tbetta’s Bullets: Round 4

 

  • Rookie Delights

In the lead-up to Round 4 we all thought 1900 would be a good score, and 2000 would be a huge effort. With so many quality scorers like Boyd, Cross, Higgins, Riewoldt, Goddard, Gram, Montagna, Dal Seagull, Adcock, and Rockliff riding the pine last week, most if not all of us were forced to play some cash cows we’d feel better leaving chained to the bench. But the rookies were having none of this, and they pumped out some very handy scores like they knew we needed them. I’m thinking of Duigan (93), Heppell (90), Otten (87), B. Smith (87), Pittard (87) Curnow (90), Conca (87), Swallow (96), Pitt (87) and Darling (100). As a result, many teams scored better than the Great Drought of Round 3!

  • Getting Legless

Long-term limb injuries were all the rage in the AFL this week. And Suban was the coolest. He was the most fantasy-relevant player to go down with an LTI, a broken fibula in his right leg. His 17 caused him to drop only $3,000 this week in what has been a very solid season for the Docker’s rebounder. Then of course was the dual tragedy of Winderlich and Dempsey, who both suffered nasty ACL injuries within 5 minutes of each other. The good news is that they aren’t popular DT players, and that it gives other Essendon players the opportunity to step up and take their place. Michael Hibberd played a great game in the VFL and could be a chance to step up this week.

  • Better Late Than Never

The completion of Round 4 also marks the first price rise of the Adelaide, North and GC players. For the Crows, Otten, B. Smith, and McKernan all enjoyed 33k-plus price rises, while underpriced forward Chris Knights rewarded his suitors with a $22,000 jump.

The Roos youngsters weren’t as impressive, with C-Rich ($31,900), Atley ($23,000) and Robbie Tarrant ($22,900) experiencing modest increases. These guys will need a bit of time to generate any useful upgrades.

The Suns obviously shot up right across the board, but the biggest movers were Harris ($46,800), Smith ($43,800), Swallow ($37,500), Danny Stanley ($37,000), Prestia ($33,600) and my replacement for Jarrad Irons in Mckenzie ($40,700). From now on, it’s all about picking up rookies on the bubble and selling them at their peak, so check out Chook’s Rooks for the best rookie options and advice.

  • Advantage: No-one

One of the rule interpretation changes for this year is the Advantage Rule. As we know, in the past it has always been at the umpire’s discretion whether advantage should be allowed, and in many cases, teams were able to get ‘two bites at the apple’. But apparently this was too inconsistent and the AFL found themselves flooded with complaints week after week regarding Advantage rulings. Then, as I imagine it, the Rules Committee were sick of copping heat for a what is ultimately a rule with the best intentions, and said “Stuff ya, it’s up to you now”, which is fair enough.

I personally think it’s a great idea, giving the players the choice to take the advantage or not, and in theory it should solve all said problems. But at the moment the players don’t know the nuances of the rule as the umpires are still getting used to the change, and we have seen many awkward moments over the first four weeks where this was evident. It reminds me of when the Hands-in-the-back rule was changed, and players couldn’t get a grip of it at first, but now we hardly see it, and when we do it’s clear-cut. It’s great idea and a great rule and I think once everyone gets used to it will turn out to be a great success.

  • Duds and Studs

I want to do something different this week. I enjoy picking my top 5 duds and studs every week, but I often struggle to order them. So I’m going to put out some nominations, and you can vote on the poll, and we’ll have our Top 5 for Round 4.

MAKERS (in no particular order)

Nat Fyfe 137

Scott Thompson 141

Sam Mitchell 129

Andrew Carrazzo 142

Dane Swan 131

 

These are the nominees for Round 4, all posting some very high scores in the first multi-bye round. Nat Fyfe was someone I considered in pre-season but I ended up passing on him because I thought his game wasn’t suited to DT. How wrong I was. He is having a stellar year, scoring 137 yesterday, averaging 103.5 for the year and shooting up $50,200 over the last two weeks, more than a lot of rookies. Thompson’s season is on the same trajectory, boasting the 2nd highest average in the league with 124.33. Hawthorn guns Mitchell (37 touches) and Franklin (24 touches and 6.2) carried the Hawks over the line against the Eagles, but the former skipper was the most inlfluential. The highest scorer of the round, Carrazzo, finds himself in the nominations after starring in the Duds section in last weeks Bullets. And the last nominee is everyone’s favourite Captain, Swan, who kicked 4.3 on the way to 131 in basically 3 quarters of footy after giving himself a break in the 3rd. Honourable mentions go to; Chapman, who continued his magnificent DT record, with 120 in a best-on-ground performance; and Deledio deserves a mention for delivering an entertaining DT ride so far this year, with scores of 74, 103, 51 and 118. I’ll put my house on him having a disappointing week in Round 5.

So those are the options, vote away (at the bottom of the post).

I’ll take the liberty of assigning my top 5 (or should it be bottom 5?) breakers as normal for Round 4.

BREAKERS

1. Andrew Krakouer 40

2. Ryan O’Keefe 68

3. Drew Petrie 60

4. Greg Broughton 55

5. Dean Cox 79

To be honest, there wasn’t many in the running for this list. Krakouer gets the top spot thanks to some personal frustration with him, although I know many other coaches feel the same way. He showed much more promise over the pre-season than his 40 point effort against the Tigers and 58 average suggests. According to the Assistant Coach, at this rate he will reach a price high of only a touch under 190k – could be involved in the first upgrade… O’Keefe is another I have personal issues with, after trading him into my team after Round 2 and two 100’s. Since then, he has done nothing – dual 68’s aint good enough. Petrie was touted as a major piece in the DT puzzle pre-season, but has lost his allure after some average scores on his part and some very handy scores from Zac Smith. His DPP was supposed to be critical, but with some great scores from rookies like Darling and Tapscott in the FWDs, and Smith holding his own as a backup ruckman, Petrie is next to useless. Broughton once again disappointed (But he’ll come good, hey Warnie?) and it’s at the stage now where we have to ask – is it just a form slump, or has his role changed permanently? Maybe with Suban out, we’ll see him back at his sluttiest soon. Rounding out the 5 is Cox, who admittedly is a victim of his own lofty standards. A bit of a harsh call, but as I said earlier, there wasn’t many to choose from. 79 was particularly devastating to those who picked him as captain after all the signs pointed to him having a blinder down in Launceston.

  • Taking It One Week At a Time

It was a bit of an anti-climax this week having no league matches and therefore any real short term goals, but expect the same feeling for the next two weeks. Don’t forget to sub out all your Eagles, Demons and Swans asap as it’s their turn for a week off. Note that Round 5 is a weird one due to the Easter weekend, with a Thursday game as well as Monday and Tuesday matches. So have your team sorted by the partial lockout on Thursday, and sort out those emergencies! More about this over the week from the other boys.

In regards to trading, as always, wait until Friday before touching that ‘T’. With this being the first year of byes in DT there is no precedent or proven trading structure, so have a good think about your season plan and make a call. I’ve heard some are trading hard over the multi-bye rounds to get a leg up on the competition, but there are also those who are using these rounds as a good excuse to hold onto some trades until the cash cows fatten up. For me, it will probably be more of the latter.

[merlic_poll id=”4507″]

Feel free to give me some feedback or bring something interesting to my attention by hitting up @tbetta9 on Twitter!

279 Comments

  • 1. Is anyone else going Broughton > B.Smith and Krak > Selwood? Im doing the Selwood trade after Geelongs bye. Cant resist Selwood at that price! My on field mids will then be Swan, Pendles, Bartel, Boyd, Selwood and Curnow. Tempting. Wanted to wait for Chappy to drop in price as he has the DPP but I dont think he will be as cheap as Selwood is.

    2. I was thinking of doing a straight Broughton >Adcock / Gram trade but that would leave me with little $$ to upgrade Krak. I have all decent rooks in mids except Libba and Swallow, which I wouldnt want to do a trade to them anyway. I dont really mind hanging onto Krak for a few more weeks if I had to tho.

    Would you go the 1st or 2nd option?

    • I’d go option 1, Smith has good JS with all the Crow’s injuries ATM and he seems quite capable of getting 70-80’s each week so will make you plenty along the way.

      • Cool dude, cheers. Selwood it is then :)

        • Brodie Smith looked okay, but in a tighter game he’ll need to play tighter in defence and may not get so much easy footy in open space like he did against Por. He got a lot of his points in the 2nd half when the ball was down back for Adelaide about 75% of the time. Not sold on his score this week… if it’s a one off then you’ll have yourself another upgrade to deal with in a few weeks. At least someone like Toy will go up an additional 50K on Smith’s current price, plus you know he’ll be in the thick of it week in, week out. He’s a better option I reckon.

          • Good call but I already have Coad and Stanley in the backline. I’ll wait Coads injury out…if I can

  • I have $394900 in the piggy for a premium midfielder. Who do I get?

    Already have Swan, Boyd, Bartel and A. Swallow as premiums in the mid.

    • Nobody…transfer the money to me please, cheers

      • no :) haha

        i’m thinking rockliff

        • There are many options, personally I’m thinking of going Kraks>Higgins. And apart from Swan the next highest average for a player ATM is Thommo from Adelaide-red hot form even when they’re losing and has already had 1 bye. And if he pumps out another big score it will go 154,141,???. Big increases!!!

          • If I go Higgins I will have Boyd, Libba and Higgins. Don’t like it. Rockliff has already had a bye and is punching out scores worth more than his price. I think he has me sold.

          • Trade away then champ (after teams have been announced of course)

          • I would like to go Krak > Higgins but I dont think Higs has proved himself against the better teams, his only good scores are against low quality opposition, Brisbane and GC and scored a lower score against Essondon. Id like Higgins cos it would keep my DPP alive but I just dont trust any Bulldog score until they meet decent opposition, which will be in the next few weeks, Freo and Collingwood. Ill wait on my Krak trade…who knows, he may pull out a ton this game ;)

    • Kidding…seriously though who you gonna upgrade already??

    • With this weeks partial lockout, i dont understand how the captain thing works. For eg i put the Vice captain on Goddard and he scores well so i want to keep it. How do i get rid of the captain off Swan without having to trade him out?. I cant put the C on a reserve it just jumps back onto the field. From what i gather the only way i can use Goddards score is to cop a donut by putting somone on field who is not playing and give them the C which is pretty stupid. Am i missing something here or what??

      • If your happy with Goddard’s score put a non-playing player (WCE,Syd or Melb) on the field with the big C and make sure you select an emergency player who is playing so their score is counted for the donut (the captaincy will not apply to the emergency player). Understand now?

        • Ahh i get it now. Bugger i have no Bye players in my Mids or Backs. Might give Reiwoldt a crack then cheers.

          • It doesn’t have to be a bye player any player who isn’t named can be it i.e (Hibberd, Lower last week e.t.c)

      • good question mate! i might twot the guys

  • Man I want Smith but it will cost me money because the only two defenders I am willing to drop are Lower and Stanley.
    Looking at bringing in Toy.
    any other ideas appreciated.
    21 trades left.
    $21,400

    • Lower for Toy looks good… Lower a chance to not play again for three weeks (if not selected, then bye R6) and in the meantime Toy could go up 80K or so. Plus you get the 40K for the downgrade. Win-win :)

  • Is anyone considering Lovett-Murray? :P

    • @ Ryan

      Dont fall for his tricks, he belongs in the same category as Brennan and Heath Shaw but worse!

  • Great article as always tbetta, well done!

    OK, covered the byes nicely last week but this one is giving me a headache this week:

    Forwards: Need to play 1 out of Richardson, Prestia, Matera or McKernan.

    At this stage I have Richardson on the field but it’s a bit toss of the coin to me.

    Swallow’s 96 on the weekend tied up my 6th midfield spot for this week (Krakouer. Harris & Irons on the bench).

  • Hey Guys,

    Not sure i am willing to ride the Petrie train any longer…Kraks is p##sing me off too.. but will let him fatten on the bench.

    I have 280k in bank and would love didak or chappy… Obviously chappy would be great but impending bye and BE of 130…mean that he may (he is a gun) drop. Didak seems to be a good option and having watched him on friday night looks like he is starting to get back to what we know him or… Roo, Goodes, Fyfe

    Cureent fwds are: SYLVIA, BUDDY, STEVIE, HIGGINS, YARRAN, TAPSCOTT, DARLING, RICHO, MATERA and DUDTRIE…

    Have only used 1 trade so far…Sideways..against all convention Joey to Jobe… has worked well.

    Am thinking didak but would like some opinion if you think this is a bad option.

    Thanks

    • @ rainman
      Didak and Chappy are the perfect upgrades! I believe they’re the 2 best forwards in the DT Game today! Below I have listed the stages of the season i am preparing to bring them in.

      Rnd 7 Im bringing in Chappy for Krakour to coincide with Collingwoods bye.
      Rnd 8 I will bring in Didak for which ever rookie has peaked!

      That will have complete my midfield as

      Chapman Didak Reiwoldt Franklin Goodes Pavlich Knights!

      Which ever way you do it, they are a must!

      • Midfield tkol???????

        • lol , TKOL clearly meant his Forward Line ;)

        • @ jacktenstar

          Currently my mids are Swan Boyd Pendlebury Mitchell Curnow Libba – Harris Atley & Irons.
          The plan at the start of the year was to bring in Hayes and Selwood because i think they close out the season like champions.
          Selwood is definately a must, not sure about gun #6. However there are heaps of downgrades later in the year still to come(mzunga & callinan) so the midfield is my last area of concern!

          • Tkol
            How will you cover Swan and Pendles? My current idea was to get in Selwood Rd7 to cover the double loss.

          • @toasted

            I will just play rookies for one week making sure i dont have any zero’s.
            They have been a great success together this season so Im not worried about a slightly weaker scoring midfield for one round.
            Chapman is my planned rnd 7 trade into the forward line so hopefully the midfield bench cover score a couple of hundreds!

          • Thanks Tkol. I am guessing that the Selwood upgrade will come after rd 8 or so once you have secured Chappy and Didak. Also you see Chappy and Didak as a higher priority to getting Selwood it would seem.

          • tkol our mid + forwards (+ upgrade plans are very similar) however instead of mitchell and pav, i have bartel and sylvia. I think i might just take the cake there ;p

          • @ the real zohan

            Im sure most coaches have a similar plan. The key is to get there whilest other coaches are fixing up their mistakes or saving trades for finals!

    • Easy decision i say , get Nick Riewoldt … but i will say 280k is far toooooo much to have sitting idle in the bank doing nothing at this point of the season … however i don’t what your scores have been ???

      and do you have cover for your rucks over the next 2 rounds assuming you have Cox & Sandi with Petrie as a DPP …

      Food for thought , hope that helps …

  • Thanks tkol, never thought I would say it but we agree.

    @g-bangers
    Cheers for the input… Scores hve been ok ave 2070 and sitting 2004 overall… Have ruck cover with smith and current combo is cox warnock ( will become sandi)… Am thinking that dids might get the gig.

  • if lower isnt the person brought in for suban who should he be traded for?

  • looking for some advice on my backline

    Currently have Grimes, Delidio, Gibbs, Broughton, Goddard, Heppell, D.Stanley, Lower, McKernan and Duigan.

    Thinking about trading Broughton out this week – has a BE of 112. Looking at either Gram (BE of 63) oR Enright (BE of 115). If i wait another week I may not be able to afford either.

    Or keep Broughton?

    Thoughts?

    • Adcock …

    • @ Archer

      The bye comes at a perfect time for Broughton owners!
      If he hopefully performs this week then you can keep him, if not then theres his bye round to think of it!

    • BEs not really relevant… if you make the trade, once it’s done you’re keeping whoever you get.

  • Scott Thomsons scores look awesome, but can anyone shed any light on how much his scores are affected when he is tagged? I know alot of Crow midfielders left, but does that make him the #1 target? How does he handle a tag? Surely he can’t keep these scores up ??

  • boyd to thompson and krak to any toher premum mid or fwd? krak has BE of around 50 odd. he probs wont get it! so wnat him out! is it stupid to trade boyd out to thompson?

    i wanna have 6 premium mids by the end of the season so itll be swan, pendles, n.dal,thompsonand either mitchell/selwood or anyone else?
    thoughts?

    • boyd to thompson, really? why would u consider that?

    • Boyd is already a premium and has just had his bye. His next one is R20, so might as well hang on to him unless he gets injured. Him to Thompson is the definition of ‘sideways’ and may even cost you in the long run. Can’t see him scoring that much more than Boyd to justify the trade.

      • is it worth getting fyfe 1 week before his bye? i might just go krak to fyfe in either the fwd or mids. krak is depressing me

    • Is this Dr Dreamteam? ;)

  • have enough cash for krak to fyfe, soo tempting…

    • Krak just warming up… Fyfe peaking too early. Krak runs riot as the extra midfielder, Fyfe gets the tag as the form midfielder. Fyfe’s done everything right so far, but he has a bye in a week and may attract extra attention and see his scores drop. No one would blame you for making the trade though.

  • Hibberd to Libba this week? What say you?

  • Any thoughts on the likelihood and impact taggers will have on Scott Thompson? He’s a pretty big target…

  • are their any saints supporters out there that can help me
    with their opinion of Rhys Stanley?

    is he gonna play much…or holding the fort for someone…
    i’m thinking he’s in for a bit…
    and seriously giving him plenty of thought?

  • do you guys think i should do a straight swap and trade Duffield for Grimes?

    • next week obviously after Grimes’ bye and before Duffields bye

      • dont think you should do the sideways trade

        …….l’ve got duffman too, and yes he is p!ssing me off as well

        • not really sideways, duffield averaging 60 and grimes averging 88. i know you mean sideways by that their the same price and same type of players, but based on score, it’s an upward trade, my friend!

        • Duffield actually currently has the lowest avg. in my backline. And i’ve got Lower and Stanley on the bench…

          • I am biased as i have Grimes and would say yes to the trade (in a week) as i believe there is upside with a consistent high score. Btw, i also have Nick Lower and missed why he didn’t play last round. What was the story?

  • Hmmm….
    I want to free up some cash as I only have $10,540 left (is that a major issue?)
    1) Broughton to Smith or Toy
    2) Broughton to Adcock
    3) Keep Broughton
    4) Coad (injury?) to Toy
    I like (1) as it would let me upgrade forwards such as Kraks to Chappy/Dids but worried as I already have Stanley and Coad if I go for Toy.
    (2) Would allow me to make a little money and possibly get a 6th/7th defender.
    (3) Saves trades
    (4) May make money quicker if Coad is injured and Toy has shown potential to score

    I’m going mainly for overall and have 21 trades left. I know, I know “go with your gut” problem is I have no idea what my gut is telling me. A second opinion would be much appreciated.

    • B Smith aint gonna be dropped any time soon…. he’s in the crows side to stay in my opinion
      the lad can really play…has self belief too…

    • I would say option 1 or 2. Adcock is a gun and will get great scores and continue going up in price. Broughton to Smith or Toy is good because as you said, you can trade Krak or another rookie to an uber premium. And you always wanna have over $30,000 in the bank, but don’t stress too much about it, because when you trade to make money, you waste a trade.

      • agreed , option 1 or 2 is the go , roll a dice and go from there …

        good luck :)

    • thinking of downgrading Broughton to Toy myself and Kraks to Fyfe
      leaves me with $130,000 in the bank for a ‘pathetic petrie’ upgrade soon :)…still thinking koz Freo have the bye next week might just get a premium in the mids instead…..hmmm

  • Quick question everyone should I go krakouer to dude and cameron bruce to Brodie smith then I would have money left over as well but if I did that I would have 4 rookies playing this week down back and 3 normally but only 1 rookie playing down foward can you plz tell if I should do it or not

  • Dude=fyfe sorry

    • i have fyfe and smith …and krak but only one of them is on the chopping block…

      • Remember Dawes was flavour of the week 7 days ago… now he’s playing once in the next three games. Fyfe has that sort of vibe about him this week.

        • Are you trying to scare people away from Fyfe so you can reap the rewards having him?? He is a gun and he is on the rise.

  • OK so i went jolly as my second ruckman to Cox at the start of the year thinking he would playy all of collingwoods games. If Jolly remains injured this week, i need to trade him out to avoid a doughnut. So…i’m thinking to trade him out for either Leuenberger, Brogan meh, Hudson, Ottens who has the bye next week or Graham who had a good week last week. I have enough cashies to get any ruckman besides Sandi (devs). If Jolly is named though i’ll just leave him in for another week. Thoughts please.

    • if you have enuff money in the bank do a trade for Zac Smith = cash cow !!!

  • krak better play or i cop a donut, broughton is out for adcock just because i dont think ill be able to afford it next week. im going away for the weekend so it will save me the stress. dawesy you idiot

    team for the round looks like this

    DEF: Goddard, Gibbs, Deledio, Adcock, Duigan, Otten, Lower (Grimes, Batchelor, Stanley)

    MID: Swan, Montagna, Bartel, A.Swallow, Curnow, Liberatore (Harris, Bewick, Hibberd)

    RUC: Sandilands, Smith (Cox, Keefe)

    FWD: Franklin, Johnson, Reiwoldt, Krakouer, Richardson, Matera, Dixon (Goodes, Dawes, Darling)

    fwds looking very shaky :(

    • Everyones fwd’s looking shaky horse. Tapscott & Darling in nearly everyones team, plus Goodes or ROK (I have both) Even Krak who we all had DPP to cover such subness is looking shaky, add in a suspension like Dawes and there will be a lot of teams copping donuts.

  • Wanting to get Adcock in, would dropping Grimes for him be a viable option?