Calvin’s Captains – Rd. 13 (cont.)
Last Weeks VC’s
So last week the smart DTers out there had a crack at the Loop Hole in an effort to get a double crack at a captain, and not many people were successful. Now this is not a bad thing, yeah yeah, your Vice Captain most likely stunk it up – but you get another crack at it again this week (if you did it right). Hodgey let 49% of Loop Hole punters down with his 61 and so did Stanton (90) who had 14% of followers chasing his wicked history against the Hawks. They were the most popular pciks meaning that most people will be chasing someone this week. Thos who gambled a little harder might just be taking Buddy’s 130, Barlow’s 121 or Boyd’s 114… but where do you join the line? I know we have a lot of greedy DTers out there!
Where do You Draw the Line?
Personally, if I got over 110 off my VC last week, that’d do me just fine. I went Sam Mitchell and his 98 was not enough for to give a bunny the “C” this week. 98 is not enough and I’ll be risking it with a big gun this week. Boy’s 114 is an interesting one as is Barlow’s 121. Some people will chase an Ablett 150 or a Swan 140 this week, making their weekends very stressful, making them wonder… am I doing the right thing?
Right, I’m looking at the 2 main games this week in extra detail – and I’m not looking at the Adelaide V Melbourne match, cause lets face it… if you are looking at a captain from that game, your team really sucks.
Sydney Vs Collingwood
I’ll do this game first but, not much here to chat about really, but we do have a few interesting lads we need to cover. Best pick of them all. Dane Swan! He has averaged 134 in his last 3 games this year and carries an average of 113 in his last 3 against the Swans here. He has previous scores of 90, 127, 122, 130 in his last 4 and should crack the 100 mark again. Sydney traditionally give up little 100+ scores. 67% of the time this year they have only allowed 2 or less players to crack the 100+ mark against them ranking them the 2nd hardest (behind Geelong) to score DT 100+’s against. Shouldn’t matter as we are talking about the Great Dane! Sydney are Pendlebury’s worst team to play DT wise, and like many before him, he will struggle again this week. Didak has gone 61, 141, 123 in his last 3 but those 100+ scores you see there are his only 100+ scores against the Swans in his career of 12 games. Finally he has worked out how to score against the Swans, lets hope he remembers. But remember all captain choices against Sydney are risky! Do not forget this lads!
Last Time They Met – This was in Rd. 21 last year and Goodes was the only player to crack the ton with 123. Pendle had 74, Didak 61 and Swan apparently got tagged by Shaw for his 22d (90pts). The big news here though is… Kirk went to Pendles, I repeat… Kirk went to Pendles and held him to 74. He will be going there again, lets hope so for Swanny’s sake!
St Kilda Vs Geelong
Massive, massive, massive game for DT. We all must have a lot of players here and it will be a huge night, even more so if you are looking at a captain option here. I sure am! Best pick from the Saints would have to be Lenny Hayes. With his last 7 scores going 116, 127, 112, 122, 106, 129, 104 he is surely on many coaches radar this week. His form has been awesome and he will be pumped for this one and should add to his impressive record here with another 100+ for shizzle! Next best pick from the Saints is Goddard who averages 106 in his last 3 here or Montagna who has the same average over the same amount of games. Montagna had 103, 108 against them in 2009 and then a 108, 134 against them 2008, watch for a big one off him. Especially with the Pink Pig on the scene. The Pink Pig tags Dal Santo! Guaranteed! Dal Santo plays his 3rd worst team this week and hasn’t scored over 100+ in his last 5 here, thanks to the tag of the Pig. Then we have the Cats! My best pick here believe it or not… isn’t Ablett. It’s Bartel! He averages 124 in his last 3 games against the Saints and has previous scores of 111, 137, 123, 114, 150. In fact, in his last 9 games against them he has cracked 100+ an impressive 7 times. He averages 127 in his last 5 against them and add that to his average of 122 at the MCG this year (4 games) Jimmy might just save you this week. Then I’ll go Ablett. 103, 115 are his scores against them In 2009 and before that he did have a 129. This is his second worst team to play DT wise (behind Adelaide) and his 3rd worst in 2009 of teams he played 2 or more times. He has only posted 3×100+ scores on these guys in his career of 13 games… What does this mean? It means a Clinton Jones tag. I reckon Jones is the best tagger along with the Pig in the AFL and can kill our DT with ease. But then again this is Gary Ablett and he should be fine, but Jones is bloody good! Chapman is another good option. With scores of 119 and 151 in 2009 he is surely a wicked pick for you this week, and with a low of just 99 this year… Chappy will make you happy again for sure (yeah I know it rhymes). Selwood averages 92 on these guys in his career of 4 games against the Saints, but only has 1×100+ against them in those games. Stevie J has had an up and down ride with 32, 101, 87, 123 in his last 4. They are his 4th worst team to play so who knows!
Grand Final Re-Match… Yep, what a beauty it will be. Last time they met Ablett (103) was tagged by Jones and the Pig did tag Dal Santo (85). Chappy won the Norm Smith with his 119pts (3g, 26d). Bartel had 111 with only 19d but did have a huge 16t. Montagna had 106 and Goddard posted 114 and Lenny had 116. In this game 7×100+ were achieved and as I said earlier this will be one cracker of a DT game!
Ok, for me… I’m not taking Mitchell 98 and I’ll be going with Jimmy this week. I have Swanny and Lenny but…. Ahhh shit. Now I don’t know. Maybe back to Bartel…. I will let you know in the comments as the game gets closer. Oh did I mention that this is St Kilda’s first game of 2010 on the MCG? Amazing hey! Good luck guys and remember not to get too greedy!
Sorry, there are no polls available at the moment.449 Comments
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Totally stuffed up the loop hole…. left my emergency on a player I shouldn’t have…. good bye barlow score.. Hello Ablett
Had the C on Swanny but now I’m thinking Chappy/Bartel. Hm…..might go Swanny on form. Since Bartel’s shocker I’ve lost confidence in him. So confused!
Sydney Swans…. very very very wet ground….
I think you have balls of steel
Go Bartel 7 hundreds in 7 games at the MCG and it’s been pissing down with rain in sydeny
mate swan is an absolute freak and hell pull it off wait and see
Its raining here in sydney and it looks like continuing on for the rest of the week. on form i’d go Swan but because of the weather im taking calvin’s advice and going bartell over ablett, swan and montagna.
hope it pays off
Doesn’t rain usually equate to more DT points as a rule of thumb?
No. Bartel usually goes nuts at a wet skilled stadium but generally speaking, no it does not lol.
Incorrect.
Biggest DT games have always been in the wet (I think the exceptions are generally games in Launceston).
Don’t shoot your mouth of, pal, when you’re clerarly a peanut.
Round 8 Pies vs Freo in the wet and swan killed it with 131 – got 8 tackles that game and 31 disposals – he is a gun
Its because in the wet players just want to get it forward so they kick it in a situation were mabye they would hanball it.
Are we saying that in wet weather the DT score of the entire team… is more than they would have scored if it was dry. Or are we saying Dane Swan plays better in the wet.
I think that Wet, Jolly and swans will mean alot of stopages and maybe alot of tackles for Swan ect but i’m telling you the overall DT score for the team will be low.
I am willing to come back here and admit i’m wrong when its all done and dusted.
My prediction not a high scoring dt game and Swan gets 105 at most
Tackles will be the key if its really wet, great chance to get double figures which can make for big score……….but don’t get tackles in the wet could be poor score. ?????? Damn.
One more thing i noticed. your opposition can see who you have picked as captain since its only partial lockout. so if they’re incline to copy your choice might want to hold of until just before lockout before picking your captain
I gambled on Gibbs as VC – only 106 – not enough. Will go Swan, Monty, Goddard or Bartell.
Thanks Calvin btw – may go Bartel on that info.
Or am i being greedy cos my opponent had hodge as capt ?? A bird in the hand……..
Must stop talking to myself too………..
im in similar position with gibbs as vc and my opponent had hodge as vc. the problem for me is he has swan or ablett to put the c on this week still so i dont know whether to chase a higher score with hayes or chappy.
if i were you and he had hodge as captain then i think id prefer take gibbs 106 rather than risk a player having a dud game and going less.
Cheers for the advice Calvin, I traded Stanton in last week expecting him to kill it but he blew the VC so this week I’ll be sticking the C on Bartel.
Wish we could have 2 cracks at it every week!!
for some reason I haven’t been able to vote on your polls for the past couple of weeks, do you have to vote on facebook now or something
Man this is too hard, I have got every single Captain option in my side (including someone else – LOL)
Anyway, I liked it better when Ablett was straight up captain choice, far out I’m struggling with this! Might just have to go Bartel with those numbers but hell, I know I’ll get it wrong (ie last week Swan 150 vs Chappy 98).
I put the VC on Boyd (newest addition to my team) so 114 isn’t bad and normally I would be happy with that. However my opponent this week is my best mate and he’s 228 points ahead but has had 2 extra players play. Unfortunately a few of his players have stood up so far (Franklin, Rockliff, Rioli and Gilbee). He has Swan as captain but also has Ablett, that’s pretty much his choices except maybe Didak or Goddard which he wont do.
I’ve got Bartel, Swan, Selwood, Chappy, Hayes, ROK, Didak, Goodwin, Enright, Shaw, Goddard and Pods to come so some quality names in there but it will be tight…
My decision is either make Swan captain and negate his capt points in confidence my team will outscore his and make up the difference. Or I make Bartel/Chap/Hayes captain and take an offensive strategy in hope they score better….
Hmmmm love DT
take the risk with bartel i reckon.. as much i love dane i hate having a captain play the swans.
I’m going to keep my 114 that I got from Jobe Watson, but then again I’m not plying my mate. If I was, I’d probably take the risk with jimmy, but it depends who he has and what he is doing.
Personally, I’m gonna resist temptation and leave my boy Barlow as my VC with the big fella Seamus McNamara entrusted with the task of simply not playing and holding tightly onto the ‘C’.
Haha i love Seamus McNamara just a wonderful bench player haha
i don’t think you could ever be as happy having a playing not play in ur dt! lol
I chose him over the other 77k rucks with this round in mind.
Thanks to Franklin’s 130, it looks like paying off.
Im taking boyds 114. Goddard and Selwood are the only other options i would normally consider from my team. Makes it easy as well when the opponents have Judd capt, and the other looks certain to go with Ablett.
my opponents 3 points ahead of me after the same amount of players last week and had his vc hodge so he’ll be making swan or bartel captain.
im debating whether i should be safe and take gibbs 106 score as my captain and hope which ever one he makes captain doesnt fire or whether i should give hayes or chappy the c.
basically im debating whether doubling 106 when i have hayes averaging 104 and chappy averaging 118 still to come.
im getting ablett in tomoro,
do i make him captain or Bartel?
i have had rank captain luck with monty and barts 60′s in the last 3 weeks.
and cheers calvin!
has anyone got any news on shuey?
I had the C on Phil Davis and VC on Boyd.
Davis decides he is ok to play this week now… arggggh!
Nice work Calvin, love how the Adel V Melb game wasn’t even listed.
I’m pretty sure I will be taking Barlow’s 121.. Campbell Heath getting the Captaincy this week (as long as he is not named…) If Heath gets a call up, then 50/50 swan/Bartel.
Are you still able to partially trade this round? Strange.
boyd’s 114 or risk it and go for DT Jet Bartel.
If i take boyds 114, my main league game will come down to the wire. If I go bartel and he rips it up, I should be fine.
will be a nail biting next few days.
correct me if i’m wrong. but if bartel rips it up, say 130. that’ll only give you an extra 15 points. not really gonna turn a ‘nailbiter’ into a comfortble win imo.
you’re wrong. ill correct you.
I never said it would be a comfortable win. the extra 15-20 pts could come real handy though and should see me over the line, especially considering that we only have 2 or 3 differences in our teams which makes it easier to predict how many points are needed for the victory.
i said it would be nailbiting next few days becuase im unsure of what to do and it is an important four points.
i can see what your saying but this match will really come down to only a few points in my opinion.
While you may have been mistaken by why he was bitting his nails, surely and extra 15-20 points is not going to turn a game from going down to the wire to being ‘fine’.
aw man… i was thinking of making my captain a adelaide or melbourne player to be unique… looks like this site is not going to help. thx for making my bad day even worse. i mite go to the bar later on and drink my life away.. or just comit suicide. fml
u really are a fukn dildo
Calvin…… or anyone else
don’t u think hayes will be too slow to score big against a quick geelong???
your thoughts please…
Who’s slower…Barlow or Hayes? I’m sure Lenny Hayes will be able to trudge around the field enough to get to a couple of contests.
Mate…. Lenny will be fine!
Trust me bro
I trust ya calvin mate…. and i noe u said hayes over goddard in ur top 5 for this week….
but im still not sure whether to go goddard or hayes… could u explain ur thoughts behind why hayes would be better or y he wont be better than goddard please…
thanks
I cant go bartel every time ive gone him as C hes got less than 100 (3)
hahaha same here, every time i go to bartel, he plays bad
f**k wasnt that 67 so annoying to watch arghh haha
Great write up Calvin, you’re on fire! Good to see everyone go through the brain-stretching exercises while I enjoy the mid-season break. I locked in the Boyd last week…nothing wrong with 114 from the virtual permacap.
take the score bro. Nice work
Hey Calvin I know you didn’t rate and Melb or Adel players as potential Capt material but…Douglas has been fairly consistent of late
I didn’t have the cohones to name Franklin/Barlow as VC so I won’t have the cohones to name anyone else as Capt other than GAJ.
Both sides will play a defensive game so I think GAJ will rack it up – so will Goddard methink.
How can both sides play defensively if St Kilda let Geelong keep possession of the ball in midfield?
Yes – the Saints will do that so the midfielders will have a field day. The ball will ping-pong from center half back to center half back all day.
Ablett or Swan for Captain?
well whaat does calvin think?? swan apparantly
Well what if you have both Swan and Ablett. I am just trying to take myself off the number one rule of always making Ablett captain regardless. Do I break the rule this once based on Swans recent form to Abletts. No doubt I will take it off and get burnt ofcourse. is tgere anything to say that Abletts form is going to continue to stay below his best.
Who is higher in CC’s list? That is who you choose, remember its in order – Calvin doesn’t do all of this work for us to just ask these questions. If a bloke is higher on the list, thats the preference!
Right on bro.
I beleive that Swan will out score Ablett.
Based on Swannys form V Abletts and the fact that Jones will tag Gary and he will be in for a long day. Stuill score 100 but a long day!
Hey Calvin, do you believe in keeping the captaincy on Ablett regardless though? Isn’t that like a mandatory dreamteam rule
Montagna or Goddard for me just dunno which one leaning towards Goddard as Montagna is a chance of being tagged
Just realised Goddard had 114 last time they met and he played out the match with a broken collarbone!
i had barlow vice captain, he got 121.
my opponent had franklin captain, he got 130.
now… should i use the loophole to keep barlow’s score or should I take the risk and put either swan or bartel captain?
take the score and rest easy mate
yeah go with goddard he ia a gun
Bartel!! So pumped for Jimmybob as captain.
Cheers Calvin, you star!
Its also Goddard’s 150th game if that changes anything… might have a blinder?
But Cats may put a forward tag on him..or Lyon might throw him around mid, fwd, def…
Still cant decide to keep Boyd’s 114 or the “safe” option of having the same Cpt (Ablett) as my opponent…
Gonna lock in either Schmidt or TDL as skip this week giving me Barlows VC score. I will delete my account if either of those pricks come in as a late emergency.
Lock in TDL, Schmidt has been in West Adelaides top 3 last 2 weeks and with fitness worries over a couple of crows defenders he could be late addition
Last time the Cats V the Saints. Jimmy relied on 16 tackles fior his score… a semi tagging role. Does this concern anyone? destROY asked me today and It got me wondering.
I think he’ll be fine… looking at the games prior!!
He went to Hayes after Hayes smashed Corey in the first quarter I think! Probably says a lot about Jimmy that he racked up a decent score while doing a defensive job…That being said I need a few more weeks to forgive him for that 67 so it’ll be permacapt Swanny for me – who cares if it’s wet, Swan’s a wet-weather footballer if ever I’ve seen one!
Hey Calvin, finally i worked out how to join up this page, keep up the good work with the captains
,
i think im going to take the captain off ablett this week, as i have chapman, bartel, swan as well, and might give it back to bartel.
as i changed my vc from barlow to hodge in the last minute, my opposition has hodge as captain so aslong as bartel scores more then 36 as im 73 pts down i should be alright
Cheers
Reecefm
Imagine Jizzbert got dropped… then you made him Captain, and he came in as a late emergency late and remained skipper. Real Ouch!
By the Way…
Sweet Merciful Jesus as captain this week!
You cant go wrong!
Hey Calvin, do you believe in keeping the captaincy on Ablett regardless though? Isn’t that like a mandatory dreamteam rule
Lenny Captain…. Had a down week last week expect big things from him… was BOG at half time in the granny and then lost steam with a dirty tag from bartel… He steps up in the big games when the pressures on.
Do I keep Boyd’s 114 or go with Goddard? My opponent has Ablett, Bartel and Goddard in what might end up being a close finish (thanks to me having Brown and Maguire and awful replacements).
Goddard’s recent form is great and his form against Geelong isn’t bad at all. Put all that with the fact that it’s his 150th and we’re looking at a big one.
However, there is a problem that I note in choosing Goddard… Although his last 4 games have been 120+, three of those four opponents have been West Coast, Adelaide and Richmond.
Look at his scores against formidable opponents: 88 (Sydney), 97 (Collingwood), 130 (Fremantle), 109 (Bulldogs), 110 (Carlton), 120 (Fremantle). Only the scores against Fremantle (which he obviously loves playing against) are better than Boyd’s 114. Although these scores don’t look all that bad, it does say to me that Goddard might not be capable of a 114+ against a formidable opponent – and Geelong are a formidable opponent if I’ve ever seen one.
Do I trust his record against the Cats? Or do I look at his inconsistencies against the top teams? As you can see, I’ve put a bit of research into this… and all it has done is make my decision harder.
Calvin or anyone else, after reading this, what would you do?
I’d go with Boyd unless you’re really in trouble. Pretty much I’d take any score from your VC that’s the same or better than your C’s average, especially since all St Kilda and Cats players are obviously up against tougher opposition (each other) than usual this week!
I’d be taking the 114 mate – ride it home
Good to hear Voldt could be back in 1-3 weeks.
http://www.afl.com.au/news/newsarticle/tabid/208/newsid/96834/default.aspx
Good news for the game and for DT…desperate for a reliable forward upgrade in the coming weeks
+1. I can’t wait to get rid of Jack Fucking Ziebell when Roo’s back. Always tempts me with a semi-decent score right as I wanna drop him, then goes to shit once I have decided to hold him for another week or two…
Haha I know same here! JayZ has been very frustrating. Those games where he was on 60-70 at half time and only ended up with 90, but you kinda think “well he might be ready for some massive scores if he puts 4 quarters together”.
Can’t wait to chop Ziebell!
Great to hear! Will be watching his first few games back before trading him in though. His is BE is 169, and he should drop in price a bit more.
yeah will have at least 2 price drops due to that 20 he scored, then it’ll soon be time to pounce!
Here is a what would u do in that situation question?
I currently have my league opponent on the ropes. He is 50 points ahead but I have 1 extra player but all my players are absolute cream of the crop. He has Swanny captain and i know he wont change. If I go Swan I negate whatever score he gets and will almost certainly win.
On the other hand i am ranked 1000th and only 1000 behind the leader but am absolutely storming home. It would take a fair effort but stranger things have happened.
So my question is do i go the no risk factor of swan to negate his effect and win the league. Or do I go for someone like Bartel (currently locked in) and go for a big score to try and jump up the rankings?
No brainer really. If all your players to come are ‘cream of the crop’ your Captain choice should be irrelevant, especially when the difference between Swan and Bartel may be a max of 30-40 points. Take the player you think will score more which is obviously Bartel and go for the higher ranking, winning the head to head in the process.
Whilst I agree it does sounds like a no brainer you still have that outside chance of something bad happening. E.G – Bartel is a late withdrawel, gets injured early (ah la kreuzer) or just does another tagging job and this time doesnt lay 16 tackles.
If any of those equations happen with Swan selected then it doesn’t cost you the league win.
I know i should not be thinking like that, but just throwing it out there. Trying to make convo in this boring split round
I’ve got Swanny and Bartel and I’m going Swan cos I think he’ll score better!
Stick with Swan. Go for leaugue win. Bartel is more likely to score 60′s IMO.
jump the ranking mate
you can get a win back on ya mate in finals
but you cant get the points back then, and ya ranking
Yeah im thinking that. Whilst im not sure i can make up the 1000 points it would be sure nice to make a dash for the top 100.
Given your late mail on the Bartel Tag has ur captain choice changed? Is Lenny Hayes now your number one choice? And given Bartel went to him and quietened him down in the GF, there is a chance it could happen again meaning Hayes and Bartel head to head.
So that would mean Chappy is ur number 1 selection?
I’ve moved Chapman to my no. 1. (I also have Swan, Bartel, Hayes)
nah it will stay where it is…. I’m happy with Bartel, he’ll be fine. Tagging or not… he’s numbers dont lie and he has smacked them up before… Haven’t ruled out a wet weather Swan either. But at this stage it’s Bart, but Swanny’s form has been crazy! And Jimmy did get me 70 or something last time
I feel sick. Maybe I’ll just take Pavlichs 60 and start the disappointment.
It seems to me that no matter who you pick in this game, that surely if they start to a flier the other coach will place a tag on them… So regardless if it is Bartel, Chappy or Hayes they are all going to be tested on the day.
Yeah just don’t go Dal Santo haha…at least those others can handle a tag
I had Barlow as VC, he can stay on
On a seperate, tragic and completely non Calvins Captains note (Sorry Vin), I have just read that the last ever issue of Ralph Magazine is out or is about to come out. It will have the chk chk boom girl on the cover.
I implore all red blooded Aussie Dream teamers (Girls included) who loved this magazine to please just bow your head for a second of reflection as Australia loses another icon so dear to our hearts.
RIP Ralph, you will be missed……lest we forget (the awesome articles, like what I used to buy it for!)
Chappy OUT!
Great work as usual mate!
Thankfully for me, gysberts omission will enable me to keep Buddy’s 130!
Capt. Gysberts. Looks weird lol!
This week seems to be my hardest week yet for a captain choice.
I keep tossing up between Ablett, Swan and Hayes.
Ablett is due but has had a couple of quiet weeks in the forward line (maybe Chappy out will help that)
Hayes has a great record against the cats but only had a 65 last week
Swan is in great form but it is a wet game in Sydney against the miserly swans
It’s friday afternoon and I still can’t decide!
Jump on Aaron Davey against the crows!! I don’t have him, but far out, some massive scores v the crows this year so who knows he could come out and smash it!
BARNACLE BRTEL – locked and loaded ladies and gentlemen
+1
I hope your right, with Kennelly out I need a big captain effort. So many choices but ill go BB.
Just tell me Calvin, if you had Monty, Goddard and Swan you would stlil go BB ??