tbetta’s Bullets – Round 1

  • The Loophole – Success!

Finally, a loophole that works! Gone are the days where you are forced to choose between a 106 from Gibbs and the salivating option of putting the big C on Swan or Ablett… One year on, Gibbs is that little bit older, wiser and sluttier, posting 147 – which was not only game-high, but topped the dream team scoring for the league in Round 1. He was the main VC option in the first partial lockout of the season, which left many coaches with smiles on their faces and the luxury of not having to make the call on Swan.

Other popular options in Murphy (127) and Judd (97) weren’t very appealing – Murphy for the difficult decision you’d be forced to make, and Judd for the average score. Deledio was never an option with only 74 in a tag-affected performance. Swan finished with 137, so if your Loophole option blew it, you were still a happy camper.

  • Tag – You’re It.

The dreaded tag was back in a big way to shake up Dream Teams in the first round of 2011. Round 1 tags are always the hardest to predict – no one tags in the NAB Cup, so you can never be sure who will cop the human glove. This week Deledio, Yarran (21), Didak (67), Griffen (75), and Harvey (57) are a few DT-relevant players who suffered the tag. Many cop them, few handle them. ‘Tag’ will continue to be a dirty word in fantasy circles this year.

  • Subway

The sub-rule has played a bigger role in Round 1 scoring than a lot of coaches predicted or were prepared for. I think everyone was thinking that premiums were ‘off-limits’ but that’s not what we’ve seen so far; Connors (21) started as a sub for Richmond and swapped with Foley (24) in possibly the most devastating sub this round. Djerruka (28) and the Sherminator (20) could have been costly to coaches who took a punt on the mid-priced doggies. Krakouer’s score was also affected as a late-game sub-off, but still finished with a price-fattening 96 points. In saying that, most subs were used to cover injuries in a mostly-successful (see Brisbane’s premature use of the sub only to sustain multiple injuries, decimating their bench) debut for the newest rule in the AFL. I see a common theme – most clubs seem to be following a pattern of waiting for an injury to occur, and in the event it doesn’t, subbing off a player nearing 3 quarter time. The only team to really butcher that blueprint was Sydney, who had Seaby still on the pine starting the last term. It may have cost them 2 premiership points, with a running player surely more effective in the latter stages of a close contest. But more importantly it may have cost some coaches a league win if they elected to go with the underpriced big man, who ended up producing 24 points.

  • Young Talent Time

Fantasy coaches were scratching their heads a week out from the season opener wondering which rookies they’d have in their team – but Thursday’s teams proved that beggars can, in fact, be choosers. Buckley or Duigan? Irons or Conca? Atley or Libba? Tapscott or Darling? Many tough choices were the product of a few selection surprises and the mature-age trend, giving some much needed uniqueness to teams. And on the other side of Round 1 coaches would have to be happy with the way the youngsters performed. Curnow was surprisingly the pick of the bunch with 107, with honourable mentions to Pedersen (97) and Lower (98).

  • Duds and Studs

My least favourite part of the week is dwelling over the players that let your team down, but I am always buoyed by the juicy trade options still on the market. Here’s my top five for the week:

MAKERS

    1. Gibbs 147
    2. Cox 142
    3. R. Tarrant 106
    4. Rioli 100
    5. Stanton 138

Gibbs gets a big tick from me, locking in that huge 294 as (effectively) Captain. Cox was someone who I couldn’t overlook and was rewarded with a big score, albeit against the ruck-less Roos. Robbie Tarrant could have been the difference for those who took a risk on him over Otten. Rioli was one of the only forwards to top the ton this week, and he did so without kicking a goal. Stanton rounds out the five with a characteristically slutty performance. But as good as it was if you had these dream team guns, there is always those nightmare performances – here’s my top five duds:

BREAKERS

    1. J. Selwood 27
    2. Yarran 21
    3. Brown 55
    4. Adcock 53
    5. Harvey 57

Selwood was the most devastating blow for those who had him this week. He was on 27 before quarter before he was KO’d in an unlucky collision with Ray’s hip (on a side note, if he gets any weeks for that, there’s something wrong with the game). And if, like me, you were tossing up between him and Bartel, you’d be even more sour. Yarran showed promise all pre-season in his new rebound role, which apparently Hardwick noticed and tagged accordingly. He looked disinterested at times, will be interesting to see what other coaches do with him over the next few weeks. Brown was most devastating more because he will be out for weeks rather than playing poorly – in fact he was playing quite well until he got ‘McVeighed’ by McPharlin. Adcock was disappointing not only because of his sub-par score, but because it looks like it could become a regularity. And finally Harvey, who some picked as a handy DPP, playing a quiet role in the narrow loss against the Eagles due to, you guessed it, a tough tag.

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202 Comments

  • Was reading the article on the AFL website about Rance and Scarlett being offered suspensions and had a laugh to myself…

    “However, Waite has been cleared of deliberately kicking Tigers defender Luke McGuane in the groin.”

    HAHAHAHA joke or?

  • how much does it suck to put all that pre-season work in only to have your guts ripped out as Selwood gets his head ripped off in the first qtr. I really thought I had the car this year.

    • Could be worse, Brown and LeCras could easily have been your fwd line uniques as well

  • What are your boys thoughts on nathan foley? I currently have him as my fourth midfielder, hoping to upgrade to the likes of gary ablett around round 10, but I’m not sure if he is worth the risk? I know it’s only round 1, but he could be the possible sub for the next few weeks meaning a price drop. Thoughts?

    • definitely hold for this week. I have benched him atm until squads come out. He will be a good get but depends how he bounces back from gastro. He could potentially turn in to a keeper so i would not lose faith in him just yet.

    • My thoughts are also to wait until after this week. No price changes yet

  • I love how everyone is already counting out Adcock. The dude is coming off an injury riddled season and is 260k. Give him a few more games and he would average a very respectable 70.

  • is anyone else thinking of leaving gibbs as captain this week, could run riot against gold coast?

  • ” Masten had surgery on damaged cartilage this morning and faces a six-week period of rehabilitation before he is ready to resume, while LeCras, the reigning club champion, will be sidelined for between seven to 10 weeks as he recovers from an adductor tear . ”

    http://www.westcoasteagles.com.au/news/newsarticle/tabid/7155/newsid/110251/default.aspx

  • It’s so entertaining seeing all the trading going on. Some people jump on players because of 1 good score. Having a detailed look at the Assistant coach analyser you see the “coaches choices” player movement. Apart from J.Brown who should be traded out because of long term injury people should be at least waiting until after round 2 before making big decisions. But if you have the urge to click the big T go right ahead!! Burn baby burn- trades that is…

    • I agree Brappin

      Unless you have Brown, Masten or LeCras chill the fuck out.

    • well said mate, although those who have yarran should definitely be tempted to click the big T. He might do Carlton some favours with dashing runs off the half back line, but I highly doubt that he’s going to regulary gather 20 plus possesions

      • I understand why people would have Yarran on their chopping block. But at least give him another week.

  • Hey Guys

    I was wondering whether i should take Easton Wood out for Heppel.
    I know its round 1 but wood got injured at the end of the game and he only got 51 whilst Heppel got 78 and he is also cheaper. Thoughts?

    • Easton Wood and no Heppel, TKLOL

    • To early to trade… their scores could easily be reversed next week…. I say no…

    • Sry just read wood could be out for 6 to 8 weeks..so dont know check it out…

      • thanks for ur help mate, may consider heppel, were did u get that info from?

        • Story on Dogs afl website…Titled “Disappointing and acceptable: Eade”.

          Near the end of the article it says

          “The Bulldogs did suffer an injury but it ocurred late in the match when defender Easton Wood went off with an anckle injury that, Eade said, was likely to sideline him for six to eight weeks”.

  • gday guys – this one goes out to hawthorn supporters mainly – but what are our thought on cam bruce? is he worth staying on this year or is he being used in mainly a tagging/shutdown role as he was sat nite against the crows?

  • ATTENTION ALL THOSE CONSIDERING TRADING THIS WEEK!!!

    There is absolutely no excuse for trading this week except for long term injuries. Even with guys like Selwood who are a chance to miss a week or so, as long as you have rookies playing there is no point trading. There is simply no way of knowing what players will score on a given week. Sure history gives an indication of how they MIGHT perform (e.g. Swan vs Port Adelaide), but Selwood, who scored 120 and 114 the last two times he played the saints in regular season games, got knocked out in the first quarter. His previous scores now count for nothing because of an accidental hit. Assuming you have picked decent rookies, there is every chance that a Bewick or Duigan will pull a big score like Curnow or Pederson. Hell, they may even outscore the premium you trade in – e.g. Boyd this week. So please, before you go asking “who should I trade adcock to?” just remember that you could have that curnow or pederson sitting on your bench, and come Monday morning you don’t want to have them staring you in the face saying “I told you so”……

  • what about connors…is he destined for the sub jersey all year or was that a one off?

    • Bet hardwick wished he had 22 sub jumpers…rofl…If he uses Conners as the sub again id be really surprised…

    • I doubt it. His team is full of teenagers so you’ll image he would rotate it.

  • Excerpt from Gut Mckenna,
    I said, ‘Mate, go out and make mistakes. If you give away a free kick there is probably every chance the bloke won’t be able to get up and take it anyway. But in a fair way so you don’t get reported or anything silly, just hit him. I want to see you hit someone’.
    CRUNCH!
    Also stated he was 3rd best defender in preaseason, so where the best 2?
    Coad and TOY??? Surely wasnt Harbrow or Krakouer? Stanley played more mid/fwd? hmmm….

    • he said the best two are campell brown and nathan bock

      • At the very least, the Gold Coast will be fun to watch. Opposition forwards are going to be looking over their shoulders when they play the Gold Coast with my favourite hard-nut Campbell Brown and challenger Harm Kunt running around like headless chickens!

  • curnow or conca?