley, Lower)

    MID: Swan, Boyd, Bartel, Curnow, Foley, Swallow (Harris, Bewick, Prestia)

    RUCK: Sandi, Petrie (Vickery, Smith)

    FWD: Franklin, Didak, Riewoldt, Sylvia, Knights, Matera, Pitt (Darling, Tapscott, Richardson)

    492k is a lot, but what to do with it?

  • Who does everyone think will outscore this week out of

    a) Callan Ward and his crazy hair
    b) Daniel Harris

    Cheers, and great write up TBETTA, love ya work

  • Cam Bruce is GONE!!! The only thing to decide is who to bring in for him. I want to downgrade to a rookie to make money for an upgrade next week hopefully Prestia/Darling to Chapman or Pittard to Montagna.
    Should I go for Josh Toy at make 180k or if he is named have a punt on Pedersen considering I have 9 backmen atm all playing and I have Stanley, Lower and Otten on the bench?

  • anyone else thinking of Polec this week? maybe for Krak/Prestia or Hibberd
    Also just looking at Brisbanes draw makes me want to load up on Adcock, Redden, Rockliff etc

    Rd 6 – Richmond MCG
    Gold Coast Gabba
    Essendon Gabba
    North Melbourne Gabba
    Adelaide AAMI Stadium
    Sydney Gabba
    Carlton Etihad Stadium
    Richmond Gabba
    Fremantle Patersons Stadium
    Port Adelaide Gabba
    Hawthorn Aurora Stadium
    Geelong Gabba
    North Melbourne Etihad Stadium
    Bye
    Adelaide Gabba
    Gold Coast

    Thats Richmond twice in 8 games and also Gold Coast twice

  • Warnie and gang, are you still mates with Chook?

    God knows I could use his poultry power now. ETA on the first Chooks Rooks?

  • The overall leader has six players (plus Krakouer) missing this round, which is going to hurt him. Amongst the players out includes Adcock, Lower, Bartel, Sandilands, Fyfe and Buddy.

    My national rankings has been consistent so far and any chance that I have a good shot at the car as I’m ranked 310th in the nation. Getting in Fyfe after the bye.

    • whys adcock out this week???

    • Adcock ?

    • Yep it is going to hurt. But i look at the bright side. Adcock will be there. Lower and Krak were not on the field this week anyway so wont really miss them at all. Sandi gets replaced by Cox so no big deal there.
      Bartel Fyfe and Franklin will hurt hoping Darling Tapscott and Libba will step up this week. Will have no cover for the forward line unless Krak plays coming into the bye he just might.

  • Is it too early to trade Bewick out and Mitch Wallis in ?

    • at least wait another week. wallis won’t change price this week and bewick can only go up again. and you get a real chance to see what wallis can do

      • I too have Bewick and am unsure about his potential to increase another 60k+, his last two scores have killed him and his current BE is 47 with an expected price rise of 2K (if he plays) which doesnt look great considering hes ment to be a “cash cow”

        Some other players around his mark are:
        Polec ($144,500) plays his 3rd game this week, scores of 67 and 83, BE -37
        Wallis (92,500) scored 10, i recon he will struggle to string regular games together, that 10 will affect his potential increase
        Smith ($97,600) plays his 3rd game this week, scores of 63 and 49, BE -36
        Iles($110,400) first game after an interupted pre season, scored 47
        Atley(143,900) recent scores after the bye have been 63 and 61, BE -12

        • I would be going with either Smith or Polec but probably Smith because he is so much cheaper

          • True, allows him to increase in price more. Although being in the team he is (saints) he could loose his spot and find it hard to regain it, plus could be a regualr sub. Where as polec should play most games this year, arghh too much to think about, im going to bed!

  • also what u guys rekon about
    stanton captain
    im ranked 148th
    hes playing gold coast so i rekon he could be in for a big one

    • Yeah, he is gonna rake it in… is it worth trading him in for Swallow ?

      • which swallow
        ive had him from beginning
        i juust really dont want it to blow up in my face

        • cox blew up in my face when i had him captain a few weeks ago, was messy..

    • yes, if you don’t have watson then stanton as skipper. but no, i would not think it worth it to trade one of them in.

  • I know it’s early for trade talk, but with their essentially being only a 1 day break I wanted an opinion. Considering downgrading N.Voldt for his brother. To me the Saints are flailing badly, and Nick isn’t going to be posting the scores I would expect from someone of his calibre and price. Jack has already played some tough opposition and is set for a stretch of easier opponents. With the money I make in the trade, I can upgrade Rooks to Premiums more easily later… But I’m cautious, and wanted to hear some feedback in case I’m being a bit knee-jerk?

    What do you guys reckon?

    • bad move i reckon.

      at worst they will probably average the same by the end of the year

      • Yeah, but if they average the same then I’m not losing any points and I gain about 140K to spend elsewhere…

        • but thats the best you could hope for i’d say. most likely nick will average more

    • I was considering doing similar. Upgrading to Chappy after the bye. I thought Jack and Nick were cousins??

  • Hey guys,

    Just got a dilema of who to get in for Boak. Mitchell or Watson

    I have Curnow,Boyd,Thompson,Chapman,A Swallow (D Swallow,Pittard,LiIberatore

    Thanks :)

    • Not one Collingwood mid OUCH!!! id go Watson, Mitchell has the bye this week and Watsons next month looks pretty good for his scoring potential.

      • Haha nope not one Coll Mid,just got Dawes down forward…besides my mids are pretty good anyway :)

        My money is else where spent so couldnt afford either of them

        • Well you got the flexibility in putting chappy forward later on which would allow for another mid spot for either swan or pendles anyways.

      • Thanks for the reply….i had to get rid of Skinner from bullies for Matera as Franklin is out and Fyfe so i needed some scoring to come in to cover a bit of their score.

      • Hmm now i can only really get some one like J.Redden from Bris which is 112 ave or even Dustin Martin.

        Anyone opinion now.?? i have 381000 left for Boak coming out for???

        • Hodge could be a great pickup if you can hold two weeks he will be down to about 330k with a BE of 170 when he plays again in round 7 otherwise some other options are simpson and Corey, both have the potential to average 100+

        • i reckon redden or rockliff or good enough picks anyway. will probably be good enough to be classed as those premiums you want in your team at the end of the year

  • Kraks to either L.Davis or J.Riewoldt -Thoughts please!

    • Def Riewold,will go up in price and has some easier opponents coming up :) And after his game,gone up in confidence and we know what hes like when hes started touching some footy

  • Kraks to J.Riewoldt or downgrade to Jaden Pitt?? Im worried that Pitt wont start games, and that J.Voldt is too inconsistent, but at this stage im leaning torwards J.Voldt, thoughts please

  • also with my above post I have 118 k in the bank…..

    • I would go Riewoldt sure he is inconsistent but hes up for some good scores as he doesnt have great quality defenders like the first few games he has had :) and hes touched the ball a bit in the last game which has improved his confidence and we know what he is like when u gets a bit of footy

  • Who thinks out of these guys is a good option for My mid, i have 381500 left…IM getting rid of Boak for one of these

    Redden(ave 112)Martin(101)Sheils(93)D.Jackson(95)

    • Redden – franked his form this year against good teams, 3rd year breakout (so far).

  • Team Name: HOT2TROT
    Round 5 Score: 2136
    ANZAC Medalist: pendles (easy)
    DT Studs: pendles, petrie, goddard, shaw, heppell, fyfe,
    DT Duds: richardson, dugian, st nick
    On the Chopping Block: no one, will try to stick it out and save trades.
    Vent/Brag/Whatever: a score of 2136 was unexpected but pleasing.

  • would love a few opinions on a few moves im thinking about.

    heres my team so far $78,500 in the bank

    gibbs, deledio, grimes, goddard, heppell, lower, otten, duigan, stanley ,b.smith

    swan, pendlebury, bartel, boyd, montagna, cornow, libba, bewick, harris

    cox, petrie, smith, keefe

    sylvia, n.reiwoldt, frankilin, didak, krakouer, darling, knights, c.richardson, prestia, matera

    now i would love to bring chappy in for the first leauge game back,but at the same time do not want to waste potential money on upgrading too early.

    maybe i should get adcock this week,but is he worth it? i love my cats,but if im getting chappy, enright would really hurt if im playing round 22. hibberd is still not playing, so i f i did this …who to move?

    lastly, i never considererd j.riewoldt, i rather possession winners over key position players. but he is just so cheap, he has to improve. maybe bump of richardson for him,but i would still need to get the extra money somehow.

    cornow, libba etc….im not touching, they are getting me ablett when it is time. petrie/smith are getting me sandi.

    should i just stay pat for now? or which of the following would you recommend i pursue?

  • Good Morning All,

    Just realised this weekend that i HATE the 2011 multibye season.
    It was an absolute joke that coaches had to make decisions (Krakour on Sunday afternoon) without the final sides.
    How can we coach as proffessionals when our “structures” are floored.

    2011 should just be wiped from memory(even if i win).

    • A DT sub would be nice… not sure how it would work

    • Absolutely. Dream Team needs to start doing lockouts before each game and not the start of the weekend. Last year became a joke with the late withdrawals (Sylvia multiple times), and not to mention now with more longer weekend games.

      And rumour has it the AFL is keen to start doing more Thurs and Mon night games, making it more impossible to know teams.

      DT has to get rid of a ‘lockout’ altogether, just lock in players when their team plays!

      • that would never work. exploited to the max. if your facing an opponent, you both have two players left, your down 15. he has selwood, chapman. you have bartell, boyd……….what stops him from simply trading to your two players and guarenteeing the win?

        their should have been some form of different way to consider a subs score. mabe give you the option to use your emergencies score instead of the sub affected one. after all it is pure luck whether you avoid your players getting subbed or not. so if you have a few question marks over some players, you should be able to pick them in reserve………and if your main guy is subbed off…you get the option to accept the score, or take your reserves.

    • so you had a bad round then, lets not look for excuses ;)

  • hey guys just wandering if there is a partial lockout this week because of the thursday night game? cheers

    • Yes, there’s a partial lockout this week and the site will inform us.

      Hastily traded out Andrew Krakouer in the last minute before lockout due to that he’s named in the VFL reserves.

  • hey guys ive asked this in another article but only got 1 response and im really unsure….

    should i go a straight swap from Boak to Redden (only 5k difference) or give Boak 3 or so weeks and if he’s still going crap turn him into ablett after round 9?

    im sreiously considering boak to redden but yeah can anyone see upside in boak or move him on?

    cheers in advance

    • Mate trade him. If Boak was going to fire it should have been this week. Redden has a dream run with the Lions side they have Port and Gold coast twice. And a very tasty looking draw indeed he should rack up some good scores and the points he makes you between now and when you would get Ablett, im not sure Ablett will even be able to peg them back. Your call but id be on Redden in a flash.

  • Anyone know the extent of Yarran’s injury? Is he likely to miss this week?

  • Well I have to trade Lester (confirmed out for season) so Broughton stays this week…the bye, and his DNP are actually GREAT things for me because it means he can’t stink it up again and drop in price.

    Meanwhile, Brian Lake will drop in price massively next week (FF Genie has his BE at 204). If he gets a good score though, say 90+, I’ll be taking a punt on him and flicking Broughton. If he gets a shyt score, well time to look elsewhere.

  • Will pedersen play? Looking to trade him in for broughton. Then looking to upgrade Krak for fyfe or hibberd for redden. But if hibberd plays would this be a waste?