Chris Knights: Deck of Dream Team 2011

Name: Chris Knights
Club: Adelaide
Position: Forward
Bye Rounds: 2 & 16
2010 Average: 66.8
2010 Games Played: 5
Predicted Average: 85

Why should I pick him? Chris Knights can play, and in the past he has had very good DT years. He played his third season in 2007 and supported the break-out year rule where he improved his average there by a massive 37pts to 87. Since then he has averaged in the mid 80’s every year until last year where he only played 5 games for his average of just 66.8, making him prime meat in 2011. He’ll be under valued and with a discount! In 2009 he averaged 84.7 and scored 80+ a game 67% for the time. Solid! He has had injuries in the past though, but if you believe the Crows General Manager (Phil Harper) who said, “he is injury free now and we are confident of a big year from Chris in 2011” – then he’s your man.

Why shouldn’t I pick him? He’s made of lego! In the last 3 years he has only played in 57% of the matches. He missed the majority of 2010 with a bad stress fracture in the foot and who needs a DT player who has on going issues with injuries, whether it’s his foot, eye, quad…. It will be hard enough this year with the ‘bye’, and to worry about dudes like Knights and managing him, might be too tough.

Deck of DT Rating. QUEEN – Risky. Risky-ma-tisky. Look, if he is fit, this guy could easily make the predicted average I’ve set him. But that comes with the ‘if fit’ tag. I love the bloke and he may just be one of the best 7 forwards by the end of 2011, and therefore may be the risk you need to take to win the car.

48 Comments

  • to risky imp…….better to reserch and go for a third year player that will go off…we will have a better idea after the NAB cup.
    exiting stuff this year……………..cant wait!!

  • Risky, but a risk I’m prepared to take on him.

  • This bloke oozes class, shame his had a bad run with injuries.
    When he was fit & FIRING in 2008, he pumped out consecutive scores of 95,104,102,123,117 & 121, (110ave.)
    102 v Gee (1st H&A) 123 v Coll (8th H&A) and 121 v Syd – “the lockdown kings,” (6th H&A)
    Now they are impressive figures!
    Hopefully he can keep fit and play 22 games coz this guy is A LOCK!!
    Deserves DPP, & most likely will be next year!
    Could well be the pick of 2011.
    Thanx for the write up Calvin- glad he made the deck!
    (Coll supporter- so NO bias.)

  • i’ll take the risk you never know and if he fails so what i’ll just downgrade him to a rookie

  • Ok you say risky, but everyone is jumping on Petrie, who suffered stress fractures twice in once season.

    We’re all jumping on Krakaouer, a guy who hasnt played AFL for years and was recently released from jail.

    Chappy, this guy has had major hammy problems over many years and is 29.

    there are many players that have all had injuries over their careers, but Knights is classy and with a boat load of retirements at Adelaide, he’ll be a major key factor to them this year…… I’m on

    • You summed it up well RiseUp but I disagree about C. Knights. Petrie scares me but has been on my fanplanner from the start. And Krakaouer may have to play his way through the VFL because Mick M. is a hard man. Beams didn’t play at the start of last year and Beams ended up in the pointy end of the B&F. Every pick is a risk. But the most games Chris Knights has ever played in a season is 21 back in 2007. To play 15 games would be a good season for him!
      He won’t make my team. *dramatic music plays*

  • Hey guys can you explain to me why Marc Murphy is Mid only when he spent half the year in the fwd line

  • His is a risk that half the competition will be taking, therefore I’ll be leaving him alone. Fingers crosses he falls over again.

  • You gotta take risks. When they go down injured you get to YELL and whinge heaps, more fun that way. Also picking a team that is unique is also the way to go, Knightsy may be a little unique as there are many player who carry the ‘risk factor’ this year… can’t really have a team of them, so selecting wisely is the way to roll I reckon

    • Exactly Calvin.

      As they say, you’ve got to risk it to get the biscuit.

      If you avoid all the risky players and go for a bland boring team, you won’t win the car. Chris Knights is a perfectly calculated risk who will make money even if he does get injured and could be a keeper if he doesn’t. I dare say Knights will be in the team of the car winner. i.e. me.

      • I would be guessing that most DTers would pick guys like Petrie and Knights, so that will take a huge element of risk out of picking them- almost everyone will be in the same boat if they go down

  • Risky-matisky!????? Not for $220k.

    Knightsy is training strongly and is a dead set gun!! Who cares if he doesnt string a whole season of games together, all he has to do is play the first 9 or 10. Then turn him into Adam Goodes who is a notoriously slow starter.

    • for someone who has only played 57% of games in the last 3 years… would place him in the “Risky-ma-tisky” bracket in my eyes.

      Great price and undervalued – agreed, but he may fizzout before he gets to rd 9/10. He’s dont it before!
      But yeah… value out weighs the risk here I think

      • Yea Vin, I think we are agreed. Go back to 2007 and his talent speaks for itself – my gut tells me he’ll get back to that (at least for the first half)

  • One of the first players I locked into The Trendsetters lineup for 2011… on the assumption of course that Chris makes it through the NAB Cup unscathed.

    Understand the risk but he has huge upside with a potential 30 point increase to be had on his priced value.

    A genuine goal kicker and averages 3 tackles a game. All good stuff for accruing Dream Team points.

    Season 2009 was solid (see http://www.fantasyfooty.net.au/player/Chris_Knights) and I’d be happy with a repeat of that scoring level in 2011.

  • chris is fighting ricky pettard for the same spot, its going to come down with who averages more in the nab cup/challenge games i think. its a tough one

    • im not convinced with pettard demonator, got burnt last year by hyped up forwards like dangerfeild and gray,
      but knights is looking very good LOCK

      • maybe its just a bit of melbourne coming out of me, if i were to go knights i couple possible sqeeze green in the forwward line. guess it comes down to prices and how the fit in the lineup. yeah i had robbie gray last year what a ass hole

  • NAB cup will be hard to judge, due to reduced games and only short halves.

    Its all about risk vs reward this year. You could go and pick your standard team and play it safe, but whats the fun….

    Calculated risks will pay off this year, Knights may only have strung 15 games together in most seasons, but remind yourself of the byes this year, and how much they will improve on the longevity of players for the season.

    A week off here and there will ensure players are rested to play most of the year, and knights has a bye in RD 16 which is a great time to rest for the remainder of the season.

  • Risky, but has got room for inprovement. Will have to watch NAB cup form if he is worth it.
    Plus he can push back if needed.
    Watch him.

  • Made of Lego!!!!!!!! BAHAHAHAHAHAHA. ZING!!!

    @demonator, we dont get scores from NAB challenge games though.

    • You can still get the stats from websites/watching the game etc.

      If like last year they are very simple to find and you can base it off that.

      Nab challenge will be more relevant to what I watch than the cup.

      • fantasy freako sends an email with all the scores fellaz sign up @ champion data…
        although dttalk boys will post it I reckon

    • We get scores from the Fantasy Freako for the NAB Challenge games.

  • Just got him in my fanpalnner team because my forward line needed changing with Thomas only a midfielder. I wanted Chappy to replace him so the only way I could do that is if I downgrade Morton to Knights.

    Although he is not locked just yet.
    Can’t wait for Feb 1 ;)

  • Looks like a lock at this stage for mine…..especially after the last couple of days players no longer being forwards, my forward line is looking rather desolate

  • Gotta consider him. If he’s fit and scoring 80/85+ he’ll be hard to ignore. It could even force me to run Petrie and Knights in the forwards. Running 2 cheap players in one position is something I’m not really wanting to do. But Petrie and Knights are soooooooo tempting.

  • id say hes almost a lock at his price.

    sure its risky, but thats what makes dt exciting

    • Quad was sore and required strapping and a reduced workload at training last week. No thanks.

      • oops – didn’t see this until after I posted the comment below. Does he have a history of quad problems?

    • 38 games in 3 years isnt fabulous but he’s no riskier than Beau Waters was at the start of last season (27 in the previous 3 years)- and look what happened there!! With the relative lack of injury dicounted players compared to last year, you have to consider him. With all the retirements at the Crows in the past couple of seasons, he and Otten will get better roles and both are locks if fit Round 1 IMO

  • Yes, he’s risky because of his history of injuries, but what other forwards at that price:
    – are currently injury free and training well,
    – are easily in the team’s best 21 players,
    – Should get more time in the middle because of the mass exodus of experienced players last year,
    – Have shown they can score big in DT when fit (don’t forget he was a ball magnet as a junior),
    – Are at the ideal DT age of 24?
    If he’s named for round 1, I reckon he poses no more risk than any discounted forward. And as feathertopDT said, he can easily be downgraded to a rookie if he does break down before appreciating.

  • Petrie V Knights? Hmm…Points to mull over…

    DURABILITY: I think Petrie is a far greater risk of breaking down than Knights given his huge frame and the running demands that will be placed on him with the new 3 man interchange. Knights has a solid pre-season behind him now, and has had ample time to get his body right. Chappy Got his body right last year, so to will Knights this year.
    SCORING POTENTIAL/PROBABILITY: Knights is a silky skilled goal kicking MIDFIELDER who will rack up the points! I fear poor old Drewy may have to cop the resting ruckman in defence for at least some of his game time -think Cox, Sandi, Hille, Ottens, Kreuzer etc- simply coz the roos defence will be undersized with Grima being injured…being a ‘stopper’ is obviously not ideal for bigtime points scoring.
    FIXTURE: Knights gets his byes out of the way early Rounds 2 &16. He is available for your league finals. That’s massive. Petrie on the other hand has his second bye is *ouch* round 21, during your league finals.

    Winner? Knights comfortably! (especially as I’m going for a league win)

    Depending on your structure you could have Knights as the 6th forward and still have Drewy as a great 7th forward cash cow option that you could look to upgrade later in the year. Knights *should * end up as a keeper/premium IMHO.

    • If fit and priced as per FP, Petrie and Knights are both locks for me. Until last year, Petrie had missed just 2 games in 7 years. He’s highly regarded at North, is one of their leaders and can play all over the ground. I reckon H-Mac’s injury will benefit him too.

    • I’m getting both, but dont forget the fact that Knight’s bye in round 16 is a DT bye round also

  • OOPS!! Like Fatty, I hadn’t read ‘on the ball’s’ comment about sore quad and strapped hammy at training either.

    Thats sh#@house! :(

    ‘on the ball’, is this confirmed? Where’d you hear it?

    • Read an Adelaide training report last week that mentioned a quad problem. It may not be that serious but I am concerned about it because he had a bit of a problem with it in 2008 and has since had some issues with his hamstrings. I will closely watch his NAB form (assuming he plays) and make a final decision after that. I hope I’m wrong but my gut feel is that he could be the Robbie Gray of 2011 !

      I’m not against selecting players that are coming back from an injury and offer a discounted price. But in mind mind they must have a squeeky clean pre-season to make them a worthy risk. It is going to be hard enough this season with all of the byes and I think that alot of people have forgotten that selecting players that are durable is a golden rule of DT……..more important than ever in 2011 imo.

  • http://www.bigfooty.com/forum/showthread.php?t=771279&page=36

    2nd thread from the top. Paragraph 2.

    I also saw a photo on another site that showed him in the background with strapping on his quad but I can’t seem to find it now.

  • Sorry make that 3rd thread from the top. Paragraph 2

  • Worth the risk, he’s definetely in my team. If you don’t see any upside to him, his last name is “Knights”, honestly….thats awesome!

  • We can go on and on about is he injured or isn’t he. If he’s fit at the start of the season, going to play Round 1 played all or most of the pre-season games and has scored well it’ll be hard to look past him. Infact you probaley will have to choose him.

  • Worth the risk and could be the Nick Malceski of 2011.

    • He is worth the risk but you cant compare him to Malceski coz’ Malceski had a cracker year previously and showed us he is capable of being a prem. Knights has yet to get up there.

      Having said that Im picking him! ;)

      • In 2007 he played most games and averaged highs 80’s
        In 2008 he missed a few games but still avearged low 80’s
        In 2009 he played most games and averaged mid 80’s

        He has proven he isn’t bad at DT. Petrie and himself they are proven performers. But you’d never pick them because of their price previously. But now they are supercheap. Sure there are risks, but you gotta take risks.
        Knights could average 85+, but thats no premium like you said, but he could be your 6th/7th Forward at the end of the year (Depending on if you have Petrie aswell in the forwards. You could potentially have Petrie and Knights as your 6th/7th forward at the end of the year if both are averaging 85+).

  • On my radar and has been in my team as a roughy from the start. Great price, at some risk, but worth it. Take a punt! Knights to Calvin’s Queen – Check-mate!

  • Yeah he’s a risk – but if your playing for the car, IMO it is too big a risk not to have him in from the start.